Worst Poll Yet for Dems

[stamperben]

RealClearPolitics - 2014 Election Maps - Battle for the Senate
Democrats: 45 Republicans: 47 Toss Ups: 8

RealClearPolitics - 2014 Election Maps - Battle for the House
Democrats: 188 Republicans: 231 Toss Ups: 16

No, it's not looking good for the Democrats.

I'm just hoping Obama knows what a veto is. Then it can wait until 2016 when things will hopefully change.

 

[cow451]

Nate Silver, the guy that nailed the Presidential polling in 2012, said, in March, that the Senate was leaning 51-49 GOP. Tomorrow will tell more as state primaries are tallied.

 

[Veritas]

Sorry Veritas. I was indulging in my pet peeve. I'll stop now.

I actually don't mind brief tangents because there are obviously a lot of side issues here. But from my perspective, this year represents possibly the best opportunity to restore some balance in national politics. Other polls have shown that the American people don't want more democrats to further Obama's agenda but rather republicans to keep it in check. This is a real turn around. It's the classic case of the pendulum swing.

 

[Belk]

I actually don't mind brief tangents because there are obviously a lot of side issues here. But from my perspective, this year represents possibly the best opportunity to restore some balance in national politics. Other polls have shown that the American people don't want more democrats to further Obama's agenda but rather republicans to keep it in check. This is a real turn around. It's the classic case of the pendulum swing.

Should be interesting. The swings we have seen in the past tend to be pretty marginal and rather quickly reversed. If I had to guess I'm thinking this will be another instance in which the Republicans get a narrow majority. Enough to block the democrats agenda but not enough to push much of what the republicans want to advance. I would say mostly a stalemate situation.

 

[Veritas]

Poll: Voters Trust GOP on Economy - Katie Pavlich

The economy remains the most important issue to voters in terms of how they will vote in the next congressional election,and Republicans have a 46% to 39% lead in voter trust in that area, according to new national telephone surveying. That ties the largest gap between the parties on the issue since May 2012. Since June 2009, the GOP has led in voter trust on the economy in all but one survey.

Interestingly, the economy was also the most important issue in 2008 and 2012. Yet, voters elected and re-elected Obama in spite of little progress. I fail to see why they continued to trust him.

 

[Veritas]

Should be interesting. The swings we have seen in the past tend to be pretty marginal and rather quickly reversed. If I had to guess I'm thinking this will be another instance in which the Republicans get a narrow majority. Enough to block the democrats agenda but not enough to push much of what the republicans want to advance. I would say mostly a stalemate situation.

Maybe. My biggest fear is that the GOP will squander the opportunity and not advance a solid economic agenda....or at least not have enough time or support to accomplish much. The voters will then in turn, blame them for continued economic malaise. Their view will be, "hey, we gave you a chance and you didn't do anything". Not fair, really but that's how it'll end up.

 

[Veritas]

It will also be interesting to see just how much Obamacare will play into this. About the time of the election, many in the individual market will be getting their premium renewal notices. Obama delayed the small/med business mandate for another year to reduce the damage. However, they can't keep delaying parts of the law just to protect Dems. By the 2016 POTUS election, we'll see further fallout.

 

[cow451]

Maybe. My biggest fear is that the GOP will squander the opportunity and not advance a solid economic agenda....or at least not have enough time or support to accomplish much. The voters will then in turn, blame them for continued economic malaise. Their view will be, "hey, we gave you a chance and you didn't do anything". Not fair, really but that's how it'll end up.

Veritas,
Civics lesson: This is a mid-term election.
Political lesson: Even with majority in the Senate, the GOP will still be one branch short of control.
History lesson: Mid-term elections, esp. in the second term of a President, tend to go to the party out-of-power. In this case, the Grand Old Party.

 

[USincognito]

Looks like Obamacare along with a stagnant economy and lack of jobs are going to make it tough on Dems next November. I expect that's why they are trying to drum up support for Global Warming/Climate Change/Climate Distruption in addition to the race card to score some points with voters this year. In spite of this poll though, due to a one-sided media, pop culture influence and potential vote fraud, I'm still not confident that good, conservative Rep. or Lib. candidates can be elected in Nov. But I remain hopeful.

Benghazi!

 

[Belk]

Maybe. My biggest fear is that the GOP will squander the opportunity and not advance a solid economic agenda....or at least not have enough time or support to accomplish much. The voters will then in turn, blame them for continued economic malaise. Their view will be, "hey, we gave you a chance and you didn't do anything". Not fair, really but that's how it'll end up.

Honestly I'll be surprised if they are able to do much of anything with the tea party contingent. It is hard to put together an economic package when one part of your group is ideologically opposed to anything other then tax cuts.

 

[HonestTruth]

Poll: Elections Favor GOP In Midterms - Business Insider




Looks like Obamacare along with a stagnant economy and lack of jobs are going to make it tough on Dems next November. I expect that's why they are trying to drum up support for Global Warming/Climate Change/Climate Distruption in addition to the race card to score some points with voters this year. In spite of this poll though, due to a one-sided media, pop culture influence and potential vote fraud, I'm still not confident that good, conservative Rep. or Lib. candidates can be elected in Nov. But I remain hopeful.

