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Science vs Global Warming

Subduction Zone

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Rubricnigel

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It does not matter what search engine you use. When you screw up in the terms that you use you will only get garbage as a result.

Fair enough, but it still doesnt change the fact that numbers have been falsely presented to push an agenda.
Im old enough to remember when we were told all the polar bears would be dead, the polar caps melted, new york under water.
Its rhetoric on the left side of the aisle, the same way the right side uses gun control and end of the world.
 
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Subduction Zone

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Fair enough, but it still doesnt change the fact that numbers have been falsely presented to push an agenda.
Im old enough to remember when we were told all the polar bears would be dead, the polar caps melted, new york under water.
Its rhetoric on the left side of the aisle, the same way the right side uses gun control and end of the world.
Really? Where? Find a reliable source.
 
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Rubricnigel

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Subduction Zone

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I posted 3 links showing scientists fakes data above?

Embarrassing Predictions Haunt the Global-Warming Industry

Heres 1 more before my phone dies.
Not one valid site. At least try to find some peer reviewed articles that support your claims. Here is a hint, when scientists avoid peer review it is usually because they have a very reasonable fear that they are wrong.

EDIT: Your site loses immediately by siting "global cooling" a concept pushed by only a couple of scientists but picked up by the media in the 70's.

Can you please try to be serious instead of shooting yourself in the foot with people that probably had a hard time graduating from high school?
 
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sparow

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You state that the earth has been roughly in equilibrium since the last ice-age but temperatures have almost constantly increased. So has CO2 and so has CH4. Sea levels have changes, land levels have changed, land area has changed, vegetation has changed, animal life has changed dramatically, human activity and population has changed incredibly. What on earth do you think is in equilibrium?

I am well aware that plants process some CO2 more readily than others - leaving the fossil fuel CO2 more prevalent in the atmosphere; don't ask me why, I'm not a biologist. There is obviously no doubt that the vast majority of fossil based CO2 comes from man and also no doubt that CO2 levels have increased but that is not the point. What I was seeking, right from the outset, is an explanation of the theory of anthropogenic global warming that is above the stupidly dumbed down version and below the 'secret' and unavailable computer model. I have seen nothing at all from you on that.

It seems that you are only interested in providing and asking for links to other people's work. I'm not interested in wasting my time searching the internet for your benefit, I have done plenty of that. If you are not able to understand or explain basic physics I will go elsewhere.


It seems that most climate change is natural but is over such a long period (400000 years between ice ages) and man's organised existence at around 6000 years the change is barely notices; certainly not noticed by a single generation; wheat require certain climatic condition to grow and has been grown in Biblical Israel for 4000 years.

But the climate change in question is qualified by, "man made", and should be separated from that which is natural.

Plants are hydrocarbon; they get their hydrogen from water and some of the carbon from the air but most from the ground. The most prolific producer of oxygen is sea weed which is not technically a plant.
 
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Aardverk

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No, since the end of the latest glaciation we had a short period of warming, which I still consider to be part of that. But for roughly the last ten thousand years temperatures have been stable.
In my very first post in this thread I mentioned the 10,000 year anomaly of the 100,000 year cycle and you have just alluded to it yourself as if it was something you were introducing. I am very well aware of the Holocene period, thank you, but I refrained from naming it to avoid anyone thinking that it was just a time period. It takes no imagination at all to see that the Holocene is an irrelevant anomaly in Earth's past. To treat that brief period as the 'norm' is extraordinarily short-sighted. Why on earth (literally) would anyone select that very brief 10,000 year period out of the previous million of years and treat it as the norm?

There is much speculation for that anomalous 'level' period. The various shorter cycles within the Holocene would always have been applicable at the 100,000 year cycle peaks but that effect was never recorded before. Make no mistake - it is abnormal. Before you bother to mention it, yes, I am aware of the speculation that it is the result of a meteor impact that (possibly) caused the Younger Drynas . All that we seem to be witnessing at the moment is a return to the normal 100,000 year cycle.

