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You can’t stare down reality: population collapse has begun

Michie

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Prodigious and profound – that’s my take on a study just released by the prestigious McKinsey Global Institute (MGI), “Dependency and depopulation? Confronting the consequences of a new demographic reality.”


The study is a wake-up call for a world sleepwalking into unprecedented social upheaval. It examines“implications of a new demographic reality brought on by falling fertility and increasing longevity… reshaping global populations.” This is not a forecast; it is unfolding as we speak. The implications are breathtaking. Humanity is on the cusp of precipitous and prolonged population collapse caused by an unprecedented decades-long birth dearth.


MGI states the obvious: “[F]ertility rates have fallen below the replacement rate required to maintain a stable population.” Stable? Demographic instability is the new reality.

Continued below.
 

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Bob Crowley

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While I think the decline in marriage is a sign of moral decay, I'm not all that perturbed by the fact the population might decline.

Personally I think we should be taxing machines which do the bulk of the work already, consuming vast amounts of material and energy in the process.

Why should the working class be singled out for tax reasons?

Secondly it will just be one more problem to be solved in the normal scheme of things - since the year 2000 we've had 9/11, wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Israel and Gaza, Russia and Ukraine; two tidal waves, one of them killing around 300,000 people and the other damaging a nuclear power plant; fires in LA and we've got floods now in north Queensland.

PS - And Covid in 2020 which killed 7 million or so people by April 2024, with 705 million cases at around the same time.

So there might be slower population growth - so what? When I was born there were about 2.7 billion people. We now have 3 times as many. Given the same rate of population growth, there would be 24 billion in 2094, 72 billion in 2164, 216 billion in 2234.

What's this obsession with an evergrowing population so can have an ever expanding economy so we make more stuff we often don't need when right now we're confronting a very real issue of climate change bought on by this very same obsession?

It's just one more problem in the long troublesome history of the human race.

There's a problem? So what's new?
 
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