- Dec 25, 2003
- 42,070
- 16,820
- Country
- United States
- Gender
- Male
- Faith
- Atheist
- Marital Status
- Private
... I prefer to be a skeptical cherry picker.
You're at least two of those three words.
Upvote
0
Starting today August 7th, 2024, in order to post in the Married Couples, Courting Couples, or Singles forums, you will not be allowed to post if you have your Marital status designated as private. Announcements will be made in the respective forums as well but please note that if yours is currently listed as Private, you will need to submit a ticket in the Support Area to have yours changed.
... I prefer to be a skeptical cherry picker.
Just because science does this does not make its conclusions true.Yes, it is. That's how science works.GooberJIL said:This is not trueDannager said:We can measure past events with equivalent certainty by analyzing evidence.
You can't go back and revise an observation. If a method of observation is found to be faulty or inaccurate, then that data must be thrown out and can not be used to establish a scientific fact. For example, an earthquake happens and is recorded by a seismograph and that equipment is later found to be defective, those recorded results can not be used to determine the focus, magnitude, or epicenter of that event. Nor could they be revised.Dannager said:Observations made at the time of the event aren't perfect at first either. They have to be revised to. That's part of all science.GooberJIL said:and is why new evidence demands that science constantly revise its conclusions.
Suppose that we only recorded rain fall for a single year(this would establish a scientific fact) in a given city, now could we go on to assume that every past year the exact same amount of rain fell in that certain city? Now on the following year we record an additional scientific fact and determine that it did not match our previous assumption suggested by a scientific fact. The fact wasn't wrong, but the assumption was. Now we could go on to assume that each year will contain the same differential or average rain fall. These assumptions would not be facts and because now we have establish so many years of rainfall facts we all know this to be inaccurate. The only fact that we've scientifically established is that the amount of annual rainfall is different each year. So how could we know as a scientific fact what the rainfall of any year was for that city that we do not have an observation for? We can not scientifically state for a fact what the rainfall was. Point being that with out an accurate scientific observation we can only speculate and 'best guess' what that rainfall rate might have been. So any conclusion about anything going on in prior years effected by rainfall would not be based on fact.Dannager said:Sure. Why would you believe otherwise?GooberJIL said:This type of analysis assumes that if 'X' is true today, then it was true at all points in the past(IOW: universally).
Conclusions are often arrived at based on assumptions, suppositions, hypothesis, theories. etc. see above example.Dannager said:Humor us, what else would it be based on?GooberJIL said:When we deal with scientific facts, new evidence only confirms those facts. A scientific conclusion is not always arrived at only based on scientifically confirmed facts.
My point is that the universal theory should not be used as if it establishes scientific facts; not that incorporating new data is a bad thing. I agree with you that it isn't a bad thing. Science is constantly being changed as we accumulate new data and better means of observations. This also forces changes in its conclusions.You act as though incorporating new data is a bad thing (it isn't), and that science "constantly" changes (it doesn't).
You are presenting conclusions that are not based on scientific facts as facts. Einstein's theory of relativity states that the speed of light is relative to the observer an does change and is effected by gravity and densities; but it is treated as a constant. This is why it is still treated as a theory and not a law.USincognito said:The age of the Earth has been consistent for about 50 years, Darwin's evolutionary theory only had to be modified to develop the modern synthesis, we know, from the 1987 supernova that the speed of light hasn't changed in 170,000+ years and we know from ice core data that the atmosphere has remained pretty much the same for at least 400,000 years.
You're right, it did not change the nature of Pluto itself, but it did change the conclusion. (that is still being debated)USincognito said:Even the reassignment of Pluto was the result of newly discoveried Kueiper objects, not a change in the nature of Pluto itself.
USincognito said:I don't know where you got that last sentence from. Can you cite a specific exampe of a scientific conclusion arrived at based on something other than scientific facts?
You're right. Our observations, despite being flawless, could be completely wrong if for some reason the universal laws we experience today were not the same a few thousand years ago, and beyond that didn't leave any evidence of changing. Sure, if God decided to be purposefully deceptive and pull the most mammoth switcheroo ever conceived on us, yeah, we could be wrong. But I prefer not to believe that God would do such a thing. I believe that God gave us the ability to observe and reason for a purpose. I believe that God intended us to be able to marvel at the world around us and study its intricacies.Just because science does this does not make its conclusions true.
Which means you get a new observation based on the better method.You can't go back and revise an observation. If a method of observation is found to be faulty or inaccurate, then that data must be thrown out and can not be used to establish a scientific fact.
You're certainly right. But seismologists could then go to the epicenter of the quake and take measurements of tectonic shifting in the surrounding area to determine the magnitude of the quake. Because, y'know, earthquakes leave evidence.For example, an earthquake happens and is recorded by a seismograph and that equipment is later found to be defective, those recorded results can not be used to determine the focus, magnitude, or epicenter of that event. Nor could they be revised.
Certainly not.Suppose that we only recorded rain fall for a single year(this would establish a scientific fact) in a given city, now could we go on to assume that every past year the exact same amount of rain fell in that certain city?
What, that we had to draw conclusions based on the available data? Sure.Now on the following year we record an additional scientific fact and determine that it did not match our previous assumption suggested by a scientific fact. The fact wasn't wrong, but the assumption was.
