RocksInMyHead
God is innocent; Noah built on a floodplain!
- May 12, 2011
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Where are you getting your numbers? I don't see anyone putting any election turnouts above 70% since 1900. Trump won in 2016 with a voter turnout of about 60% - same as 2004 and 2008, more or less. Turnout in 2020 and 2024 was a bit higher (around 65% in 2020 and 63% in 2024), but I propose that Trump himself is the driver of that trend - he's a very divisive candidate, and when he's on the ballot, voters show up both to vote for him and against him, especially after seeing him in action.When it was in the neighborhood of 60-65%, we had presidential elections like Clinton v Dole and Obama v Romney, and the "bookends" of the Overton window in the House spanned from Barney Frank to Newt Gingrich.
Once we got up in the mid-70%'s, now we have reality show hosts winning presidential elections, and "socialists vs. conspiracy theorists" battles in the House.
US Elections Project - national-1789-present
National General Election VEP Turnout Rates, 1789-Present National general election voting-eligible population turnout rates for presidential and midterm elections are plotted below, along with the raw data provided in an accompanying spreadsheet. These numbers are taken from Vital Statistics of
Voter Turnout in Presidential Elections | The American Presidency Project
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