Thanks for your input Mr Zone but we just seem to be wasting each other's time. You clearly have no intention of trying to answer any of my questions and I certainly don't need you to tell me how to look things up on the internet. You have (deliberately?) led me further and further from my original questions, introduced red-herrings and failed to understand some really basic physics. I was hoping to find someone who professed to understand the theory in enough detail that they could answer questions - but I will obviously have to keep looking.

Bye.
 
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Subduction Zone

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In my very first post in this thread I mentioned the 10,000 year anomaly of the 100,000 year cycle and you have just alluded to it yourself as if it was something you were introducing. I am very well aware of the Holocene period, thank you, but I refrained from naming it to avoid anyone thinking that it was just a time period. It takes no imagination at all to see that the Holocene is an irrelevant anomaly in Earth's past. To treat that brief period as the 'norm' is extraordinarily short-sighted. Why on earth (literally) would anyone select that very brief 10,000 year period out of the previous million of years and treat it as the norm?

There is much speculation for that anomalous 'level' period. The various shorter cycles within the Holocene would always have been applicable at the 100,000 year cycle peaks but that effect was never recorded before. Make no mistake - it is abnormal. Before you bother to mention it, yes, I am aware of the speculation that it is the result of a meteor impact that (possibly) caused the Younger Drynas . All that we seem to be witnessing at the moment is a return to the normal 100,000 year cycle.

Thanks for your input Mr Zone but we just seem to be wasting each other's time. You clearly have no intention of trying to answer any of my questions and I certainly don't need you to tell me how to look things up on the internet. You have (deliberately?) led me further and further from my original questions, introduced red-herrings and failed to understand some really basic physics. I was hoping to find someone who professed to understand the theory in enough detail that they could answer questions - but I will obviously have to keep looking.

Bye.
You have not been able to ask any proper questions. Blaming me for your lack is not proper. You appear to be jealous of those that can do the science and are merely looking for excuses not to believe. This is not how science is done.
 
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BobRyan

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which said "Professor Ewert’s findings seem to show NASA has intentionally and systematically rigged the official government record of global temperatures to show recent global warming where none would exist without the upwards ‘revisions.

The astonishing results are now available online to the public. P Gosselin of notrickzone.com reports:

Ederer reports not long ago retired geologist and data computation expert Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert began looking at the data behind the global warming claims, and especially the datasets of NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS).

Ewert painstakingly examined and tabulated the reams of archived data from 1153 stations that go back to 1881 – which NASA has publicly available – data that the UN IPCC uses to base its conclusion that man is heating the Earth’s atmosphere through the burning of fossil fuels"

Why would "fraud be needed" to justify an observable irrefutable fact???
 
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BobRyan

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Aardverk

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You have not been able to ask any proper questions. Blaming me for your lack is not proper. You appear to be jealous of those that can do the science and are merely looking for excuses not to believe. This is not how science is done.
Oh dear, I'm sorry if I'm not asking you the right questions. Maybe that explains why you only seem interested in making a quick search and providing links to someone else's ideas.

I am sure you will understand that gives the unfortunate impression that you don't actually know the answers yourself. Let me help you therefore by posing a couple of questions related to a subject on which you were bold enough to express an opinion of your own.

You said,
"...since the end of the latest glaciation we had a short period of warming, which I still consider to be part of that. But for roughly the last ten thousand years temperatures have been stable."

Your words, "I still consider" indicate that you have formed your own opinion - well done. You are actually referring to the Holocene and the bounce back from the Younger Dynas. You claimed earlier that was a period of "equilibrium" and implied that period was the 'normal' condition for planet earth - when we all know that it certainly was not. Climate scientists often misleadingly refer to a VERY brief 4-5,000 year period of the Holocene as the Holocene Optimum or Holocene Climatic Optimum (and various other terms). They have selected the only flat trend line through the Holocene fluctuations, effectively a random 4-5,000 year period, and temperature variation from that flat line are misleadingly referred to as temperature 'anomalies'. The problem is, any 5 year old can look at the temperature graphs for the last 800,000 years and see that the Holocene itself is the anomaly. There are no equivalent periods of stability, or "equilibrium" as you put it, in the last 800,000 years, at the very least. Not at ANY temperature.

