Steveseo said:
True, I'm not directly testing the existence of God in this experiment, I am testing the power of prayer. However, I decided it would be good to take things one small step at a time - wouldn't proving the power of prayer be a good starting point for proving the existence of God? I thought that proving the power of prayer would make it necesary and worthwhile to go on to bigger experiments to prove the existence of God.
You still are not recognizing that you are not testing God. You are testing a mechanism you
think God uses. If you get negative results, all you have shown is that God does not use this mechanism. This is what happened with creationism. Instead of falsifying God, falsifying creationism only showed God did not create that particular way.
You are coming at this from the POV of theism vs atheism. I'm coming at it from the POV of good science.
I forgot to mention that each experimenter should pray for rain in their local area, not for the world as a whole. The experimenter should perhaps even record the rainfall levels themselves, using their own equipment. Because it is now confined to a local area, this reduces the interference from people praying without knowledge of the experiment.
Doesn't change my point. If you have only 10 people praying, each in their own area, or even 10 in an area, you are still vastly outnumbered by the people in the region. Therefore, you have a vast amount of uncontrolled prayer and are looking for a large change due to a small percentage change in prayer. If the "prayer system" is functioning at maximum, adding a little more prayer isnt' going to change anything. Prayer is still working, but you can't detect the effect of your small
additional prayer.
So my point stands: a
negative result tells you nothing.
Also, the statistical average of people praying for or against rain, without nowledge of the study, should be fairly constant throughout the study. At the very least, it shouldn't vary in the same pattern as alternate months, swapped around every alternate year. Therefore, the affect of other people's prayers, whom are not aware of the study, has in fact been controlled-out of the experiment.
Not the way I am talking. What I am saying is that you have 10,000 people praying outside the study. 5,000 praying for rain and 5,000 praying against rain. Those 10,000 people are maxing out the system, either for or against rain. Adding 10 people on one side or the other so that you now have 5,010 vs 5,000 may not have any
additional effect. Negative results won't mean anything.
I don't understand the logic behind this statement. Wouldn't I LEARN more about the fundamentals of hypothesis testing and experimental design THROUGH PURSUING a scientific career? I think I would.
Not if you stubbornly stick to your errors, which is what you are doing here.
On about line 3 or 4 of that document is says:
"Over ten months, 393 patients admitted to the CCU were randomized, after signing informed consent, to an intercessory prayer group (192 patients) or to a control group (201 patients)."
Now this statement is not specifically clear as to whether the patients knew which group they were assigned to or not. If the patients knew which group they were assigned to, this opens the door for interference in the experiment,
There is another line that says the study is a randomized,
double-blind study. That "double-blind" means that neither the patients nor doctors knew which group the patients belonged to. In the Harris et al study, the patients were not even informed they were in a study.
However, this doesn't conclude that there is a God involved at all.
DUH! What have I been telling you above! You are testing
prayer, not whether God is involved!
If fact, even-better controls would have been the patients not knowing that the experiment was even happening.
Congrats. That is what the Harris et al group thought too. Which is why they did their study that way!
No, by my criteria, God has not already been proved. Such an important and controversial topic is not proven by just one case of one experiment.
But you have several experiments, one a duplicate of another. The problem is that you set up the false criteria that IP would prove God. Remember, I argued that this was not the case. Presented with the evidence that IP does have an effect, you are trying to junk the science!
So, by your criteria, based on a duplicated experiment, and experiments in other areas with similar results, you should conclude God is "proved". Of course, it was your mistake to set up inappropriate criteria.
BTW, the relevant sentence in the Byrd paper comes right after the one you used: "The patient, the staff and doctors in the unit, and I remained "blinded" throughout the study." "Blinded" means they were not told who was in which group.