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I'd be truly sad to see it happen, but this could lead to me returning to my Calvary Chapel roots.
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There are also Free Methodist, African Methodist (AME, AMEZ) and Wesleyan congregations.There are more United Methodist churches in the United States than there are Nazarene churches in the entire world. While they may be ideologically similar, I contend that many communities will not have a Nazarene church present to absorb an exodus from said community's UMC. So many such Methodists would have to either be a new Nazarene church start or find somewhere else to worship. I think it is more likely that non-denoms will capture more affected UMCs than any one established denomination...for they are everywhere.
I voted Nazarene to the OP as such, but I wonder if it will really be CONSERVATIVE UMC members that do the splitting off, after all, the UMC worldwide including African and 3rd world churches is strongly conservative -- it would seem that the LIBERAL UMC members in US would be the ones to split off
accepting both gays and conservatives
Based on what has happened with other leading denominations, I would expect them to scatter to a variety of alternatives, including the churches most akin to the UMC--Free Methodists, Nazarenes, etc.--with many, usually the older members, simply drifting into inactivity. Also, expect a smaller number going to less obvious Protestant churches (Presbyterian, Disciples, etc.) or to some successor "Continuing Methodist" church that would surely be set up by some activists.However, even if a split fails to happen, a policy change could well result in perhaps hundreds of thousands of conservative United Methodists waking out the doors and trying other denominations. It is hard to say where most would go. What do you think?
Everyone is assuming that conservatives will withdraw. I don't think the votes exist for the denomination to accept gays. In no other church have conservatives been willing to agree to coexistence. I think liberals will withdraw, probably in the form of annual conferences and/or jurisdictions. That will result in an actual split. If that doesn't happen I agree with Albion.
Everyone is assuming that conservatives will withdraw. I don't think the votes exist for the denomination to accept gays. In no other church have conservatives been willing to agree to coexistence. I think liberals will withdraw, probably in the form of annual conferences and/or jurisdictions. That will result in an actual split. If that doesn't happen I agree with Albion.
Everything you say is true, from all that I know, but it is an unusual situation, isn't it?
From other Methodists I've spoken with, I get the idea that the liberals being frustrated enough to make a break is a possibility. That surprised me at first. We have come to think of splits in major denominations as always being a matter of the liberals doggedly working for--and getting--change until the conservatives feel that they have no choice but to get out and start afresh. Yet there was at least one instance of it being the other way around when the Missouri Synod Lutheran liberals broke off. They ultimately joined a prominent and more liberal Lutheran body. That option wouldn't be available to the liberals in the UMC. And it did not prevent (although it delayed) a number of conservatives from bolting anyway.
Yep, that makes sense.My biggest fear is that the Commission will come up with a brilliant solution but that the General Conference, which seems horribly dysfunctional will be unable to adopt it. If that happens some kind of split will likely come because after 40+ years of this, the status quo cannot continue. The stress within the structure is too high for that.