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Dismantling the Forestry Service

Is dismantling the Forestry Service right now a good idea?

  • I think it's a bad idea at virtually anytime

    Votes: 15 88.2%
  • I I think dismantling the Forestry Service is a Good at idea happenning at

    Votes: 1 5.9%
  • Somewhere in between

    Votes: 1 5.9%

  • Total voters
    17

Maria Billingsley

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Im sorry to say, but you're just not right... And neither are the sources.

Lumber in 2004 reached a peak of $460 per thousand board feet, with a falltime drop to $404 per thousand board feet by years end.

Today the price is $872.03 per thousand board feet.

The price of lumber since the housing boom has literally doubled.! Nothing should "double" in price, in that amount of time. I can understand a 5 to 10 percent increase, but there's certainly a problem with lumber.

Also, if the carpentry trades lack a workforce, as political leftists proclaim, why are we not seeing the trades recruiting?
Well ya, for sure since 2004! For example let's look at the cost of a popular truck:
The average price of a Toyota Tundra has more than doubled over the last twenty-two years, jumping from approximately $24,000 in 2004 to roughly $56,000 for the 2026 model.

Thanks for sharing!
 
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Landon Caeli

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Well ya, for sure since 2004! For example let's look at the cost of a popular truck:
The average price of a Toyota Tundra has more than doubled over the last twenty-two years, jumping from approximately $24,000 in 2004 to roughly $56,000 for the 2026 model.

Thanks for sharing!
The Tundra has shifted from a bare minimum vehicle, with 4 tires and a steering wheel, to a complete and total luxury vehicle since then. Lumber hasn't changed at all.

...So nice try.
 
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Landon Caeli

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The truth seems more like, if we stop all forms of production (including lumber) and stop manufacturing, and labor, we can extinguish the working class entirely, to where there's only the super-wealthy, and the dirt-poor, so that the introduction of socialism can make sense.

That's really the *only* way it can happen - you have to create an environment where the majority are dependent on the government.

...So yeah, keep championing things like less lumber production, and keep begging for government housing at the same time. You're doing great comrades! :oldthumbsup:
 
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rambot

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What does that have to do with my opinion of lefty news?
What does your opinion on "lefty news" have, at all, to do with this thread? As I mentiond, they are describing it as a "major restructuring". You can't restucture something without at least partially dismantling it.

Im sorry to say, but you're just not right... And neither are the sources.

Lumber in 2004 reached a peak of $460 per thousand board feet, with a falltime drop to $404 per thousand board feet by years end.

Today the price is $872.03 per thousand board feet.
Google Search
Not sure where you got your number (and you didn't source it so....). The 3 links I clicked on said the same thing.
Demand is TANKING cause YA Boi, with his deft maneuvering, as managed to dry up housing starts.
EDIT:
It hasn't even gone over 700 in 5yrs....
Lumber PRICE Today | Lumber Spot Price Chart | Live Price of Lumber per Ounce | Markets Insider [don't be confused where it says "by oz"

The price of lumber since the housing boom has literally doubled.! Nothing should "double" in price, in that amount of time. I can understand a 5 to 10 percent increase, but there's certainly a problem with lumber.
Well, this is based on faulty information as far as I have seen.
Also, if the carpentry trades lack a workforce, as political leftists proclaim, why are we not seeing the trades recruiting? We don't see the ads anywhere? We don't see the schools encouraging shop classes, or vocational trades careers? Why? Because it's not the real problem. It's a fake problem.
Wow. That is just so factually inaccurate. Not sure about you but I CONSTANTLY see advertisements for the trades in my social media feeds. And the known trades deficit in North America? Honestly, I thought was super basic common knowledge.


U.S. Construction Labor Shortage: A Deep Dive.
 
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rambot

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The truth seems more like, if we stop all forms of production (including lumber) and stop manufacturing, and labor, we can extinguish the working class entirely, to where there's only the super-wealthy, and the dirt-poor, so that the introduction of socialism can make sense.

That's really the *only* way it can happen - you have to create an environment where the majority are dependent on the government.

...So yeah, keep championing things like less lumber production, and keep begging for government housing at the same time. You're doing great comrades! :oldthumbsup:
Given your lack of basic knowledge on employment trends, I'm not sure trying to gloat or condescend....makes sense.

Truth is....maybe builders need to be paying carpenters more to make the trades look like an enticing career.
 
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Landon Caeli

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What does your opinion on "lefty news" have, at all, to do with this thread? As I mentiond, they are describing it as a "major restructuring". You can't restucture something without at least partially dismantling it.


