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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Politics
American Politics
Finally an Alabama poll - Gingrich leads, kinda
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<blockquote data-quote="MattRose" data-source="post: 59994111"><p>I roughed up a spreadsheet that has education level and religious/non-religious rankings by state. I then applied either caucus results or recent polls (if they hadn't had their caucus yet). It shows that there is a correlation between Romney voters and how much schooling one has and how religious one is. It's by no means spot on, but it's about 70% accurate.</p><p></p><p>My spreadsheet shows that MS, SD, RI, PA, KS, NM, IL, WV, AR, KY, LA, AL, TX, NC, and IN should not pick Romney and MD, MT, ID, NY, CA, OR, IL, DE, CT, NJ, UT, and NB should pick Romney. Anyone else want to forecast the remaining caucuses? Of course, if any candidate gets way ahead, then most states will just follow the leader and my predictions will be worthless (not that they aren't already).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MattRose, post: 59994111"] I roughed up a spreadsheet that has education level and religious/non-religious rankings by state. I then applied either caucus results or recent polls (if they hadn't had their caucus yet). It shows that there is a correlation between Romney voters and how much schooling one has and how religious one is. It's by no means spot on, but it's about 70% accurate. My spreadsheet shows that MS, SD, RI, PA, KS, NM, IL, WV, AR, KY, LA, AL, TX, NC, and IN should not pick Romney and MD, MT, ID, NY, CA, OR, IL, DE, CT, NJ, UT, and NB should pick Romney. Anyone else want to forecast the remaining caucuses? Of course, if any candidate gets way ahead, then most states will just follow the leader and my predictions will be worthless (not that they aren't already). [/QUOTE]
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Finally an Alabama poll - Gingrich leads, kinda
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