Now my very simple questions:

1. Why do YOU consider that brief period of "equilibrium" to be 'normal' when we know beyond doubt that temperatures have fluctuated widely in a very clear 100,000 year cycle without any previous states of equilibrium?

2. What do YOU think is the optimum OR the normal temperature for planet earth - and why?

3. If there is no 'normal' temperature, and there isn't, how can we know what the temperature would be if it were not for the influence of mankind? I don't expect you to provide the calculations but let's see just an outline of the maths you would use to prove it.​


One last observation: It is interesting that an atheist comes to a Christian forum and accuses me of "merely looking for excuses not to believe". Honestly Subduction Zone, have you been 'corrupted'? Do you really think that science is a matter of belief? :scratch: No SZ, that is not how science is done.
 
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Subduction Zone

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Oh dear, I'm sorry if I'm not asking you the right questions. Maybe that explains why you only seem interested in making a quick search and providing links to someone else's ideas.

I am sure you will understand that gives the unfortunate impression that you don't actually know the answers yourself. Let me help you therefore by posing a couple of questions related to a subject on which you were bold enough to express an opinion of your own.

You said,

Your words, "I still consider" indicate that you have formed your own opinion - well done. You are actually referring to the Holocene and the bounce back from the Younger Dynas. You claimed earlier that was a period of "equilibrium" and implied that period was the 'normal' condition for planet earth - when we all know that it certainly was not. Climate scientists often misleadingly refer to a VERY brief 4-5,000 year period of the Holocene as the Holocene Optimum or Holocene Climatic Optimum (and various other terms). They have selected the only flat trend line through the Holocene fluctuations, effectively a random 4-5,000 year period, and temperature variation from that flat line are misleadingly referred to as temperature 'anomalies'. The problem is, any 5 year old can look at the temperature graphs for the last 800,000 years and see that the Holocene itself is the anomaly. There are no equivalent periods of stability, or "equilibrium" as you put it, in the last 800,000 years, at the very least. Not at ANY temperature.

Now my very simple questions:

1. Why do YOU consider that brief period of "equilibrium" to be 'normal' when we know beyond doubt that temperatures have fluctuated widely in a very clear 100,000 year cycle without any previous states of equilibrium?

2. What do YOU think is the optimum OR the normal temperature for planet earth - and why?

3. If there is no 'normal' temperature, and there isn't, how can we know what the temperature would be if it were not for the influence of mankind? I don't expect you to provide the calculations but let's see just an outline of the maths you would use to prove it.​


One last observation: It is interesting that an atheist comes to a Christian forum and accuses me of "merely looking for excuses not to believe". Honestly Subduction Zone, have you been 'corrupted'? Do you really think that science is a matter of belief? :scratch: No SZ, that is not how science is done.

You are still merely trying to make excuses. You do not want to learn anything. I thought that you were serious at first but you are only a slightly more sophisticated science denier.

You are guilty of all sorts of logical fallacies, you main one appears to be trying to use equivocation fallacies.

Now do you want an honest discussion or do not? I get tired rather quickly of dishonest techniques.
 
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Subduction Zone

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Principia-Scientific International is now "alex jones" for those in a religious war promoting man-made global warming??

That was in response to this "source" that you linked:

Prison Planet.com » IPCC Scientists Caught Producing False Data To Push Global Warming

They don't even hide it. The full name of that place, according to the title at the top of the page is "Alex Jones' Prison Planet".

I love it when you cut down your own religious beliefs by falsely calling AGW a religion. Nice shooting. You have hit both feet now.
 
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Aardverk

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You are still merely trying to make excuses. You do not want to learn anything. I thought that you were serious at first but you are only a slightly more sophisticated science denier.

You are guilty of all sorts of logical fallacies, you main one appears to be trying to use equivocation fallacies.