Pew = the same folks who for a while predicted that Romney would win in November 2012. Shortly before the election, however, they changed their tune.


As for the ''unpopularity" of Obamacare, much of that can be attributed to the endless lies from the right wing propagandists whose myths are continually debunked every day:




Insurers Plan To Debunk GOP's 'Rigged' Obamacare Study In Front Of Congress



Insurance companies plan to effectively debunk the House GOP's much-derided Obamacare survey at a Wednesday hearing.

The hearing is a follow-up to last week's report from the House Energy and Commerce Committee, and is hosted by one of its subcommittees, that found only 67 percent of Obamacare enrollees had paid their premiums as of April 15. An industry source described the survey to TPM as "incredibly rigged" because it excluded any premium payments that were due April 30 or later.

Roughly 3 million of Obamacare's 8 million enrollees would have had payments due after April 15 because they signed up March 15 or later.

A follow-up letter sent to insurers by the committee seemed to indicate that companies had raised that issue. Testimony prepared for Wednesday's hearing, and which was first reported by Bloomberg, is another direct contradiction of the Republicans' methodology.




Once people set aside the lies and allow themselves to see the TRUTH, Obamacare becomes far more acceptable.

 

[Anovah]

The left owns the mainstream media of news stations, papers, magazines and the pop culture.

Money is the "Mother's Milk of Politics"; it knows no party.

Question. If money is the mothers milk of politics that knows no party... why is media the exception?

[edit] i.e. perhaps media doesn't push liberal interests but rather, monied interests.

 

[Veritas]

Pew = the same folks who for a while predicted that Romney would win in November 2012. Shortly before the election, however, they changed their tune.

Except Pew isn't the only one uncovering these findings.

As for the ''unpopularity" of Obamacare, much of that can be attributed to the endless lies from the right wing propagandists whose myths are continually debunked every day:

Wrong. It's millions of people like me that have been hurt by Obamacare. You cannot find a single reputable poll showing Obamacare very popular.



http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/insurance-companies-testimony-obamacare-survey

Insurers Plan To Debunk GOP's 'Rigged' Obamacare Study In Front Of Congress



Insurance companies plan to effectively debunk the House GOP's much-derided Obamacare survey at a Wednesday hearing.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/insurance-companies-testimony-obamacare-survey

You mean the same insurance companies that cut a backroom deal with Obama on the law to limit their liability? I find it hypocritical that the insurance companies that the Left loves to hate are now their hero's. Strange that, and the fact that their profits are UP because of Obamacare. Yeah, they're going to defend the legislation that will make their insurance company execs even richer!

The hearing is a follow-up to last week's report from the House Energy and Commerce Committee, and is hosted by one of its subcommittees, that found only 67 percent of Obamacare enrollees had paid their premiums as of April 15. An industry source described the survey to TPM as "incredibly rigged" because it excluded any premium payments that were due April 30 or later.

Insurers Struggle With Obamacare 'Duplicate Enrollments' | The Daily Caller

So on top of everything else, the insurance companies don't really know how many have actually enrolled. Makes you wonder how many of the highly touted 8 million are just duplicates.

Once people set aside the lies and allow themselves to see the TRUTH, Obamacare becomes far more acceptable

Here's some TRUTH for you: Obama lied about almost everything having to do with his signature legislation. The big whopper being, "if you like you plan you can keep your plan". Reality? many people like myself liked our plans, but because of Obamacare they were cancelled.

Question. If money is the mothers milk of politics that knows no party... why is media the exception?

[edit] i.e. perhaps media doesn't push liberal interests but rather, monied interests.

Help me understand how the media is a political party.

 

[Jeffwhosoever]

Encouraging polling information. Obama's low approval rating has to have an adverse impact on the election results this November.

 

[Anovah]

Help me understand how the media is a political party.

You're the one claiming the media is political/partisan. You help me understand.

 

[HonestTruth]

Improved economy under Obama:


Uncle Sam runs $114 billion surplus in April

Source: CNN.com

The U.S. Treasury Department booked a $114 billion surplus in April, the largest for that month since 2008, according to the latest estimates from the Congressional Budget Office released Wednesday.

For the first seven months of this fiscal year, which began on Oct. 1, the CBO estimates the country has racked up a $301 billion deficit, which is $187 billion lower than it was for the same period last year.

Federal coffers saw a 7% increase in individual income taxes and payroll taxes, a 15% increase in corporate income taxes, and a 37% increase in money paid to Treasury by the Federal Reserve.

Last month, the CBO projected that the 2014 shortfall would decline to 2.8% of gross domestic product -- or $492 billion. That is well below the 4.1% -- or $680 billion -- recorded for fiscal year 2013. To top of page



Uncle Sam runs $114 billion surplus in April - May. 7, 2014





Such good news should bring up the popularity numbers.

 

[SummerMadness]

This is not a good year for the Democratic party, but 2016 will leave many Republicans vulnerable... and since it's a presidential election year, that will signal higher voter turnout, which usually favors Dems.

Here is a pretty interesting analysis: Electoral-Vote: Long View of the Senate