Confirmed coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever

Johnboy60

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New cases of the novel coronavirus are rising faster than ever worldwide, at a rate of more than 100,000 a day over a seven-day average.

In April, new cases never topped 100,000 in one day, but since May 21, there have only been less than 100,000 on five days, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Newly reported cases reached a high of 130,400 on June 3.

Coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever worldwide - CNN
 

Richard T

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Yes, we are at an interesting crossroads. Much of the world is reopening and it remains to be seen what the results will be. Most now are not focusing on the case count but rather the hospitalization and death rate.
 
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Dave G.

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We're dropping in my area, went from nearly 2000 to 421 in the last three weeks. Our peak was a while ago at 5000 ( I'd have to look at the chart but I think around April 1 or so).. That said we did have two new deaths bringing that toll to 121.
 
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My state seems to be an a well-established decline, in spite of all of the protests of a strict stay at home order:
Coronavirus - Michigan Data
see page 2 for a daily progression of cases bar chart and I think pg 3 was a linear chart of the deaths.

All restrictions are soon to be lifted and we will see...................

By the way there was nothing at the Johns Hopkins Univ site to support CNN's version and your take on the situation. Due to all of the bad and erroneous news from CNN over the last decade or two I do not pay them any attention on ANYTHING any more. Do you have an ACTUAL accredited medical institution's take to support your take or just that highly politically motivated news group?
 
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dqhall

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New cases of the novel coronavirus are rising faster than ever worldwide, at a rate of more than 100,000 a day over a seven-day average.

In April, new cases never topped 100,000 in one day, but since May 21, there have only been less than 100,000 on five days, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Newly reported cases reached a high of 130,400 on June 3.

Coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever worldwide - CNN
Cases have been rising in Florida since we reopened on or about May 5th. They are getting ready to do more reopening. There were about 20,000 cases new infections in the US yesterday. Many of these were over the age of 65 or suffering from other illnesses in addition to the virus.
 
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Richard T

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The states that are increasing in Covid infections are mostly in the south, the one's that opened up first. Texas, Florida, etc. Most of these states are not surpassing April highs in daily counts, (North Carolina is) but COVID does seem to be trending upward in about 15 states. If the re-opening increases the reproduction rate above 1, for each new case, then we will have problems down the line. Brazil, which never really shut down is looking quite bad. Brazil COVID-19 Corona Tracker You have to look at local hotspots too. Rapid City, SD for instance, had very few cases until near the middle of May. Now all of a sudden it is getting a dozen a day. (They opened the nearby casinos before Vegas, not to mention they are a tourist town). Meanwhile, Sioux Falls across the state, had hundreds of cases earlier and now has less a lower daily count than other parts of the state. Montana is still my favorite with only 525 total cases and one current hospitalization in the whole state. 18th Montanan dies from COVID-19, state reports 53 active cases
 
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It's hard to know how to interpret infections, since testing is also ramping up. I'm worried about California based on infections, but their death rate seems constant. That and hospitalization is less likely to be affected by rate of testing. Unfortunately most web sites don't report hospitalization. Of the largest states with infection rates rising, California's deaths seem constant, but Texas is rising, though it's still below its peak. Florida's deaths seem roughly constant, but N Carolina is going up.

Unfortunately it's probably going to take a month to see if we have a real problem. AT that point, if we do, it will be problem to fix. I don't think the politics will allow another closedown. I sure hope all states are prepared to do contact tracing and local restrictions.

Brazil could catch up with the US. It's not a race you want to win ...
 
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Yes, we are at an interesting crossroads. Much of the world is reopening and it remains to be seen what the results will be. Most now are not focusing on the case count but rather the hospitalization and death rate.
Which really is what the focus should have been to begin with. If the point is to flatten the curve as to not overrun the hospitals the people who have it, but do not need medical treatment do not matter as much as those who do as they are not taking up a hospital bed, so if the point is to make sure that we have enough beds for everyone and are not overrunning the hospitals then really that is where the focus should have been all along not the people who able to treat at home or who got it and literally never got sick.
 
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Cases have been rising in Florida since we reopened on or about May 5th. They are getting ready to do more reopening. About 20,000 U.S. citizens died of COVID yesterday. Many of these were over the age of 65 or suffering from other illnesses in addition to the virus.
Where do you get the 20,000 number both sites I use have deaths at around 1,000 sometimes less sometimes a little more a day.
 
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New cases of the novel coronavirus are rising faster than ever worldwide, at a rate of more than 100,000 a day over a seven-day average.

In April, new cases never topped 100,000 in one day, but since May 21, there have only been less than 100,000 on five days, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Newly reported cases reached a high of 130,400 on June 3.

Coronavirus cases are rising faster than ever worldwide - CNN

New cases are rising in Florida. It makes no sense to talk about opening up, contra CDC guidelines, unless somehow the government has just written off the inevitable deaths to our most vulnerable citizens as "acceptable losses".
 
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Looking at Worldometer data to 5 June, it looks like daily deaths stopped decreasing around May 26, based on the 7 day rolling average. (see first graph below).

There appears to be a similar stall in the decline of daily new cases dating back a little earlier in May - again based on the 7 day average (see second graph below).

Neither graph is definitive of where things might go from here. If this is an indication of the infection settling on a base rate, it suggests an ongoing death rate of around 1000 per day until the infection pool reaches a minimum. It's also possible that the relative ups and downs from various parts of the US have evened out into a temporary halt in the decline of new cases/deaths.

It may also be the calm before the storm.
upload_2020-6-6_14-13-9.png




upload_2020-6-6_14-14-41.png


OB
 
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dqhall

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Our new infection rate was dropping until the last week of May and now they are climbing again :(

1. Coronavirus takes up to two weeks to incubate.

2. Memorial Day weekend was two weeks ago, and a lot of people didn't practice social distancing...
 
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