Which would cause us to alter our predictions.Now we could go on to assume that each year will contain the same differential or average rain fall. These assumptions would not be facts and because now we have establish so many years of rainfall facts we all know this to be inaccurate.
Hmmm, plant growth would be a good place to start. Water table increases would also help. Local lake levels would give an indication, as would fauna strength. As much as you might not like it, everything leaves evidence. It's just a matter of having equipment capable of observing it.The only fact that we've scientifically established is that the amount of annual rainfall is different each year. So how could we know as a scientific fact what the rainfall of any year was for that city that we do not have an observation for?
I'm sure that we could, given enough study. I'm also sure that you're nowhere near qualified enough to make a claim like that.We can not scientifically state for a fact what the rainfall was.
Yes, without an accurate scientific observation. Fortunately, you can still make accurate scientific observations after the fact.Point being that with out an accurate scientific observation we can only speculate and 'best guess' what that rainfall rate might have been.
Sure it would, if you actually collected proper evidence. You seem to want to ignore that possibility for some reason, though.So any conclusion about anything going on in prior years effected by rainfall would not be based on fact.
No, conclusions are arrived at via data. They qualify theories, validate hypotheses, reinforce suppositions and fine-tune assumptions.Conclusions are often arrived at based on assumptions, suppositions, hypothesis, theories. etc. see above example.
Please, please don't be yet another creationist who doesn't understand what a theory is and what a law is. Do some reading up on them, please.You are presenting conclusions that are not based on scientific facts as facts. Einstein's theory of relativity states that the speed of light is relative to the observer an does change and is effected by gravity and densities; but it is treated as a constant. This is why it is still treated as a theory and not a law.
I'm glad you brought up ice cores, the US WWII plane buried in ice on Greenland clearly debunks the conclusion that we can make an accurate correlation that 'x' number of rings = 'x' number of years, because going by the ring theory that plane had hundreds or thousands of years worth of ice on top of it. (I forget the exact #)
But they clearly describe the best interpretation of the results, i.e. two floods one after the other (with a period of respite in between, presumably), and 450,000 years ago, not 4,000 years ago. So you don't have any right to take part of their interpretation (there was massive flooding) while rejecting part (... from two floods a long long time ago), unless you can clearly show that the interpretation of two floods is wrong based on their data. If you don't accept their detailed analysis, not having taken so much as a look at their raw observations, why should you accept anything of their analysis at all?
Differences in skull features are related to genetics, and genetic variation depends on how much mixing occurs with other populations. The main problem with the paper is that it takes some assumptions from genetics papers of 10 to 15 years ago that we now know are wrong, Hawks said.
Manica and colleagues took multiple measurements of more than 4,500 male fossil skulls from 105 populations around the globe. They combined the results with data from studies of global genetic variations in humans, finding that both genetic and skull variability decreased with distance from Africa. So populations in southeastern Africa held the highest variability compared with populations in other countries.
So you assume, no one was there to make and record a scientific observation for us to factually know. In fact Creationism demands that this was not always so.
it certainly doesn't prove migration.
I'm curious. How long does something have to be in the past before measurements of it become unreliable?
I'll need both a number and a unit, by the way.
Metherion
So, when you laugh at "secular science", what is it - approximately - that you are laughing at?i am beginning to laugh at secular science as it poses no real threat to theology. it just does not understand issues which are over its head.
how can measuring skulls determine where God dispersed mankind?
such conclusions and failure to rebut properly just makes my point.
My point is that the universal theory should not be used as if it establishes scientific facts; not that incorporating new data is a bad thing. I agree with you that it isn't a bad thing. Science is constantly being changed as we accumulate new data and better means of observations. This also forces changes in its conclusions.
You are presenting conclusions that are not based on scientific facts as facts.
Einstein's theory of relativity states that the speed of light is relative to the observer an does change and is effected by gravity and densities; but it is treated as a constant. This is why it is still treated as a theory and not a law.
I'm glad you brought up ice cores, the US WWII plane buried in ice on Greenland clearly debunks the conclusion that we can make an accurate correlation that 'x' number of rings = 'x' number of years, because going by the ring theory that plane had hundreds or thousands of years worth of ice on top of it. (I forget the exact #)
You're right, it did not change the nature of Pluto itself, but it did change the conclusion. (that is still being debated)
see above example using rainfall.
i am beginning to laugh at secular science as it poses no real threat to theology.
it just does not understand issues which are over its head.
Shern,
I am cherry picking.
It is just that, for me, there is plenty of room to move on theories about events that took place eons ago. As far as I know maybe there were 5 BWEs or 500 BWEs, plus a few big meteor events, who really knows? That still leaves room for the Genesis flood. (GBWE)
You are presenting conclusions that are not based on scientific facts as facts. Einstein's theory of relativity states that the speed of light is relative to the observer an does change and is effected by gravity and densities; but it is treated as a constant. This is why it is still treated as a theory and not a law.
I'm curious. How long does something have to be in the past before measurements of it become unreliable?
I'll need both a number and a unit, by the way.
Metherion
IOW: most of what is passed off as scientific fact is not fact, but is only a best guess. Thank you for validating my point.No, conclusions are arrived at via data. They qualify theories, validate hypotheses, reinforce suppositions and fine-tune assumptions.