risk of death from Covid

[sfs]

True, but it's the cases that get to the hospitals that are confirmed, and those are the ones I find significant.

But you were talking about the probability that someone infected would be in church. For that, hospitalization isn't what matters -- it's whether they have the virus or not.

Yes, I know that a marginally sick person could walk through the door and cause someone to be worse than marginally sick, but I'm working with what I've got. It's a relative number, and that's the best I can do.

Or you can do what I suggested, which is estimate the number of infected people from the number of confirmed cases in, say, the last two weeks. That's what I do to estimate the risk in my community.

 

[tturt]

Some experts are saying now that 6' distancing isn't enough

 

[nonaeroterraqueous]

Some experts are saying now that 6' distancing isn't enough

It certainly isn't.