- Jul 21, 2022
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David L. Rice III: So the questioning of universal common descent is not as unpopular as it once was?
Paul Nelson: Here's a prediction. Universal common descent will be gasping for breath in two or three years, if not sooner.
Tristan Abbey: Another couple decades before the textbooks wake up.
It has been nearly 25 years. That prediction has failed spectacularly.
And ironically, for Nelson was right about the timetable, but wrong about the patient. It was the International Society for Complexity, Information, and Design that was gasping for breath in two or three years, which was an ID-aligned academic society (www.iscid.org) whose web site published the transcript of that workshop discussion (source). It was gasping for breath by late 2003, had almost no activity by 2004, and its web journal, Progress in Complexity, Information, and Design (PCID), published its eighth and apparently final issue in November 2005—
—just before the Kitzmiller v. Dover decision came down in December of that year.