Google Search
Not sure where you got your number (and you didn't source it so....). The 3 links I clicked on said the same thing.
Demand is TANKING cause YA Boi, with his deft maneuvering, as managed to dry up housing starts.



Well, this is based on faulty information as far as I have seen.

Wow. That is just so factually inaccurate. Not sure about you but I CONSTANTLY see advertisements for the trades in my social media feeds. And the known trades deficit in North America? Honestly, I thought was super basic common knowledge.


U.S. Construction Labor Shortage: A Deep Dive.
Carpentry apprenticeship programs have seen up to a 70% increase in applicants. It's only a 3 to 4 year program.

...So what's the excuse now? There really is no excuse. There's just baloney, piled on top of baloney. My theory is that the real estate industry is filled with greedy investors trying to sling houses like snake oil salesmen. They're doing sneaky things, and cooking the books.
 
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Landon Caeli

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Given your lack of basic knowledge on employment trends, I'm not sure trying to gloat or condescend....makes sense.

Truth is....maybe builders need to be paying carpenters more to make the trades look like an enticing career.
I don't think you realize how flooded the apprenticeship programs are right now. In *all* the trades, including carpentry, which has seen a 70% increase in applicants.

GG:
Applications to apprenticeship programs across the skilled trades have seen a 70% increase since 2022, driven by high demand for "AI-proof" jobs and a shift in Gen Z career preferences away from traditional four-year colleges.

While this 70% figure applies to the broader skilled trades sector, specific sectors like construction have seen similar, significant spikes:
  • Construction Trades Surge: Students studying construction trades in 2023 surged by 23% compared to the previous year.
  • Gen Z Interest: 60% of Gen Zers are actively considering or pursuing skilled trade work, driven by the desire for hands-on, stable careers.
  • Regional Growth: Union-affiliated apprenticeship programs in some areas have seen applications grow, with specific finishing trades experiencing a 50% increase from 2023 to 2024.
This surge is largely due to increasing wages, the appeal of entering the workforce without college debt, and high demand, as the industry faces a massive need for hundreds of thousands of new skilled workers annually.

https://share.google/63BVjAUWeJprq1s1M

In a jobs apocalypse, look to ‘AI-proof’ skilled trades, career experts say
 
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rambot

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Carpentry apprenticeship programs have seen up to a 70% increase in applicants. It's only a 3 to 4 year program.
That's great but 60% of builders are reporting shortages. No disrespect but you've already trotted out bad numbers once in this thread and I have seen nowhere that supports this claim either.
...So what's the excuse now? There really is no excuse. There's just baloney, piled on top of baloney.
Guy...why are you getting defensive? What are you talkiung about "Excuse"? And what is the "baloney" I'm piling? You haven't disproven anything and I've shown you your information is bunk. Stop accusing others and defend yourself.

I just told you your information is inaccurate. Either counter it with new information or provide a SOURCE for your numbers

My theory is that the real estate industry is filled with greedy investors trying to sling houses like snake oil salesmen.
OF COURSE they are. Remember when we tried to prosecute one of those slimy real estate investors and how people responded? IT's rampant so no big deal.
 
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rambot

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I don't think you realize how flooded the apprenticeship programs are right now. In *all* the trades, including carpentry, which has seen a 70% increase in applicants.



While this 70% figure applies to the broader skilled trades sector, specific sectors like construction have seen similar, significant spikes:
  • Construction Trades Surge: Students studying construction trades in 2023 surged by 23% compared to the previous year.
  • Gen Z Interest: 60% of Gen Zers are actively considering or pursuing skilled trade work, driven by the desire for hands-on, stable careers.
  • Regional Growth: Union-affiliated apprenticeship programs in some areas have seen applications grow, with specific finishing trades experiencing a 50% increase from 2023 to 2024.
T
Why did you misrepresent that number the first time?

We were talking about CARPENTERS....NOT "all trades".
That's my bolding?
 
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Landon Caeli

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That's great but 60% of builders are reporting shortages. No disrespect but you've already trotted out bad numbers once in this thread and I have seen nowhere that supports this claim either.

Guy...why are you getting defensive? What are you talkiung about "Excuse"? And what is the "baloney" I'm piling? You haven't disproven anything and I've shown you your information is bunk. Stop accusing others and defend yourself.

I just told you your information is inaccurate. Either counter it with new information or provide a SOURCE for your numbers


OF COURSE they are. Remember when we tried to prosecute one of those slimy real estate investors and how people responded? IT's rampant so no big deal.
Im not getting defensive, I'm being passionate about something that means something to me. There's a difference.

