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chilehed said:My work is with automotive engines, not nearly as complex a system as biology (by what, a few dozen orders of magnitude? if I was REALLY smart I couldve majored in something else...) but enough to give me an education in how a (supposedly) simple change to one subsystem component in a complex system frequently requires changes to seemingly unreleated subsystems in order to keep the whole think from crashing.
the number of harmful mutations is something like 2.6 per 1000. all of these mutations will be cut out by natural selection. most of the rest of the mutations will be neutral, and some will be good. the good ones will be preserved.So I have to remark on your assertion that each mutation will aid survival in comparison to the individuals without it. It seems more likely that each mutation will rather hinder the survival of the individual unless the whole new system is present (which is what I was assuming), in which case the 1:1,000,000 odds are correct, and, about the time there are 9 mutations floating around the gene pool, 1/3 of the individuals will get be defective out of the box.
I also have a hard time swallowing that Great Danes and Chihuahuas are different species, and reconciling your reasoning with your implication that Im not already a different specie than those people on another continent.
as outlined above, this leads to the formation of species.Isnt assortative mating properly considered a mechanism that results in the isolation of gene pools, rather than a sign that there is a a new specie?
no need for AI. speciation has already been observed in drosophila (fruitfly) ... breeding the different subspecies produces sterile offspring. there are numerous other examples of insect speciation, such as mosquitoes in the london underground.Have any assortative mating experiments with insects included artificial insemination to test for genetic incompatibility after 500 (or 1,000 or whatever) generations? Perhaps that was buried in the links above and I missed it? It would go a long way to closing the loop (would also take some teensy-tinesy stirrups...).
This isn't what he was saying, as the difference is geological instead of biological, but that given enough time people in the Americas could become a different species. The differences between races show the beggining of seperation, but the amount of time is not nearly enough to seperate the two into more than one species.Not to beat a dead horse, but defining species in the way you describe is just silly. The obvious conclusion would be that prior to Columbus, people in the Americas were different species than those in Europe.
sorry abuot that.chilehed said:I'd like to see that bit on the mousetrap, but it's not a live link. Could you please post the url?
That's not what he meant. The barrier preventing breeding between species is biological. Even that, however, is a flawed standard - horses and donkeys for example (though the offspring are sterile). In any case, get used to the imprecision in taxonomy. Because living things follow much more of a continuum than most of us are aware, there won't be taxonomic agreement until genome-mapping becomes widespread.chilehed said:Not to beat a dead horse, but defining species in the way you describe is just silly. The obvious conclusion would be that prior to Columbus, people in the Americas were different species than those in Europe.
I will let someone else go over the fossil/animal record. but what about all the forms where there is evidence? The problem is, that your argument just relies on "I can't imagine how it would happen" rather than "it can't happen because"chilehed said:buIt seems to me that you're postulating forms for which there is no evidence.
I will let someone else go over the fossil/animal record. but what about all the forms where there is evidence? The problem is, that your argument just relies on "I can't imagine how it would happen" rather than "it can't happen because"
The elements are all there: Variation, competition, selection, hybridization (which often produces new, and fertile species in plants), extinction...chilehed said:Sorry, gotta disagree with you on the car thing. Take GM's displacement on demand sytem, for example. We tried it about 25 years ago, but it was an abject failure. In order to make it work we needed improvements in control hardware and software, sensors, materials, manufacturing processes, etc, etc,...each of which in turn was the result of dozens of other improvements. And the analogy fails just at the key point, because those improvements were able to happen in different industries and products and we, in effect, gene-spliced them into our own product. It really is an unreducable system, trust me, I was there.
First, the !Kung:Plan 9 said:Where can I find out more about the !Kung, please?
People are always talking about needing a large group of individuals to reestablish a population because oterwise the gene pool will be too small?![]()
chilehed said:My work is with automotive engines, not nearly as complex a system as biology (by what, a few dozen orders of magnitude? if I was REALLY smart I couldve majored in something else...) but enough to give me an education in how a (supposedly) simple change to one subsystem component in a complex system frequently requires changes to seemingly unreleated subsystems in order to keep the whole think from crashing. So I have to remark on your assertion that each mutation will aid survival in comparison to the individuals without it. It seems more likely that each mutation will rather hinder the survival of the individual unless the whole new system is present (which is what I was assuming), in which case the 1:1,000,000 odds are correct, and, about the time there are 9 mutations floating around the gene pool, 1/3 of the individuals will get be defective out of the box.
I also have a hard time swallowing that Great Danes and Chihuahuas are different species, and reconciling your reasoning with your implication that Im not already a different specie than those people on another continent. Isnt assortative mating properly considered a mechanism that results in the isolation of gene pools, rather than a sign that there is a a new specie?
Have any assortative mating experiments with insects included artificial insemination to test for genetic incompatibility after 500 (or 1,000 or whatever) generations? Perhaps that was buried in the links above and I missed it? It would go a long way to closing the loop (would also take some teensy-tinesy stirrups...).
Douglas Futuyma, Evolutionary Biology, 1998 (may be a later edition now).Ill mull this over some more, thanks. I wish I had the time to take a class...perhaps you could suggest some decent texts on the subject, suitable for an engineer but not too advanced?