Now do you want an honest discussion or do not? I get tired rather quickly of dishonest techniques.
An honest discussion? That was indeed exactly what I wanted. Dishonest techniques? Really SZ (pot and kettle!)? I have been perfectly clear and open right from the start. Perhaps it was someone else who was being dishonest. :yawn:

I'm sorry to publicly embarrass you by asking you questions beyond your ability but you did pretend to be knowledgeable. Can I suggest that you think a little more for yourself and stop relying upon links that you seem not to understand. I deliberately raised issues at a very low level to give you a fair chance. They really were not complicated questions but you still couldn't answer them nor understand the basic physics.

You may insult people all you want but I spent many years teaching meteorology, physics and aeronautics and it is pretty clear from your evasive responses that I know rather more than you imply. I gave you plenty of clues on that yet you still were determined to pretend to be more knowledgeable than you really are. Stop blustering SZ, you are embarrassing yourself more and more.

"merely looking for excuses not to believe" :ebil: Yes, that was a good one. :wave:
 
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Subduction Zone

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An honest discussion? That was indeed exactly what I wanted. Dishonest techniques? Really SZ (pot and kettle!)? I have been perfectly clear and open right from the start. Perhaps it was someone else who was being dishonest. :yawn:

I'm sorry to publicly embarrass you by asking you questions beyond your ability but you did pretend to be knowledgeable. Can I suggest that you think a little more for yourself and stop relying upon links that you seem not to understand. I deliberately raised issues at a very low level to give you a fair chance. They really were not complicated questions but you still couldn't answer them nor understand the basic physics.

You may insult people all you want but I spent many years teaching meteorology, physics and aeronautics and it is pretty clear from your evasive responses that I know rather more than you imply. I gave you plenty of clues on that yet you still were determined to pretend to be more knowledgeable than you really are. Stop blustering SZ, you are embarrassing yourself more and more.

"merely looking for excuses not to believe" :ebil: Yes, that was a good one. :wave:

Please, you are not applying the same standards to yourself as you are to me. When I use colloquial speech you complain, and yet that is all that you have. That alone is dishonest. When I demand that you properly support your claims you run away, I have supported my claims. That too is dishonest.

If you want a proper discussion you need to support your claims and apply the same standards to your speech as you apply to others. But then yes, you are treating this as a religion and not as a science and are looking for an excuse not to believe because at base yours is a religious belief and not a scientific one. If you had a scientific belief you could support it with evidence instead of complaining about the science that you do not understand.
 
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Aardverk

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Please, you are not applying the same standards to yourself as you are to me. When I use colloquial speech you complain, and yet that is all that you have. That alone is dishonest. When I demand that you properly support your claims you run away, I have supported my claims. That too is dishonest.

If you want a proper discussion you need to support your claims and apply the same standards to your speech as you apply to others. But then yes, you are treating this as a religion and not as a science and are looking for an excuse not to believe because at base yours is a religious belief and not a scientific one. If you had a scientific belief you could support it with evidence instead of complaining about the science that you do not understand.

Sorry to show you up again but your words reveal such gross misunderstandings that I feel it my duty to try to help you.

"You are looking for excuses not to believe........If you had a scientific belief you could support it with evidence..." - There is no such thing as "scientific belief" SZ. Any real scientist would be ashamed of your words. Before you start wriggling, an hypothesis is not a 'belief'.

".... instead of complaining about the science you do not understand" - I have absolutely no idea what you think I do not understand. You have not told me a single thing but simply directed me to other people's work that you seem not to have understood yourself (pot & kettle).

"When I use colloquial speech you complain" - I have not complained about colloquial speech, quite the opposite. I made it clear from the outset that I wanted to start off the discussion at a simple level and then dig down to a more complex level if you seemed to be knowledgeable enough. Unfortunately you couldn't manage the simple level using everyday language and school-boy physics.

