- Jul 2, 2011
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As much as I hate analogies, I feel it's the best way to get the thought out there:
Let's say you were faced with a choice of vehicles to get, because you felt it was the time you got one. They seem useful and can benefit you in many ways.
They all have different traits and characteristics. Some were made in the USA, some made in Japan... well, you get the picture. Many choices.
Some have no warranties, others limited warranties, and some lifetime.
Well that helped narrow things down, so you start glazing over the vehicles (we'll call them Geronimo's) that had the lifetime warranty and they also appear to be predominant in the dealers selection. Again, must be good vehicle; you've seen many on the road and heard many positive things about them.
Lucky for you, the owner of the dealership (we'll call him Hoss) is actually there at the moment and shows you all about the vehicle.
While he appears like the kind of individual to have a sketchy past, he seems to be a rather honest and nice guy.
You look over all the information about it... but honestly you still aren't sure.
He notices you now looking at another model of vehicle and pulls you aside.
"I have to tell you something. Now I can't verify this for you in any tangible way, but I believe that if you pick any other vehicle besides the Geronimo, when the vehicle ceases to function, the remainder of your existence (and then some) will be consisting of the most imaginable horror your could conceive... plus one. Pick freely."
I would now be left with two thoughts, not necessarily in this order:
1) Is this guy a lunatic?
2)
a) If I have the free will and the ability to choose the vehicle, didn't him mentioning the horrible outcome of my decision now heavily weigh in my decision making process?
b) Am I not now incredibly influenced by his statements and therefore my decision influenced?
c) Could I reasonably, now, arrive at any other conclusion?
d) If the best vehicle to pick was inherently the best, regardless of outcomes, isn't it unnecessary to mention that part? Unless he is kinda forcing me into a corner?
To summarize all of this, my question is:
If there is the possibility of a horrible outcome, aren't you going to now be biased in your decisions? If so, how can one make a proper assessment of their reality or its legitimacy, if you include the bias that fear brings?
Let's say you were faced with a choice of vehicles to get, because you felt it was the time you got one. They seem useful and can benefit you in many ways.
They all have different traits and characteristics. Some were made in the USA, some made in Japan... well, you get the picture. Many choices.
Some have no warranties, others limited warranties, and some lifetime.
Well that helped narrow things down, so you start glazing over the vehicles (we'll call them Geronimo's) that had the lifetime warranty and they also appear to be predominant in the dealers selection. Again, must be good vehicle; you've seen many on the road and heard many positive things about them.
Lucky for you, the owner of the dealership (we'll call him Hoss) is actually there at the moment and shows you all about the vehicle.
While he appears like the kind of individual to have a sketchy past, he seems to be a rather honest and nice guy.
You look over all the information about it... but honestly you still aren't sure.
He notices you now looking at another model of vehicle and pulls you aside.
"I have to tell you something. Now I can't verify this for you in any tangible way, but I believe that if you pick any other vehicle besides the Geronimo, when the vehicle ceases to function, the remainder of your existence (and then some) will be consisting of the most imaginable horror your could conceive... plus one. Pick freely."
I would now be left with two thoughts, not necessarily in this order:
1) Is this guy a lunatic?
2)
a) If I have the free will and the ability to choose the vehicle, didn't him mentioning the horrible outcome of my decision now heavily weigh in my decision making process?
b) Am I not now incredibly influenced by his statements and therefore my decision influenced?
c) Could I reasonably, now, arrive at any other conclusion?
d) If the best vehicle to pick was inherently the best, regardless of outcomes, isn't it unnecessary to mention that part? Unless he is kinda forcing me into a corner?
To summarize all of this, my question is:
If there is the possibility of a horrible outcome, aren't you going to now be biased in your decisions? If so, how can one make a proper assessment of their reality or its legitimacy, if you include the bias that fear brings?