Well you see I don't "want" to say anything. I haven't claimed that the universe as we observe is unlikely. The experts in their fields have claimed the universe we observe is highly unlikely and improbable. How they determine that unlikeliness and improbability are actually scientifically determined by the mathematical equations that they feel bring about that conclusion. As you know with all peer-reviewed science, those equations and terms must be backed by scientific methodology and it is. If it were not, it would be thrown out. I personally am not arriving at any numbers, using any data or variables from any form of probability. I trust that based on considering scientists in all fields of study in this regard being represented by differing worldviews agree that the evidence provides substantiation for their conclusion that the universe is highly unlikely and improbable. The information is peer-reviewed and there is something like 200 papers that I am aware of that substantiate the fine tuning of the universe and the improbability of it.You want to say that the universe as we observe it is unlikely. The word unlikely is a referent for a probability. Unlikely means that the probability of the event in question is less that 0.5. Now when you say the universe is unlikely you don't mean less than 0.5 you mean something like 0.0000....01 probability. So how are you arriving at these numbers, what data are you using in those variables from Bayes equation. As I say to my students, show your work![]()
Of course we can not observe the actual universe but we know for instance that if the nuclear force was smaller or larger no atoms could exist and only hydrogen would be there. We can't "create" an actual alternate universe but we can do a model which really "exists" in for and structure by way of the changes.This is exactly what I mean. You are going outside the observed evidence (as you must to make a probability judgement when we only have one instance of the phenomenon innquestion). You are saying "IF" we change one of these values, then...
The word IF is the giveaway. It denotes a hypothetical. There is no actual universe that you can observe in which the value is different, so you propose a hypothetical alternate universe where this is the case.
Ok, fair enough. So that leads us to two options:But it is. You yourself said that if something does not happen by chance then in happens on purpose, that these options represent a true dychotomy. We are still debating if only intelligent beings can confer purpose but so far you haven't given an example of something with a purpose that is not connected to a sentient being. Therfore, when you say it can't happen by chance (which of course is a probability judgment ) you are saying it happened on propose.
1. The universe was created by chance.
2. The universe was created on purpose.
Scientists have claimed that the universe was not created by chance so it must have been on purpose. Do you agree?
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