Thanks. Creationists may want to address issues of time at some point, and I have thoughts on that as well. However, I would advise against trying to eat the entire elephant in one bite. It is better to find a small starting point and focus on that.
I am a mathematician so I sort of
have to eat the elephant and the branch in its mouth in one bite. But, I get you.
Time is not my concern anyway, because I fully believe it to be arbitrary (unless coupled to space, for which it is part of a dimensional line element - not a stand alone measure of counting a parameter.)
Let's see if you can answer that for yourself. It will mean more if you can. I looked up some of my notes. In the past, I had actually suggested a rating scale for each proposition, where a score of +2 = "matches current biology", 0 = "it could go either way", and -2 = "opposes current biology". I also laid out the propositions in groups. So, I didn't dribble them out one at a time, but in order to give better flow to the discussion, I didn't dump them all at once either.
The first 3 related more to abiogenesis. Current biology maintains that abiogenesis and evolution are separate. i.e. falsifying any particular hypothesis or theory for abiogenesis won't falsify evolution (so it's another important precept to get out there). However, starting with a few propositions on genesis events helps set the stage. So, here we go:
1. Suppose multiple independent genesis events produce life. How probable is it all of these events would converge on the same (or similar) physics-based mechanisms: 20-some amino acids, RNA/DNA-like self-replication, and a cellular structure? (+2 to -2)
2. Suppose multiple independent genesis events occur at different times. How probable is it conditions would have been suitable for these events during the Cambrian,
Ordovician, Silurian, Devonian, and Carboniferous radiations? (+2 to -2)
3. How probable is it different genesis events would produce different expressions (phenotypes)? (-2 to +2)
1. 0
2. 0
3. 0
Perhaps I am handicapped by my specialty, but my first step would be to
define the set/collection called
genesis.
In other words, I would need to see the elements that make up a particular genesis (fire and ice, electricity, a god, etc.)
Determine the mathematical uniqueness of that particular genesis
Model the extrapolation of the permutations of genesis consequences based on the (un)restricted definition of the geneses.
I wouldn't know how to score your propositions without relating it to mathematically analytical demand. It would be like you telling me there is a space of math elements but I am not told whether the elements are numbers (and, the types,) vectors, spaces themselves, etc.
Without constraints, I wouldn't be able to ascertain the possibility of anything. The math needs to be right, and since there is too much error (in the form of assumptions of parameters - usually taken as
constant over an interval) a mathematical wall is hit before exegeses can begin. That's why I included the fantastical in my possibilities. Those are just as probable as the meat of the theory of evolution (in terms of mathematics.) In fact, as said, chaos theory (non-linear dynamical system analysis) actually explains "evolution," as it were, much better than evolution itself. The problem is that it doesn't culturally mesh with a random act.
The definition of chaos is a system whose activity at a later time
t > 0 is
dramatically and sometimes entirely a consequence of the initial conditions. That implies a creator, or at least a condition we are overlooking that drives the entire system to this very point.
You can see why as a Christian and mathematician my answer would simply be the Most High God. But, I admire academia's prowess to search for complications even when the method and solution are simple.