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How this will end

Richard T

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And it will not be pretty. Hospitals overrun, people staying isolated. But there might be a very expensive silver lining...

How the Pandemic Will End
I liked the article, but it seems to ignore that there may be stopgap measures such as the malaria drug or another drug that such as Gilead's Remdesivir that can help many patients avoid using the respirators. Ultimately too our health is up to God, something a secular article would not be qualified to address.
 
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Bobber

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So you are saying every state needed to take this on themselves?
I never said that. Of course not in an absolute total sense but many of them could have been more prepared than they were. So what are you going with they don't have any responsibility to bear at all?

Not every state has the budget, manpower, or expertise.

And part of a budget that goes for fluff could have been spent to be more prepared. I think the proof of this will be future budgets they'll make sure THEY DO everything to make sure they have at least the basic medical supplies that would cover another event. Won't you even demand that from you LOCAL politicians?

And even if that happened, not every state will be at the same level of preparedness. The Federal government had the tools, talent, and leadership and Trump threw that all away.

Maybe you should read this?

No, the White House Didn’t ‘Dissolve’ Its Pandemic Response Office | RealClearPolitics
 
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Paulos23

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Interesting article. Maybe there was some bloat to the NSC, but that doesn't mean the pandemic people shouldn't be part of the NSC.

Trump and his people did a lot of cut not just to cut the bloat, but to silence voices and opinion. The NSC could have been structured with smaller specific threat groups feeding into a central committee. Or just keep one people to work on the threat. Removing all of them was a poor move.

Trump could have also prepared, make stockpiles, and have the plans sitting there after he got rid of the people. But bless his cheep heart he didn't, so we have this mess.

The rest of the article gets into a love fest on Trump and isolation policy, something I doing think we can go back too.
 
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durangodawood

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So you are saying every state needed to take this on themselves? Make there own Health Departments into mini CDCs and have there own FEMA? Not every state has the budget, manpower, or expertise....
That would be an absurd level of duplication.
 
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Paulos23

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Excellent read. Thanks for sharing.

How we collectively respond in the coming months will reveal who we really are as a nation.
Your welcome. And yes, the coming months will be telling.
 
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essentialsaltes

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rambot

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I never said that. Of course not in an absolute total sense but many of them could have been more prepared than they were. So what are you going with they don't have any responsibility to bear at all?



And part of a budget that goes for fluff could have been spent to be more prepared. I think the proof of this will be future budgets they'll make sure THEY DO everything to make sure they have at least the basic medical supplies that would cover another event. Won't you even demand that from you LOCAL politicians?



Maybe you should read this?

No, the White House Didn’t ‘Dissolve’ Its Pandemic Response Office | RealClearPolitics
Interesting article. Also kinda points out that POTUS had a LOT of decision making power and access to the most up to date information assuming he wanted it or to action against it.
 
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essentialsaltes

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Someone (I forgot who!) kindly posted the projections from Dr. Murray at the University of Washington, which provide state by state projections of how cases and deaths will proceed, particularly in comparison to hospital and ICU capacity. These estimates have been noted approvingly by the White House task force as similar to their projections. The model tries to take into account the date at which extensive social distancing orders were issued for each state. The model also assumes that all states will have such orders in place in a week. The model is also being updated, noting any significant changes.
 
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essentialsaltes

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Petros2015

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Looks like we are pulling at least around a 7.5% fatality rate on confirmed cases, 2% in the first week or so and then 5% a bit later around 2-3 weeks. Could be higher, but I don't think it's much lower

upload_2020-4-7_9-14-53.png
 
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only a sojourner

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Some time in the future numbers should come down because of social distancing, etc, At this point because of the need to reactivate the economy and return life to a more normal level there may be a lifting of restrictions. However vulnerable persons should remain on guard until a vaccination becomes available.

In poorer countries where access to medical care is limited Corona Virus may continue to run rampant especially in crowded conditions. Levels of infection may be unknown because of lack of available testing equipment.
 
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MIDutch

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Interesting article. Also kinda points out that POTUS had a LOT of decision making power and access to the most up to date information assuming he wanted it or to action against it.
Or could read it. He's not very good with bigly words.
 
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