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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
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Confirmed coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever
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<blockquote data-quote="Occams Barber" data-source="post: 75058690" data-attributes="member: 313365"><p><span style="font-size: 15px">Looking at <a href="http://www.worldometers.info › coronavirus" target="_blank">Worldometer</a> data to 5 June, it looks like daily deaths stopped decreasing around May 26, based on the 7 day rolling average. (see first graph below).</span></p><p></p><p>There appears to be a similar stall in the decline of daily new cases dating back a little earlier in May - again based on the 7 day average (see second graph below).</p><p></p><p>Neither graph is definitive of where things might go from here. If this is an indication of the infection settling on a base rate, it suggests an ongoing death rate of around 1000 per day until the infection pool reaches a minimum. It's also possible that the relative ups and downs from various parts of the US have evened out into a temporary halt in the decline of new cases/deaths.</p><p></p><p>It may also be the calm before the storm.</p><p>[ATTACH=full]278387[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]278388[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>OB</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Occams Barber, post: 75058690, member: 313365"] [SIZE=4]Looking at [URL='http://www.worldometers.info › coronavirus']Worldometer[/URL] data to 5 June, it looks like daily deaths stopped decreasing around May 26, based on the 7 day rolling average. (see first graph below).[/SIZE] There appears to be a similar stall in the decline of daily new cases dating back a little earlier in May - again based on the 7 day average (see second graph below). Neither graph is definitive of where things might go from here. If this is an indication of the infection settling on a base rate, it suggests an ongoing death rate of around 1000 per day until the infection pool reaches a minimum. It's also possible that the relative ups and downs from various parts of the US have evened out into a temporary halt in the decline of new cases/deaths. It may also be the calm before the storm. [ATTACH=full]278387[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]278388[/ATTACH] OB [/QUOTE]
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Confirmed coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever
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