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A lot of evolutionists who've posted on CF frequently post that Christians are foolish because there are so many college professors and scientists that believe in evolution, and there's all this scientific evidence supporting evolution. The purpose of this thread is to show why millions of very smart people can all be wrong about an important scientific theory by drawing an analogy with global warming.
Global warming has 5 propositions:
1. The earth is warming up.
The answer to this question depends on which starting and ending points you pick. If you look at the last ten years, unambiguous satellite data shows a cooling trend. NASA’s Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) and the UK’s Hadley Climate Research Unit show a 0.8 to 0.6 C drop in global temperatures. The oceans have also cooled during the last several years. If you go back to 1600 AD, the earth has been warming since the Little Ice Age. If you go back to 1000 years, the earth has generally been cooling. Just as with measuring the return on the stock market, everything depends on which time spread you use.
2. Mankind is causing the warming.
Global warming is ultimately all about statistics. I read recently that fluctuations in solar activity accounts for 99.7% of the surface temperature of the earth. With that overwhelmingly powerful correlation, it's likely statistically impossible to attribute temperatures to anything other than the sun. In the last ten years, the relationship between temperature and CO2 is negative. CO2 levels are definitely rising, but there is no statistically significant relationship between the two phenomena, nor can there be because of the sun's overwhelming effect.
3. Global warming is bad.
The theory is that hotter temperatures are a bad thing, causing bad things like rising ocean levels. When I was in 4th grade in 1988, I bet another 4th grader named Luke from Cottage Grove, Oregon $20 that the sea levels would not rise several feet by the year 2000 as many people were predicting. If anyone sees Luke from Cottage Grove, OR, tell him he owes me $20.
Shrinking polar ice caps have had no effect on ocean levels (the Bible says that the oceans are fixed), and warmer temperatures near the poles will allow more more abundant life. More CO2 would be an enormous blessing for the ecosystem because it would provide far more carbon for plants to feed on, providing more food for animals. Eventually, all the excess CO2 will be taken up by plants and photosynthetic microbes. Prices of ocean-front property are sky-high all over the world, so people aren't making economic decisions based on a fear of global warming. There hasn't been a huge increase in bad weather, only an increase in property damage and loss of life because of growing populations and growing economies.
4. Only by spending trillions of dollars and virtually deindustrializing our economies can we save the world.
The global warming theory is extremely dangerous because of the vast amounts of money being spent to abate it. That money could be spent on feeding starving children, on health care, disease prevention, education, and other noble activities. The IPCC says we'd have to spend between $78 billion and $1.141 trillion PER YEAR to abate global warming. The amount of poverty and misery this expenditure would cause is almost incalculable.
5. The overwhelming majority of climate scientists agree with the four statements above.
According to the Scientific Consensus on Global Warming by J. Bast and J. Taylor, 82% of scientists believe the earth is warming up. I also tend to agree, based on the last 400 years or so. But 66% of climate scientists disagreed with the statement that "the current state of scientific knowledge is developed well enough to allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of greenhouse gases." Only 49% said that global warming could cause devastation in some areas of the world. 33% disagreed and 17% were uncertain.
The journalists that control the media are 95% secular-progressive. They have been feeding us bad information with regards to global warming, and they are feeding us bad information with regards to evolution. Just as millions of people and thousands of scientists can hold incorrect views on global warming, so also is the "consensus" wrong on evolution.
Global warming has 5 propositions:
1. The earth is warming up.
The answer to this question depends on which starting and ending points you pick. If you look at the last ten years, unambiguous satellite data shows a cooling trend. NASA’s Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) and the UK’s Hadley Climate Research Unit show a 0.8 to 0.6 C drop in global temperatures. The oceans have also cooled during the last several years. If you go back to 1600 AD, the earth has been warming since the Little Ice Age. If you go back to 1000 years, the earth has generally been cooling. Just as with measuring the return on the stock market, everything depends on which time spread you use.
2. Mankind is causing the warming.
Global warming is ultimately all about statistics. I read recently that fluctuations in solar activity accounts for 99.7% of the surface temperature of the earth. With that overwhelmingly powerful correlation, it's likely statistically impossible to attribute temperatures to anything other than the sun. In the last ten years, the relationship between temperature and CO2 is negative. CO2 levels are definitely rising, but there is no statistically significant relationship between the two phenomena, nor can there be because of the sun's overwhelming effect.
3. Global warming is bad.
The theory is that hotter temperatures are a bad thing, causing bad things like rising ocean levels. When I was in 4th grade in 1988, I bet another 4th grader named Luke from Cottage Grove, Oregon $20 that the sea levels would not rise several feet by the year 2000 as many people were predicting. If anyone sees Luke from Cottage Grove, OR, tell him he owes me $20.
4. Only by spending trillions of dollars and virtually deindustrializing our economies can we save the world.
The global warming theory is extremely dangerous because of the vast amounts of money being spent to abate it. That money could be spent on feeding starving children, on health care, disease prevention, education, and other noble activities. The IPCC says we'd have to spend between $78 billion and $1.141 trillion PER YEAR to abate global warming. The amount of poverty and misery this expenditure would cause is almost incalculable.
5. The overwhelming majority of climate scientists agree with the four statements above.
According to the Scientific Consensus on Global Warming by J. Bast and J. Taylor, 82% of scientists believe the earth is warming up. I also tend to agree, based on the last 400 years or so. But 66% of climate scientists disagreed with the statement that "the current state of scientific knowledge is developed well enough to allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of greenhouse gases." Only 49% said that global warming could cause devastation in some areas of the world. 33% disagreed and 17% were uncertain.
The journalists that control the media are 95% secular-progressive. They have been feeding us bad information with regards to global warming, and they are feeding us bad information with regards to evolution. Just as millions of people and thousands of scientists can hold incorrect views on global warming, so also is the "consensus" wrong on evolution.
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