Monkeypox--leveling off

[rjs330]

3 months In with the pox, less than 13,000 infected.

3 months in with the China virus, over 825,000 infected.

I see, so there's no rush. Let's wait until there is.

 

[tall73]

9th child in US tests positive for monkeypox

A child in Oregon has tested positive for monkeypox, state health officials announced Wednesday, marking the ninth reported pediatric case in the U.S.

 

[tall73]

 

[Skye1300]

9th child in US tests positive for monkeypox

A child in Oregon has tested positive for monkeypox, state health officials announced Wednesday, marking the ninth reported pediatric case in the U.S.

Oh no! It's spreading to the general population.

 

[rjs330]

Oh no! It's spreading to the general population.

It was inevitable based on how contagious this was.

 

[tall73]

Here is the per million case numbers, but in the linear display. I think the US is actually still quite a bit behind Spain in that regard, but the trajectory is still bad.

 

[Nithavela]

I am just salivating to try any new experimental vaccine. I'm addicted to experimental vaccines.

Just because vaccines don't work doesn't mean they shouldn't be mandated .

The monkeypox vaccine is well researched and effective.

 

[Nithavela]

Here is the per million case numbers, but in the linear display. I think the US is actually still quite a bit behind Spain in that regard, but the trajectory is still bad.


View attachment 319896

The spain trajectory looks like they are having some problems with their reporting.

 

[Nithavela]

3 months In with the pox, less than 13,000 infected.

3 months in with the China virus, over 825,000 infected.

To be expected considering the vector this outbreak spreads by.

 

[tall73]

The spain trajectory looks like they are having some problems with their reporting.

Yes, they only seem to report sporadically. Which is why we were earlier comparing the US and Spain numbers but noting that Spain only updates every so often.

This delay in reporting for some nations also prompted the ourworldindata tracker to start listing the dates of the last data pull by country, which made it a bit harder to copy and paste data, but does show where some are lagging:

 

[Skye1300]

German man’s nose decays after monkeypox infection reveals he is severely immunocompromised

Eeewww!

 

[tall73]

Monkeypox now reported in all 50 states

Monkeypox has now been detected in all 50 states, health officials revealed.

Wyoming became the final state to report a case of the disease on Monday.

 

[tall73]

Cases:

Adjusted for population, cases per million:

 

[tall73]

The sixth UK technical briefing on Monkeypox is out. Will highlight changes or things not mentioned previously.


Investigation into monkeypox outbreak in England: technical briefing 6

This is of August 15.

UK trajectory
Nowcast and growth
There is an overall decline in daily cases which suggests that the spread of infection may be reducing. This is subject to uncertainties around ascertainment. Importation is likely to be contributing to case numbers.
Assessment (confidence): Negative daily case growth (moderate)

This agrees with the trend of the data we have been seeing.

Outbreak level

Level 2 is defined as transmission within a defined sub-population, currently gay, bisexual and men who have sex with men (GBMSM) connected by sexual networks. Enhanced surveillance data does not suggest a change in case mix, although it is available for only 30% (917 out of 3,050) of cases in England and may not be representative of the whole cohort. Out of 3,025 cases with known gender, 99% are men, and there are 36 women. There is no robust evidence of sustained transmission outside some sexual networks of GBMSM, although the increase in cases who are women requires close surveillance.

The proportion of non-contact-tracing-linked female cases has increased over the last few weeks, which is a statistically significant perturbation in the distribution (Figure 10). Removing female cases with known links to MSM communities and trans women (n=15) from the count of female cases accounts for most of this overall trend, but there does seem to be some increase in unlinked female cases. This is currently not significant at the 5% level but continues under close surveillance.


Assessment (confidence): Level 2 (moderate).

There is significant morbidity amongst people who are admitted to hospital for clinical care reasons, including severe pain and complications due to secondary bacterial infection. Encephalitis has been reported although it appears uncommon.

As of 17 August 2022, a total of 33,199 administered doses of vaccine have been recorded, of which 29,803 doses have been administered as pre-exposure vaccination, primarily to gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men who are at highest risk of exposure. A further 1,767 doses have been given to healthcare workers managing monkeypox cases and 1,629 doses have been given to close contacts of cases.

 

[tall73]

 

[tall73]

 

[Nithavela]

Looks like most countries are getting things under control.

And then there's the USA.

 

[Desk trauma]

Looks like most countries are getting things under control.

And then there's the USA.

A statement applicable to so many issues.

 

[tall73]

 

[Desk trauma]

View attachment 320319

We’re number one! We’re number one!