My problem is not with you, but with the sources that I don't believe. I cannot believe that nobody wants to be a carpenter, but they're willing to do other trades - it doesn't make any sense. Carpenters can make really good money in California, from 50 up to 100 dollars an hour.

Something just isn't making sense, and that bothers me.
 
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rambot

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Im not getting defensive, I'm being passionate about something that means something to me. There's a difference.
Fair enough. I appreciate that. I feel the same way when people talk about Education. And it's hard when NOT educators have opinions that seem uninformed.

My problem is not with you, but with the sources that I don't believe.
Well the price of lumber? That one is solid.


I cannot believe that nobody wants to be a carpenter, but they're willing to do other trades - it doesn't make any sense.
There IS an uptick in carpentry...it's just not as big as you'd suggested (didn't your source say 23% increase?)

Carpenters can make really god money in California, from 50 up to 100 dollars an hour.
I think that's good money in SOME places in California.

As people realize AI will steel a lot of different jobs, you'll find that slowly trades will become more popular..i hope. I'm DESPERATELY trying to get my son into them but I dont' see it happenning sadly.

Something just isn't making sense, and that bothers me.
Fair enough.
 
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Landon Caeli

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Given your lack of basic knowledge on employment trends, I'm not sure trying to gloat or condescend....makes sense.
Im also passionate about *not* creating low-income housing, because I don't believe putting a bandaid on a broken arm is any kind of real solution. So, saying I have a basic lack of knowledge isn't a very fair assessment of why I write the things I write.

I find that fixing the housing crisis, as a whole, is the only viable solution in the long run, that will work for everyone... Not just the poor.
 
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Landon Caeli

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...Just something to think about, and I'm not trying to be aggressive about it, but what if we were somehow able to lower the cost of 1000 board feet to 395.00..?

Is there anyway that construction companies could then increase carpenter wages and still pull off a good enough profit to start building again? Or are we truly being manipulated by the real-estate industry with an iron grip of sorts. I would love to know.

So it "could" be true, that logging the forests might help the economy in a really big way. As long as it's done responsibly.
 
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rambot

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Im also passionate about *not* creating low-income housing, because I don't believe putting a bandaid on a broken arm is any kind of real solution.
You do see how housing for a poor family isn't actually a bandaid but a full on doctor's appointment, xray, casting, check-ins, cast removal and physical/occupational therapy for a poor family though right?

You would rather the poor family DIDN'T have access to low income housing?


So, saying I have a basic lack of knowledge isn't a very fair assessment of why I write the things I write.
Landon, the first time I suggested that was in regards to the price of lumber. I still don't know where you got that number from but it is way, way wrong. In regards to carpentry apprenticeships, The increases in those apprentices DO exist (Which I am happy about but also a touch surprised...) but they are not NEEEEARLY the 70% suggested.


I find that fixing the housing crisis, as a whole, is the only viable solution in the long run, that will work for everyone... Not just the poor.
But what do you mean when you say "the poor".

Because right now, you need a SOLIDLY middle to UPPER middle class salary MOST markets in the US to own a home.

But what if fixing the housing crisis requires some significant market interventions? Are you open to that? Right now corporate ownership has a good chunk of the market but they expect that to increase to 40% in a few years. That is NOT going to make things cheaper.
 
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Servus

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What does your opinion on "lefty news" have, at all, to do with this thread? As I mentiond, they are describing it as a "major restructuring". You can't restucture something without at least partially dismantling it.
My reply was to what Landon said, which is what it had to do with this thread.
 
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Landon Caeli

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Landon, the first time I suggested that was in regards to the price of lumber. I still don't know where you got that number from but it is way, way wrong.
I was wrong with the carpentry apprenticeship, but not the prices of lumber:
Screenshot_20260410_074825_Google.jpg

Screenshot_20260410_074750_Google.jpg

But what do you mean when you say "the poor".

Because right now, you need a SOLIDLY middle to UPPER middle class salary MOST markets in the US to own a home.

But what if fixing the housing crisis requires some significant market interventions? Are you open to that?
in a supply and demand market, increased supply would create lower costs *across the board*... The lowest level houses would be practically give-aways with a big construction boom. Of course after that, tax money could assist the very bottom bracket with rent costs.

A construction boom is a fix all. For the poor too.
 
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rambot

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I was wrong with the carpentry apprenticeship, but not the prices of lumber:
View attachment 378376
View attachment 378377

in a supply and demand market, increased supply would create lower costs *across the board*... The lowest level houses would be practically give-aways with a big construction boom. Of course after that, tax money could assist the very bottom bracket with rent costs.

