i think that a church will split from the ELCA in the next ten to twenty years. word alone really got going with the CCM issue with the episcopal church and with the risk that the assembly will pass something in my timespan that will infururiate many congregations is rather likely. only around forty percent of the synods actively approved of CCM, yet it was passed by eighty-two percent or so at the national assembly.
in my opinon the odds are good that something will pass that a majority of the synods and individual congregations weren't willing to support and organizations like word alone will gain more support and be able to branch off. this will effectively lean the national assembly even more left. now i don't think that being more liberal is a bad thing. however the ELCA is seen as a left church, while i'd guess that the individual congregations are more in the middle, even if many are left leaning.
i've heard lately that some people in word alone (Dr Dennis Biefeldt is the one i've heard of, along with others) are working on an alternate ordination option for candidates who disagree with the passing of CCM. now this could create another rift (albeit a largely academic and not widespread one) that will mobilize them further. however i don't think anything will happen until the member, congregations and possibly synods feel they've been betrayed enough. CCM wasn't enough because it was largely academic and a majority of congregations have still not and will not feel the affects of it at all.
i know this is a rather rough post, but as you can see it's late. i need to get some sleep and give Dr Biefeldt a call and see exaclty what's going on. so far it's really hear-say, but i'll get it ironed out. i'll also repost and correct anything i've said that doesn't make sense or is blatently off base. as i said i'm tired, but i did need to chime in. so if you strongly disagree with something, let me know, but don't tear me apart quite yet, i need to process. i love you all and God Bless
God's Peace, Love, Wisdom and JOY!
Spankin' the Devil,
Ray J Gentry IV