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Robot Floats Record Sharp Increase in Upper Ocean Warming

Saving Hawaii

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From Lauren Morello at the New York Times:
The upper ocean warmed considerably over the past decade and a half, according to a new study that attempts to make sense of conflicting analyses of the amount of heat stored in the world's seas.

Between 1993 and 2008, the study finds, the upper 700 meters of the oceans absorbed about 0.6 watts per square meter of energy. That is roughly equivalent to the power of 2 billion copies of the atomic bomb the United States dropped on Hiroshima, Japan, during World War II, said lead author John Lyman, an oceanographer at the University of Hawaii's Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research.

"Ocean heat content is a very good indicator for how the entire planet is warming," he said, because the seas serve as a massive planetary heat sink. "A percentage of the incoming radiation [from the sun] is trapped on our planet by greenhouse gases, and it turns out that about 80 to 90 percent of that heat is trapped in the ocean."

Lyman's research team, whose work was published yesterday by the journal Nature, found a warming trend six times larger than the uncertainty inherent in the ocean heat data they analyzed.
This is but a piece in the puzzle that continues to boggle the mind even today, after decades of study. It's relatively easy to figure out that carbon dioxide and some other gases trap heat leaving the atmosphere, but allow it to pass on the way in. Hence the nickname 'greenhouse gas'. What isn't easy is figuring out where all that trapped heat ends up going. Global warming heats up the entire planet, not just the thin layer of atmosphere right above ground level that we can easily measure.

This sort of research isn't easy or simple, especially since the long-term record is problematic at best, but it's key if we want to understand our planet's climate and how its going to change over the next century. The ocean is a massive heat reservoir, constantly exchanging energy with the atmosphere and between its varying depths. It's clearly moving towards equilibrium with the atmosphere, and as it does that it's capacity to act as a heat sink for excesses in the atmosphere diminishes. That process won't resolve itself for centuries, but it's a major reason we can expect much faster global warming (as measured at the surface) as we get closer to the latter half of the 21st century.
 

pgp_protector

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i have this kind of sick feeling that when the earth starts to go, its gonna be fast. like a titration. Life will survive but it may be like the Permian extinction event.

Well it wouldn't be the first time.
 
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thatbusfromspeed

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I love that this post has been up here for over a week and not even the haters of the year have commented on it.

"found a warming trend six times larger than the uncertainty inherent in the ocean heat data they analyzed."

So yeah it looks like the ocean's certainly are heating up. I heard on NPR last week that some stations in the mid atlantic region have reported temperature increases of at least a couple degrees Fahrenheit from this time last year.

So yeah, will some GW haters please comment on this. I love to see your responses every time definite indicative evidence is posted.
 
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Hespera

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I love that this post has been up here for over a week and not even the haters of the year have commented on it.

"found a warming trend six times larger than the uncertainty inherent in the ocean heat data they analyzed."

So yeah it looks like the ocean's certainly are heating up. I heard on NPR last week that some stations in the mid atlantic region have reported temperature increases of at least a couple degrees Fahrenheit from this time last year.

So yeah, will some GW haters please comment on this. I love to see your responses every time definite indicative evidence is posted.


i hate GW but he is out of office now, so i hate BHH instead.
 
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Saving Hawaii

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i have this kind of sick feeling that when the earth starts to go, its gonna be fast. like a titration. Life will survive but it may be like the Permian extinction event.

I highly doubt global warming will be the end of our species. I doubt this at well above the 99th percentile of probability (though I could be wrong). Throughout all of history, there's never been a species that actively managed its habitat until the past few thousand years. Jurassic predators went extinct as their prey moved south as the climate chilled and as most of it went extinct (because the climate went cold too fast). Humans have always adapted to their climate though. As our ancestors chased the woolly mammoth north and learned to dress for the much colder weather, so too will we. Even better than our ancestors who struggled to chase their sustenance, we possess the knowledge to grow our food where we are and move to where it will grow.

I also don't expect any kind of megafauna extinction on the scale of what's happened in our planet's history. Our species has caused a huge megafauna existence since we started to walk the face of our planet, but I think we're beyond that. The same species that happily reintroduced wolves to Yosemite will use the best of its knowledge to help other megafauna adjust to a rapidly changing climate. We'll throw good money after bad helping threatened species move from climates that have become inhospitable to climates that they can live in.

We're probably going to see a mass extinction among lesser life forms though, and this could drive extinctions among life forms we recognize and care about regardless of how much we try to avoid it. In the earth's geological record, we will be responsible for one of the great mass extinctions.

The best reason to care about global warming though, is that we shouldn't pawn off our problems on our children. The adaptations they will have to make to deal with this changing world will be very expensive and difficult. We can't reverse global warming anymore but we certainly can mitigate it and give them a planet that is only a few degrees warmer, rather than a planet that has been wracked by catastrophic warming. I care about this because of my progeny, and my fellow countrymen should care about this for theirs'.
 
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sbvera13

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Agreed; as generalists, I expect the species to continue to exist, much like cockroaches. However, I expect civilization to collapse and we will revert to the stone age. Of course, (barring an unforseen miracle of technology) peak oil will likely do this long before global warming does, but there you are.
 
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USincognito

a post by Alan Smithee
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Hellllooooo? Deniers? Don't you even have a blog posting in response to this data?

Agreed; as generalists, I expect the species to continue to exist, much like cockroaches. However, I expect civilization to collapse and we will revert to the stone age. Of course, (barring an unforseen miracle of technology) peak oil will likely do this long before global warming does, but there you are.

The problem with the PR part of the discussion is that too many advocates have gone down the road of proclaiming an end of the Earth which deniers have glommed onto like a puppy on a sock.

AGW isn't going to destroy the Earth or even life on Earth. What it will destroy, if the most dire predictions are correct, is life as we know it.
 
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