- Aug 11, 2017
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Ok 10 years is a bit of an exaggeration since the discovery made by Patterson but before that it was all over the place and nobody predicted that the earth was over 100 million years old. My point is that the more information we find the more the predicted date changes. At any given point in time science is always at its highest possible technology and that technology is always becoming obsolete and outdated along with the predictions made with that technology. At the time each prediction is made anything else is considered incorrect unless it has evidence to support it. So just because we don’t have the evidence to support it now doesn’t necessarily mean that we are any more correct now than we were 100 years ago. Before Patterson the oldest predicted age was 100 million years. Look how far that one discovery put us. We have no way of knowing how far off we’ll be at the next scientific breakthrough or in which direction it will be because we can’t calculate or anticipate what we don’t know and on this particular subject everyone seems to agree that we don’t know a lot more than what we do know.During the 1950s, nearly 70 years ago, Clair Patterson used lead isotope ratios in meteorites and terrestrial rocks to measure the age of the Earth, and arrived at a result of 4550±50 million years. The currently accepted age is 4540±20 million years, almost exactly the same. Where did you get the idea that 'every 10 years or so' scientists 'arrive at a different number' for the age of the Earth?
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