Why assume that they would have the "same windfall"? I think it's quite likely that Dunning Kruger tends to be more around specific topics than as a personality trait.
...that's was actually my point. I was arguing against the notion that advances in social media were the "main driver"
I mentioned that I think it's actually anti-establishment predispositions that drove it.
If advances in social media were the main driver, then would expect every conspiracy circle to have grown leaps and bounds, which as you and I have both elaborated on, that's not the case.
The "election was stolen" was also based on the personality and essentially idol worship of Trump. I am not a fan of the guy but he has some kinda magnatism that some people are attracted too. And of course, he displays a lot of narcissistic traits and name cache society wide latch on to.
I think people give Trump "draw/magnetism" too much credit. I don't think it's so much "his personality" or "magnetism" (his personality is quite abrasive and awful)
I think it's much more simplistic. The people who rally behind him, in many cases I feel, do so simply because they know he agitates the hell out of the kind of people who agitated them for the previous few years.
The example I've used to try to describe the dynamic before is that of the bossy, condescending teacher on a power trip vs. the "class clown" troublemaker, and how that's perceived by some of the students.
Personal narrative:
I had one of those teachers back when I was in high school, used to publicly criticize students for getting answers wrong, make snide remarks to the students that they didn't like who didn't kiss their rear end...things of that nature. Basically treated some students like the weren't legitimate participants in the class discussion. (would go as far as ridiculing people, and then shooshing them at the end and saying "I get the last word, one more peep comes out and you get detention"...thereby making them sit there and seethe)
When the "class clown" snuck their wallet out of their jacket pocket the one day, and that wallet found it's way into the fish tank...
While taking someone's wallet when they're not looking and tossing it in the fish tank, as stand-alone behavior, is something we would've found "not cool" in normal circumstances, when it happened to that particular teacher, there was something oddly satisfying about seeing that happen to a teacher (and how upset they got) who would make you so mad you'd grit your teeth, feel so frustrated, and want to put your fist through a wall.
I posit that the same sort of dynamic is happening with Trump and his die-hard supporters.
The establishment (particularly the left leaning establishment -- academia, entertainment, etc...) is the "condescending teacher who talks down to them and tells them they have to shoosh and just sit there and take it because their not legitimate participants in the discussion"... Trump is the guy who grabbed the wallet when they weren't looking and tossed it in the fish tank. So those folks cheer Trump.
Perceived condescension has a way of evoking a certain visceral (illogical) reaction in ways that simple name-calling and superficial insults don't.
I wonder if there may be certain individuals who are prone to believe CTs. Or perhaps it is racism so deep seeded it's difficult to describe.
72% of Republicans STILL doubted his citizenship.
Poll: Persistent Partisan Divide Over ‘Birther’ Question
Bush did 9/11 / there was a coverup...seems to have gotten closer to about 43%.
What's VERY interesting to me is that there could not be clearer evidence provided that Obama WAS an American citizen (there is literally nothing more). And they still didn't doubt him. I have a hard time believing that isn't just an inherent prejudice though; at least it couldn't be denied that it's playing a role.
Quite possible that it's a little bit of both... I won't even try to pretend that there aren't a percentage of people who simply would cling to whatever narrative they heard just to justify trying to prevent a black president from being viewed as legitimate. There's some "old racism" that deeply embedded in certain parts of the country. But I think it'd be a mistake to pretend that was "most of it" for some of the types of folks we're talking about.
Both percentages are concerning. If we had 43-72% of people believing bigfoot was real, we'd see that as a major failure.
(for the record, to split the difference, 54% of Americans believe some varying level of conspiracy theory about the JFK assassination)
Anti-establishment based conspiracy theories seem to be "easier" to "catch on" for lack of a better way to put it.
That means that people have a certain level of distrust in their government and institutions.
Which brings us back around to my original question, of why is that?
I noted before, among those types of people, "anti-establishment" has become viewed as a stand-alone "credential"...merely the fact that someone disagrees with most of their peers on something becomes seen as a "good thing" by default in the eyes of those folks.
Evidence of that are the "Obama-Trump" voters, and then the "Sanders-Trump" voters. There were a substantial number of people who originally supported Sanders, but when he got knocked out of the primary, voted for Trump in 2016. We're talking about two guys who are pretty far apart on a lot of issues (both economic and social). Yet, they voted "anti-establishment"...and didn't seem to particularly care who it was or what the policies were, only that they were "outsiders"
How does that happen? lol