Ana the Ist
Aggressively serene!
- Feb 21, 2012
- 39,990
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- Married
As much as I personally dislike Donald Trump and think the Trump administration handled the pandemic overall very poorly, it's dumb to put blame on Trump or his administration for many of the negative economic consequences of COVID-19.
I agree that both....
1. He handled many aspects of the pandemic poorly. The only two bright points I can think of are the shutting down of the southern border with title 42 (few exceptions were made) and if someone believes that the vaccines were good and effective....then credit goes to him for cutting the red tape on the vaccine creation and funding.
2. Likewise, I don't think economic impacts could be correctly assessed in 1 year or essentially the beginning phase of the pandemic. Judging these impacts or their management as "Trump's fault" is a rather bad argument. Biden has had far more responsibility to manage these things and likewise more blame for the negative aspects of how he handled them...from things like ramping up currency production to mandates that depleted military personnel. Since Democrats weren't trying to get Trump reelected, they weren't exactly helpful or quick to offer good advice (if they had any to offer) Biden on the other hand had a lot of help and advice and I'd be hard pressed to say he did much better than Trump. Serious cost/benefit analysis of the lockdowns, mandates, or even just consistency are things that did not happen. I don't know how many people are aware of this....but as a member of the federal government I was mandated, along with everyone in not just my agency, but I believe my entire department....to get the vaccine by (I think) November 2021...or we would be terminated. I waited until the last two weeks to see if this decision was going to change...before caving to the mandate because it seemed like an extremely bad time to lose my job and health insurance. The only time I can say for certain I contracted the virus was between my first and second shot. I'm not saying that I had the typical reaction of a couple of days of covid symptoms....I caught the virus and had to delay the second shot beyond the recommended time. During this time...my wife inevitably caught the virus and required a 2 day hospitalization for pneumonia. It was an expensive and frustrating ordeal that seems unlikely to have occurred had I not taken that first shot. The most aggravating thing was that those who completely refused (in both my agency and tmk my department) faced absolutely no consequences as the mandate was completely rescinded on the final day. Coworkers who risked their employment weren't fired or penalized in any way. I can only assume it's because the realization of the loss of manpower would have been too significant to bear. I was essentially bluffed into taking a vaccine I was hesitant about because of the threat of loss of employment that ultimately didn't really exist. It's hard to see that as anything but bad leadership and I have to wonder the number of federal agencies that had similar problems.
The global response to the pandemic slowed economic activity to a crawl for a number of months. A recession was just an inevitability.
Well I do believe this administration changed their official definition of recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative growth) just so they could conveniently avoid declaring a recession.
Let's consider the number of problems that the administration had to deal with in that first year though....
1. The embarrassingly bungled withdrawal from Afghanistan...
2. The absolute failure of their border policy.
3. Rising inflation, costs, and the inevitability of the rent moratorium ending and leaving many homeless and jobless.
4. Public realization of vaccine ineffectiveness.
The Trump administration does deserve a reasonable amount of
praise for the economic incentives it leveraged for pandemic economic relief.
I'm unsure what you're referring to here. Trump certainly allowed states to decide how to handle economic woes as they saw fit. Beyond that, I'm unsure what you mean.
These reduced the severity of the recession in the US and set the stage for some of the post-pandemic bounce back. Although there is certainly plenty of room for criticism on specifics, particularly how the administration managed and disbursed pandemic-era relief spending (notably the whos and hows of the PPP and the social security tax holiday).
Is the PPP they payroll deduction? I think that was smart....but I don't think the public understands it well enough to understand why. Despite that....the public should understand the absolute disaster of the covid relief fund under Biden. If I recall correctly, the complete lack of oversight and vetting led to a record number of taxpayer dollars being stolen by outright frauds, foreign nations, and misappropriated by many big city mayors.
Supply lines were broken/bottlenecked pinched because of the mixed response to re-opening and the consequences of businesses having to shutter for months/re-open under new operatingmayor's.
I don't think many people understand why those supply chains were disrupted. I don't blame Biden or Trump this particular issue....because the single largest factor was the literal business logistics models for so many corporations. It would have happened to any president. These models are optimized for profit and under normal conditions, can meet demand increases well. Under pandemic conditions, they fell apart and couldn't meet demand. There's a lot that can be criticized under Biden (like promoting policies to reduce prison populations)....but supply chain would have happened under any president imo.
With travel and heath rules varying WILDLY between different jurisdictions, supply chain dislocation was also an inevitability.
Tmk these didn't really enforcement mechanisms. Perhaps some places did.
Again, it's hard to blame the Trump administration specifically for this. Trump administration views about trade and immigration, particularly attitudes towards China, certainly didn't help in getting things running again though.
Agreed. However China (like most of our enemies) were in favor of Biden. Putin himself has endorsed Biden for reelection tmk. Trump's willingness to swiftly decimate ISIS and assassinate high level Iranian generals (along with his unpredictable attitude toward N Korea was simply too baffling for foreign leaders....even dictators). Trump's unpredictability and preference towards hitting high value targets over large scale engagement meant foreign adversaries were willing to quietly sit out his administration instead of rolling the dice and attacking our allies. Since Biden's election....the Taliban stepped up their timetable for retaking Afghanistan, Putin saw an opportunity for invading the Donbas and eventually doubling down on all of Ukraine, Gaza decided it was the right time to begin war with Israel, Iran has funded Houthi attacks on our economic interests, multiple terrorist organizations have seized the opportunity to enter the US from the southern border, China has stepped up its economic alliances and floated actual spy balloons across the US....
Shall I continue?
Trump's demeanor and policy towards enemies was admittedly a bit nerve wracking for many Americans who didn't understand what he was doing....but it had the same effect on our enemies. They pretty uniformly decided to wait out his term. One of the few really bright points of his administration.
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