- Oct 12, 2003
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Please explain to me how global warming will destroy the human race. I get that its going to be rough for a lot of areas but I haven't heard anyone claim that it was going to be the end of the world. Until now, that is.
Well you could read the references I listed , but I am happy to point out just a few of the enormous nuber of problems we are facing and yet still imprudently mostly ignoring ... the full picture is enough to drive most people into denial, as indeed we see many in denial form seeing only part of the best truths we have ...
The most ambitious goal yet proposed by some governements , that is not even widely accepted yet, is to keep global warming below 2C for this century ... this we now know is neither sufficient, nor has better than a 10% chance of being acheived even if it were widely accepted ...
So what happens whenwe get to 2C ? [or possibly before that, no-one knows for ceratain yet where the point of no return is , but most who study it say 2C really is the upper limit where control is lost] :
So, at some point the methane hydrate under the sea gets warm enough to bubble up and out into the atmosphere ... there is so much of it ,vast ammounts in the shallow continental shelves of the planet and it is three hundred times as effective as CO2 at warming the planet whilst it persists in the atmosphere ...
so that it causes the warming to accelerate , thus ensuring that more of the methane gets released ... a 'snowballing' effect, a positive feedback , more heat releasing more methan until it is all free in the air [trillions of tons of it , way beyond our problems with CO2 at present ] the rise in temperature is so rapid that very little life can survive the changes and the higher temperatures which chnge ther habitat, make their way of existing impossible ... they could adapt if the changes were much slower, but we know that they cannot do so to such rapid changes ...
Life depends on other life , even destroying 10% of species as we now know we are committed to can result in the death of most life, simply because life is interdependent , all ecosystems rely on most of the species within them thriving ...
We may not think that our current position of the death or severe damage already to half the coral reefs of the world is significant to us, nor the death of phytoplankton because we ahve acidified the oceans through the engines that drive our cars, industry, transport, mechanised agriculture , but these two are the food of almost all creatures in the sea, or feed the creatures that they feed upon.... fisheries are dying then , men's food is diminishing already ... the seas are dying and we have barely begun to see the consequences of what we have done
Natural species are migrating toward the poles to try to continue existing, but their rate of movement is only a quarter of what is required by the changes so far , they are thus already dying out, their niches are simply ceasing and they die ... it takes only the death of a few species to lead to eventual death of the whole ecosystem ,
It is not only a matter of food, but all elements are recycled in ecosystems by variious species... when it stops because of death of even maybe one key species, the whole ecosystem is doomed to die slowly too because it no longer gets one or other element it needs to continue ...
we are already committed to klling much in the sea and on the land, there are many more species that may die from things we have not yet predicted ... we jsut refuse to look clearly at the stress we are placing on the very source of our life here , pretend it will continue to feed us despite we are killing key species that make it all work for us
We are playing brinkmanship with the very existence of life on this planet, driving the planet ecosystem right to the edge of what it can recover from and now even already likely we have gone too far , and still we do nothing to stop our insane destruction of the means to our own food ... by the time it is gone we have no way back ... we should be in all-out emergency action, but instead we continue to pile on the stress , and the CO2 is accelating away from our control, not decreasing as would be to say the least the prudent course of action
an all out effort might perhaps avert the total anihilation of mankind , some might survive in isolated pockets where they can save enough of the ecosystem to get through, but it is by no means sure that anywhere can support much life at all after the increasingly likely [increasing in the sense that men are finally beginning to assess it better and see we are in far worse state than we imagined even a few years ago] thermal run-away of the planet... what point in having pushed things beyond the limits at all... we know that hundreds of thousands already died from effects of global warming of only 0.7C, masses of species wiped out already, and almost all species under extreme stress even from that small rise, yet we propose at best to let it go three times as high , simply because we refuse to see that we are the cause of our own future suffering and really need a complete sudden U-turn or we are most, if not all dead , together with most other life here????
It is one serious trap for complacent mankind, just too insidious in onset for most to notice, but by the time most wake up and look at even what we know already, it will be way too late, indeed it seems it is too late laready because we can only perhaps ameliorate some of the damage ...
We imagine we are in control, can sit back and debate for years in half-hearted manner because we do not want to change our ways and it will cost us ... now we begin to see what the cost of not actin will be, and that we have very much underestimated the problem of killing off 'just' 10% of all life , imagined taht if we aim to keep the temp below 2C for a century that it will not go higher after that, or that we will actually be able to hold it at 2C at all , even if men do finally agree on this imprudent goal ...
A simple change in ocean currents , as is predicted already , could release much methane without going above 2C , then we should not ever be able to stop it going above 2C... we are playing silly games with fire because men do not want to change the lifestyle we lead , and it is more than dangerous, we now know we are very close to the point of no return and that it is not predictable where it is ... 2C is imprudent in extreme, but we cannot even get agreement on that , so little time to get to know and so little sense of the very real urgency that the best knowledge we have implies... it don't look too good for our chances of taking our heads out of the sand and starting worldwide action to stop our way of life and start a sustainable one [if indeed that is possible at all]... we should be acting to maximise the possible survival of mankind, not playing brinkmanship with total death for the sake of conserving our destructive 'easy' way of life for a few more years ... our way of life cannot continue either way, why not act to give mankind the best chance, the minimum death count , not to push the earth until there is no possible way back from extinction?
We have simply not gone through the stage of denial fast enough , we are still ignoring the best knowledge we have, and the point of run-away , where even max effoirt by all men using all resources can stop temperature rise , is something we are accelerating toward instead of moving away from ...
So read the links and spread the word cos' until people know the best truth we have , they will not stop driving their cars and insisting on food from all over the world , and just maybe , if we can save the seas by artificial means and change our way of life completely, we shall save some life on earth by stoppping the run-away temperature from taking us all out ... iif enough life survives then there just might be a sustainable way forward, but we are making that way tougher and less likely to succeed with evey day we delay beginning to change our ways ... we know we have to change, so now is by far the most sensible time to begin, it only gets harder from now on, until it becomes impossible ...
God will surely destroy this earth , but do we really have to kill ourselves and most life here first ?
Isaiah 65:17 For, behold, I create new heavens and a new earth: and the former shall not be remembered, nor come into mind.
Isaiah 66:22 For as the new heavens and the new earth, which I will make, shall remain before me, saith the LORD, so shall your seed and your name remain.
2 Peter 3:13 Nevertheless we, according to his promise, look for new heavens and a new earth, wherein dwelleth righteousness.
Revelation 21:1 And I saw a new heaven and a new earth: for the first heaven and the first earth were passed away; and there was no more sea.
So few people yet see we are even in a trap, 2C seems a modest temperature rise to most folks, as it is, but they do not see what comes after , what it results in , the death of most nature that supplies our food , and thus the death of at least most men, likely all men...
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