"When I demand that you support your claims you run away" - I have made no claims at all.
I displayed some VERY well known graphs and I have explained why water vapour can be a self sustaining greenhouse gas. If you are not aware of those graphs, you obviously have not done much research into global warming! I described the water vapour effect in the simplest of terms and did not even complicate it with ice-melt, the effect of irrigation & rain falling on an increasingly warm planet and even subduction(!) of water. None of that requires 'support' SZ, it is simple basic physics that ANY scientist could readily understand. You have had ample opportunity to explain where I was wrong, in your opinion, but you did not. Perhaps you are a little shy about displaying the true level of your knowledge. I wonder why :|

"I have supported my claims" - No SZ, you have not made any claims. All you have done is point to other people's work that you have apparently accepted as your 'belief'. There is no room for 'belief' in science SZ. Perhaps that explains why you are lurking on a Christian forum .:amen:
 
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Subduction Zone

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Sorry to show you up again but your words reveal such gross misunderstandings that I feel it my duty to try to help you.

"You are looking for excuses not to believe........If you had a scientific belief you could support it with evidence..." - There is no such thing as "scientific belief" SZ. Any real scientist would be ashamed of your words. Before you start wriggling, an hypothesis is not a 'belief'.

".... instead of complaining about the science you do not understand" - I have absolutely no idea what you think I do not understand. You have not told me a single thing but simply directed me to other people's work that you seem not to have understood yourself (pot & kettle).

"When I use colloquial speech you complain" - I have not complained about colloquial speech, quite the opposite. I made it clear from the outset that I wanted to start off the discussion at a simple level and then dig down to a more complex level if you seemed to be knowledgeable enough. Unfortunately you couldn't manage the simple level using everyday language and school-boy physics.

"When I demand that you support your claims you run away" - I have made no claims at all.
I displayed some VERY well known graphs and I have explained why water vapour can be a self sustaining greenhouse gas. If you are not aware of those graphs, you obviously have not done much research into global warming! I described the water vapour effect in the simplest of terms and did not even complicate it with ice-melt, the effect of irrigation & rain falling on an increasingly warm planet and even subduction(!) of water. None of that requires 'support' SZ, it is simple basic physics that ANY scientist could readily understand. You have had ample opportunity to explain where I was wrong, in your opinion, but you did not. Perhaps you are a little shy about displaying the true level of your knowledge. I wonder why :|

"I have supported my claims" - No SZ, you have not made any claims. All you have done is point to other people's work that you have apparently accepted as your 'belief'. There is no room for 'belief' in science SZ. Perhaps that explains why you are lurking on a Christian forum .:amen:
More poor arguments using equivocation fallacies.

Your problem is that you are not approaching this topic scientifically or honestly. I have supported my claims properly. You have approached this topic as a religion. That is why you are looking for an excuse not to believe as I pointed out more than once.

If you can be polite and honest we might be able to have a discussion and you might learn something. If you keep looking for excuses then there is no helping you.
 
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Aardverk

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More poor arguments using equivocation fallacies.

Your problem is that you are not approaching this topic scientifically ....... you are looking for an excuse not to believe.......
There you go again, confusing science with 'belief'. If you want to talk about belief, there are plenty of other topics on this forum where belief is perfectly legitimate. Science has nothing to do with 'belief'.

Go on then, I am deliberately responding to your bait. In your own words, of what 'equivocation fallacies' do you believe I am guilty in my last post?
 
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Subduction Zone

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There you go again, confusing science with 'belief'. If you want to talk about belief, there are plenty of other topics on this forum where belief is perfectly legitimate. Science has nothing to do with 'belief'.

Go on then, I am deliberately responding to your bait. In your own words, of what 'equivocation fallacies' do you believe I am guilty in my last post?
More dishonest quoting out of context. The problem is that all you have is belief. That was my point. You want to believe, you do not want to learn.


Here is a hint, if someone has to quote out of context, as you do, if one quotes out of context and there are no links, as you posted, then that person is probably trying to believe.


When you debate proper, no quote mines, no use of equivocation fallacies, then you can ask questions.
 
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