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An Ironic ID Prediction: Right Timetable, Wrong Patient

John Bauer

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David L. Rice III: So the questioning of universal common descent is not as unpopular as it once was?

Paul Nelson: Here's a prediction. Universal common descent will be gasping for breath in two or three years, if not sooner.

Tristan Abbey: Another couple decades before the textbooks wake up.

It has been nearly 25 years. That prediction has failed spectacularly.

And ironically, for Nelson was right about the timetable, but wrong about the patient. It was the International Society for Complexity, Information, and Design that was gasping for breath in two or three years, which was an ID-aligned academic society (www.iscid.org) whose web site published the transcript of that workshop discussion (source). It was gasping for breath by late 2003, had almost no activity by 2004, and its web journal, Progress in Complexity, Information, and Design (PCID), published its eighth and apparently final issue in November 2005—

—just before the Kitzmiller v. Dover decision came down in December of that year.
 

The Barbarian

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It has been nearly 25 years. That prediction has failed spectacularly.

And ironically, for Nelson was right about the timetable, but wrong about the patient. It was the International Society for Complexity, Information, and Design that was gasping for breath in two or three years, which was an ID-aligned academic society (www.iscid.org) whose web site published the transcript of that workshop discussion (source). It was gasping for breath by late 2003, had almost no activity by 2004, and its web journal, Progress in Complexity, Information, and Design (PCID), published its eighth and apparently final issue in November 2005—

—just before the Kitzmiller v. Dover decision came down in December of that year.
Howell, a researcher based at Duke University, seeks to show where intelligent design (“ID”) fits alongside more established frameworks for relating the Bible’s account of Creation with the findings of modern evolutionary science. Young-earth creationism, he suggests, has gained a popular following and left its stamp on 21st-century Christian thought. So too, he observes, has its chief philosophical rival, theistic evolution (or its newer cousin, evolutionary creationism).

By contrast, Howell presents ID as more a brief flicker than a lasting force. In his telling, it emerged on the national stage with the 1996 Mere Creation Conference at Biola University and largely faded from view after the 2005 Kitzmiller v. Dover Area School District trial in Dover, Pennsylvania, which ended with a federal judge ruling that teaching ID in public schools amounts to promoting a religious belief.

 
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