A construction boom is a fix all. For the poor too.
I apologize.
I do see where your numbers come from.

What is strange is when I bring up a stock ticker, it is not showing that number (nor is it showing going near there).

And what's weird? This is what google AI is telling me right now:

As of early 2026, framing lumber prices in the USA have moderated from previous peaks, settling around $370–$596 per 1,000 board feet. Retail prices for common 2x4x8' studs typically cost around $2.50–$5.20 per board, while 2x6x12' boards generally range from $7–$8. Prices vary based on region and retailer.
Trading Economics +3
Common Framing Lumber Prices (Retail Examples)
  • 2x4x8' Studs: $2.50 – $5.17
  • 2x6x12' Boards: $7.00 – $7.20
  • 2x8x16' Boards: ~$15.12
  • 2x10x16' Boards: ~$18.26
  • 7/16" OSB Sheathing: $24 – $38 per 4x8' sheet
Market Trends and Factors
  • Price Volatility: Lumber futures have dropped significantly from over $1,400 in 2021 to below $600 by early 2026.
  • Regional Demand: Slowdowns in single-family housing starts have eased upward pressure on prices.
  • Purchasing Strategy: Buying in bulk (e.g., 35+ pieces) can reduce prices at major retailers.
  • Material Costs: Framing lumber typically costs $0.58–$0.78 per linear foot.
  • Final Project Costs: The total cost for framing, including labor, generally ranges from $7–$16 per square foot.
    Trading Economics +4
For the most accurate pricing, it is recommended to get quotes from local suppliers, as national averages can fluctuate rapidly
Here it says Futures went up to 1400$ !?!

Essentially what this comes down to is the exact reason why you cannot rely SOLELY on quoting AI.
 

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Landon Caeli

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I apologize.
I do see where your numbers come from.

What is strange is when I bring up a stock ticker, it is not showing that number (nor is it showing going near there).

And what's weird? This is what google AI is telling me right now:

As of early 2026, framing lumber prices in the USA have moderated from previous peaks, settling around $370–$596 per 1,000 board feet. Retail prices for common 2x4x8' studs typically cost around $2.50–$5.20 per board, while 2x6x12' boards generally range from $7–$8. Prices vary based on region and retailer.
Trading Economics +3
Common Framing Lumber Prices (Retail Examples)
  • 2x4x8' Studs: $2.50 – $5.17
  • 2x6x12' Boards: $7.00 – $7.20
  • 2x8x16' Boards: ~$15.12
  • 2x10x16' Boards: ~$18.26
  • 7/16" OSB Sheathing: $24 – $38 per 4x8' sheet
Market Trends and Factors
  • Price Volatility: Lumber futures have dropped significantly from over $1,400 in 2021 to below $600 by early 2026.
  • Regional Demand: Slowdowns in single-family housing starts have eased upward pressure on prices.
  • Purchasing Strategy: Buying in bulk (e.g., 35+ pieces) can reduce prices at major retailers.
  • Material Costs: Framing lumber typically costs $0.58–$0.78 per linear foot.
  • Final Project Costs: The total cost for framing, including labor, generally ranges from $7–$16 per square foot.
    Trading Economics +4
For the most accurate pricing, it is recommended to get quotes from local suppliers, as national averages can fluctuate rapidly
Here it says Futures went up to 1400$ !?!

Essentially what this comes down to is the exact reason why you cannot rely SOLELY on quoting AI.
It seems like the price of lumber fluctuates a lot... That, in itself, might be a deterrent for builders, in a shaky economy.

I wonder if increasing domestic production could stabilize prices enough for builders to feel more confident, financially, in starting new projects.
 
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iluvatar5150

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Im sorry to say, but you're just not right... And neither are the sources.

Lumber in 2004 reached a peak of $460 per thousand board feet, with a falltime drop to $404 per thousand board feet by years end.

Today the price is $872.03 per thousand board feet.

The price of lumber since the housing boom has literally doubled.! Nothing should "double" in price, in that amount of time. I can understand a 5 to 10 percent increase, but there's certainly a problem with lumber.

Also, if the carpentry trades lack a workforce, as political leftists proclaim, why are we not seeing the trades recruiting? We don't see the ads anywhere? We don't see the schools encouraging shop classes, or vocational trades careers? Why? Because it's not the real problem. It's a fake problem.
The PPI for lumber and wood products spiked during covid, but has retreated to its normal upward climb:

1775851377806.png
 
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