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Close races in battleground states show voters locked in. The economy is far and away the top issue this election

Vambram

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Most voters in four battleground states approve of President Joe Biden getting out of the presidential race and two-thirds want him to complete his term, according to Fox News statewide surveys in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The polls include over 1,000 registered voters in each state and were conducted July 22-24 (after Biden dropped out and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris).
The surveys find the horserace between Harris and former President Donald Trump looks a lot like the Biden-Trump race did in April -- extremely close. Harris and Trump are tied in two states (Michigan and Pennsylvania), Trump is ahead by 1 point in Wisconsin, and Harris is up by 6 in Minnesota.

Plus, in each of the four state surveys:



Please read the article and then comment on the interesting information within the contents of that analysis.
 

th1bill

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I am going to admit that with the Disney purchase of Fox, I no longer give them credit because they have ceased to report the news and seek to create fantasy visions. Even some hard core Dem friends I know are sick the arty is going this way and vote Trump this year.
 
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Vambram

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I am going to admit that with the Disney purchase of Fox, I no longer give them credit because they have ceased to report the news and seek to create fantasy visions. Even some hard core Dem friends I know are sick the arty is going this way and vote Trump this year.
FoxNews is not owned by Disney. You are thinking about the FX, FXX cable channels as well as 20th Century Fox movie production company that was purchased by Disney.
 
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The Barbarian

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The surveys find the horserace between Harris and former President Donald Trump looks a lot like the Biden-Trump race did in April -- extremely close. Harris and Trump are tied in two states (Michigan and Pennsylvania), Trump is ahead by 1 point in Wisconsin, and Harris is up by 6 in Minnesota.
New polls indicate that the bleeding hasn't stopped for the Trump campaign.

Vice President Kamala Harris has surpassed former president Donald Trump in seven battleground states, according to a new survey, demonstrating voters’ newfound enthusiasm for the presumptive Democratic nominee in contrast with President Joe Biden’s poor polling numbers prior to his withdrawal from the race.
...
The latest findings mark a notable shift from the same pollster’s last survey, conducted in early July, that showed Trump leading Biden by two points overall. Trump was also seen leading the incumbent in five of seven battleground states.

 
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Always in His Presence

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New polls indicate that the bleeding hasn't stopped for the Trump campaign.

Vice President Kamala Harris has surpassed former president Donald Trump in seven battleground states, according to a new survey, demonstrating voters’ newfound enthusiasm for the presumptive Democratic nominee in contrast with President Joe Biden’s poor polling numbers prior to his withdrawal from the race.
...
The latest findings mark a notable shift from the same pollster’s last survey, conducted in early July, that showed Trump leading Biden by two points overall. Trump was also seen leading the incumbent in five of seven battleground states.

Let's take a look at this - Real Clear Politics

Arizona August 3.jpg


Georgia august 3.jpg


Michigan august 3.jpg


Nevada August 3.jpg


North Carolina august 3.jpg


penn august 3.jpg


Wisconcin august3.jpg
 
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Hans Blaster

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Let's take a look at this - Real Clear Politics

View attachment 352691
How do you average Trump +5 and Harris +2 and get Trump +4.2? It should be Trump +1.5.
Trump +1.2
Harris +3.3
only one poll. Harris +2
Again, one poll, Trump +2

Trump +2
Harris +0.3

Polls taken before 7/21 are useless. Harris wasn't a candidate for President even if the pollsters asked the hypothetical.
 
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I am going to admit that with the Disney purchase of Fox, I no longer give them credit because they have ceased to report the news and seek to create fantasy visions. Even some hard core Dem friends I know are sick the arty is going this way and vote Trump this year.
You have said this before, and it is not accurate or relevant to the news cycle. Disney does not own or control Fox News Channel or Fox Business.
 
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wing2000

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We'll see what the polls indicate by September 1st. Momentum is clearly with the Harris campaign and I suspect it will increase with her VP pick and after the DNC.

Trump is still campaigning like it's the 2016 primary....throwing red meat to the base while turning off other voters. And he's still openly harboring resentment against Republicans like Kemp who did not go along with the Big Lie.
 
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The Barbarian

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You have said this before, and it is not accurate or relevant to the news cycle. Disney does not own or control Fox News Channel or Fox Business.
Makes a good story, though. And for too many people, that's all that matters.
 
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BPPLEE

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How do you average Trump +5 and Harris +2 and get Trump +4.2? It should be Trump +1.5.

Trump +1.2

Harris +3.3

only one poll. Harris +2

Again, one poll, Trump +2


Trump +2

Harris +0.3

Polls taken before 7/21 are useless. Harris wasn't a candidate for President even if the pollsters asked the hypothetical.
I would bet that it's within 2 points whoever is leading
 
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The Barbarian

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New polls suggest that Trump's handlers have not been able to stop the bleeding:
Aug 10, 2024,09:52am EDT

Key Facts

Pennsylvania: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 3 points among registered voters, according to the Times/Siena poll (the margin of error is 4.2 points).

Michigan: Harris also leads Trump here by 4 points among likely voters—but trails Trump by 2 points among registered voters (the margin of error is 4.8 points).

Wisconsin: Harris leads Trump by 4 points among likely voters and 5 points among registered voters in the Times poll (the margin of error is 4.3 points).

Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll at 47%, while Trump is up by two points in the state (48% to 46%), with 7% undecided, in the Emerson poll.

Arizona: Harris leads by two in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, 49% to 47%, but is down by five points (49% to 44%), with 7% of voters undecided, in the Emerson poll.

North Carolina: Trump would win the state by two points, 48% to 46%, according to the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, a decline in Trump’s 5.7-point lead here over Biden, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker.

Nevada: Harris leads by two points, 47% to 45%, in the Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll; Trump led Biden here by 5.6 points, according to Real Clear Politics’ poll tracker.

 
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RoBo1988

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"Trump is meeting or exceeding his 2020 vote share in the two-way race against Harris.

– Support for Harris in the horserace exceeds Biden’s support in April surveys.*"

Trump will get 80 million votes
Harris will get 200 million votes
 
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The Barbarian

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The only poll that counts is on Election Day
True. Something could suddenly happen and turn it around for the republicans. The democrats replaced a tired and confused old guy with a younger and highly competent candidate, and suddenly they moved out front. You guys could do that, too.
 
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