From what you say, it was reducible. That is, the different subsystems worked at what they did, but not for what you wanted to use it for.chilehed said:Sorry, gotta disagree with you on the car thing. Take GM's displacement on demand sytem, for example. We tried it about 25 years ago, but it was an abject failure. In order to make it work we needed improvements in control hardware and software, sensors, materials, manufacturing processes, etc, etc,...each of which in turn was the result of dozens of other improvements. And the analogy fails just at the key point, because those improvements were able to happen in different industries and products and we, in effect, gene-spliced them into our own product. It really is an unreducable system, trust me, I was there.
What is the biological reality? Species. That's all there is. Just species. Once you get new species thru natural selection and have new characteristics, you are done. The appearance of more major changes is simply multiple speciation events spread thru time. You don't get gills morphing into jaws, not how it worked. But you do get jaw bones becoming middle ear bones, and this transition is documented from species to species in the fossil record. You also get fins morphing into legs and legs morphing into flippers. Or you can look at cormorants and penguins today and see some of the stages in the morphing of wings to flippers.Yep, there it is in the link - speciation in fruit flies. I still find it a stretch to get from there (a new species that is little discernable from its predecessor) to gills morphing into working jaws with teeth. It seems to me that you're postulating forms for which there is no evidence.
Nope. No physiological barrier, as the Europeans amply demonstrated as soon as they got to the Americas! However, if you ever see the movie The Gods Must Be Crazy look at how the Englishwoman and the !Kung male view each other. Not as possible mates. That is the beginning of reproductive isolation. In contact but a physiological barrier -- appearance.Not to beat a dead horse, but defining species in the way you describe is just silly. The obvious conclusion would be that prior to Columbus, people in the Americas were different species than those in Europe.
WayMan said:The gread dane has been bred by selective breeding, it's exactly the same with the Chihuahua. They are the same species.
So we only disagree how far down the road to speciation the Great Dane and chihuahua have come, since they are subspecies by your view. Have they gone far enough to move out of subspecies to separate species?It could be argued that these sub species are the beginings of seperate species, and it seems obvious to me that this is the case.
The Grants have a recent paper on that in regard to the Galapagos finches. I'll try to find it. As I recall, the F1 hybrids were not as fertile as the pure stock.Many kinds of hybrids can be bred with the use of artificial insemination, some of these are fertile and some are not, but I have found that birds from "similar" species, are more often than not fertile.
Fair enough. I was referring to the genetic stuff, not cultural taboos, but if my understanding of the numbers is wrong, I stand corrected. That's why I'm here.That need for a large population simply isn't right. It's simply that humans have 1) the incest taboo, so they think you need a large population to avoid incest and 2) people won't accept the "high" number of birth defects, so the population has to be large enough to avoid that.
I don't think anyone's saying that ANY change constitutes a new species. Rejetting a carb or changing the brake pad compound may be as minor as differences in eye color, but if you try to run diesel fuel in your spark-ignition engine you'd better re-engineer 90% of the rest of the engine.I know you can modify the carburetor, gear ratios, thickness of the brake pads, etc, without crashing the whole car. So your analogy won't work.
Well yes, these systems worked in their individual applications, but none of them was a direct plug-in. They all had to be modified to some extent. It's rather like having all these mutations accumulate in the genome, but before they can really work together they all have to simultaneously mutate one last time at the last mating. I'll mull that one over, though, I find it compelling.What you did is called "exaptation" in biology. That is, you took systems that worked for something else and now had them do a new task. This is one way to get complex systems by Darwinian selection.
What did you mean by that?Creationists usually demand that EVERY feature be intermediate between the ancestor and descendent, while evolutionists say that transitionals are mosaics, having some features of the ancestors and some of the descendents.
Any random pair from a population has about 75% of the genetic variation of the population. So, the first few generations will have a lot of individuals die of lethal recessives, if the fertility rate is decent you will be able to get a whole new population.chilehed said:if my understanding of the numbers is wrong, I stand corrected. That's why I'm here.
But how about if you run 10% ethanol in your engine? Not much change required. Then 20% ethanol, then 30% ethanol, then 40% ethanol etc. You make the changes in steps, not all at once. Each step you have to modify a little, but not the whole thing.I don't think anyone's saying that ANY change constitutes a new species. Rejetting a carb or changing the brake pad compound may be as minor as differences in eye color, but if you try to run diesel fuel in your spark-ignition engine you'd better re-engineer 90% of the rest of the engine.
Modified to get optimum preformance, right? But evolution doesn't require optimum performance in one step. When the modified gills were used as heat exchangers, they didn't have to work optimally as heat exchangers in the first generation; just better than no heat exchangers at all. The optimization can then take place in slow steps, with modifications. Similarly, in going from heat exchanger to wing, the wing did not have to function optimally that first generation. The insect didn't need to fly for hours at a time, just get off the ground a little to find a little more food or avoid a predator better.Well yes, these systems worked in their individual applications, but none of them was a direct plug-in.They all had to be modified to some extent.
Just what I said. When Duane Gish looks for an "intermediate", he wants all features to change smoothly and at the same rate from one species to another. He wants partial feathers and a partial wishbone and a shortened tail all together in his "intermediate" between reptile and bird. So to him Archeopteryx is not an intermediate or transitional.What did you mean by that?
The most entertaining, at any rate.The Gods Must be Crazy - my FAVORITE source of information on the !Kung.