Subduction Zone
Regular Member
I am far from convinced with all sheldrakes claims
However the "do you know who is ringing you" is conceptually very simple - easy to measure significance and to make procedure tight. And some experiments he did on that subject (like Nolan) do seem to show massive significance.
I was using this subject not to raise it for its own sake, but an example that is definitely polarizing in terms of apriori belief (Dawkins is not impartial , a definite non believer in it - and he uses the word "supernatural" to ridicule it)
But it is also an area in which there are results way beyond chance.
The point I make is -
If and only assuming the data is good and no holes are found in method - as a matter of definition it is "natural" not "supernatural" behaviour because it happened in nature. Whether or what the mechanism is.
I would have to disagree with this. Though not proof of the supernatural, events that run contrary to all known laws of physics may be supernatural. The problem is that the claim of something being "supernatural" is usually an argument from ignorance. The examples that you gave failed as being properly investigated. Proper records were not kept Methodologies were not revealed. All we can say at best is that we do not know and poor experimentation is only evidence of the incompetence of the one running the experiment. I do not know of any examples of the supernatural that exist when rigorously investigated.
The problem then is , without even a postulated cause it is hard to know what is important, so easy to make a change that could remove significance.
So I think it is vital that first repetitions are exact. Is the data good, before trying to explain it? And funding has problems then (althoughh I hasten to add, sheldrake has repeated variants of this)
When another tried to repeat it, they did not get the same results, but by their own admission changed a number of factors, which is the problem of new vs repeat for funding and publishing.
(As an aside sheldrake remarks that it is not even "extraordinary" because he claims that a significant proportion of popluation believe it true I assume he polled)
And as has been pointed out Sheldrake's lack of rigor makes his experiments all but worthless in support of the supernatural. He has an example of an unexplained phenomena but there is no way to tell if it was investigated properly.
Peer review exists to make sure that people do their work properly. The peers makes sure that the researcher dots every i and crosses every t. Sheldrake did not do this.
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