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Why Have Birds Never Gotten as Big as T. Rex?

lifepsyop

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Mammals are synapsids, having split off early from basal amniotes. The very structure of their skulls set them apart from diapsids and anapsids. Rather basic anatomical fact. Who would be that ignorant. Archosaurs like birds and other dinosaurs and crocodiles, are diapsids.

No, you're still confusing analogy with homology. It's not the fenestrations that matter; it's the bones and tissues involved that indicate descent. For example, there are fossils of organisms that should be diapsids, but only have one fenestration on each side of the skull. But they have the diapisd fenstration for the remaining opening, and traces where the other fenestrtion existed.

View attachment 367682
Notice the homologies. No way to put that on convergent evolution.

i notice you're just making claims, but i'm a little curious about your logic here.

if selection pressures drove the supposed evolution of these bone and tissue structures from early amniotes once,

then why can't selection pressures do it more than once?
 
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The Barbarian

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i notice you're just making claims, but i'm a little curious about your logic here.
These are just observable facts. Notice that in cases of convergent evolution such as wings, they look alike, but were produced from different parts. Analogous features. On the other hand, human hands, horses hooves, whale flippers and bat wings all evolved from the same parts, even if they look differently. Homlogous features.
if selection pressures drove the supposed evolution of these bone and tissue structures from early amniotes once,

then why can't selection pressures do it more than once?
Actually, that's a good question. And it was a critical element in Darwin's theory. Evolution is not design. It's opportunistic, taking advantage of variation that actually happens at random. So, while the selective pressures remain very much alike (but not identical for different organisms), the available variation will almost never be the same in different cases. The odds of so many random events happening several times in order are so unlikely as to be practically impossible.

Which is why humans, pandas, koalas, and tarsiers (among others) all have grasping hands, but their "thumbs" are each evolved from different parts. They all had very similar selective pressures, but the actual results are analogous. Would you like me to show you this?

It's noteworthy that genetic algorithms, engineering programs that use evolutionary processes to "design" complex solutions that are too complex for actual design, will also show analogous results if run several times.
 
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lifepsyop

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That's not what we see at all. It's one guy that disagrees with consensus. There's scientists that still disagree that tobacco smoke causes cancers. These people are not part of the general process of science.

I can show you textbooks from every decade that argue birds are dinosaurs. No textbooks used in schools argue similarities between mammals and birds except creationism ones.

missing the point completely.

hypothetically, let's assume there was an extremely poor fossil record of dinosaurs, particularly the types of dinosaurs that evolutionists currently believe evolved into birds.

(assuming you can entertain a hypothetical scenario)

so in this case, since there is no dinosaur data to work with, evolutionists would instead naturally turn to the to existent "synapamorphies" between birds and mammals, as evidence of shared ancestry. We would still be left with an evolutionary narrative of where birds came from.

again, this demonstrates the relative "malleability" of Evolutionary narratives. like selection pressures themselves, the evolutionary story conforms to most-plausible, most-believable, most-palatable scenarios, but is itself rarely being tested by the data.
 
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lifepsyop

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So, while the selective pressures remain very much alike (but not identical for different organisms), the available variation will almost never be the same in different cases.

didn't say it had to be identical or exactly the same - just basic structural similarity that might confuse the signal of homology vs. homoplasy.

(a problem that is nearly constant in the paleobiology literature, btw)

The odds of so many random events happening several times in order are so unlikely as to be practically impossible.

that's a creationist argument. "the odds of so many random things happening at once..."

how exactly are you modeling this probablity? it's not just a hunch is it?

what kind of math are you using to weigh the difference in likelihood of one of these amniote skull morphotypes evolving once as opposed to twice or three times? genuinely curious
 
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The Barbarian

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hypothetically, let's assume there was an extremely poor fossil record of dinosaurs, particularly the types of dinosaurs that evolutionists currently believe evolved into birds.
Which was the case when Huxley later made his prediction that birds evolved from other dinosaurs.
(assuming you can entertain a hypothetical scenario)

so in this case, since there is no dinosaur data to work with, evolutionists would instead naturally turn to the to existent "synapamorphies" between birds and mammals, as evidence of shared ancestry.
No. The archosaur, Ornithosuchus, (named "birdcrocodile" by Huxley) was a clue, as were other known dinosaurs. None of them were remotely mammalian. Cynodonts were unknown at the time, so the affinity between reptiles and mammals was not in evidence in Huxley's time.
We would still be left with an evolutionary narrative of where birds came from.
No. Huxley, at that time, had not read Darwin's work, and did not think organisms evolved. He was thinking in terms of types, and only later realized what the data meant.

Huxley began associating reptiles—including dinosaurs—with birds on the basis of their anatomy in the early 1860s. Both groups appeared to be different variations of a common skeletal blueprint. But Huxley wasn’t thinking about this in evolutionary terms yet. He was primarily interested in the commonalities of structure and did not immediately start drawing evolutionary implications from the anatomical correspondences he recorded. That changed in 1866, when Huxley read the German naturalist Ernst Haeckel’s book Generelle Morphologie, an influential volume that connected organisms in a tangled “tree of life.” In regard to birds and reptiles, at least, Huxley realized that he had already established the basic outline of an evolutionary transition from a dinosaur-like creature—something resembling Compsognathus—to flightless birds and culminating in flying birds.
 
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The Barbarian

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So, while the selective pressures remain very much alike (but not identical for different organisms), the available variation will almost never be the same in different cases.

didn't say it had to be identical or exactly the same - just basic structural similarity that might confuse the signal of homology vs. homoplasy
No. "Basic structural similarity" is analogy, not homology.
(a problem that is nearly constant in the paleobiology literature, btw)
Yes. It gets difficult and a lot of work involves untangling the anatomical data of fossils. For example, Alan Feduccia argued that birds and dinosaurs evolved from a common ancestor, basing his argument on which digits were reduced in bird and dinosaur forelimbs. Eventually, he was shown to be wrong about which digits, and his theory was refuted.

(Asked why convergent evolution doesn't produce identical structures, rather than analogous structures)

The odds of so many random events happening several times in order are so unlikely as to be practically impossible.

that's a creationist argument. "the odds of so many random things happening at once..."
No, its a mathematical argument. Most YEC arguments on probability are something like "the likelihood of (large number) of amino acids in this order in a protein is so unlikely as to be impossible." Which, if a valid argument, would prove that poker games are impossible. Figures don't lie, but liars often figure. I could show you the math and a simple simulation to test the assumption, if you like.

how exactly are you modeling this probablity? it's not just a hunch is it?
Well, tell me how many mutations you think would be necessary to convert an archosaur leg into a functional wing. Then we'll do the math. Let's say 100. (obviously a great number of non-useful mutations would occur and be rejected by natural selection during the same time).
Each step in such an evolution depends on the last stage. So 1/100! or about 1/9.3^157. Very small likelihood, um? Which is why we never see a complex adaption form identically in two separate lineages. Just 10 would give us a likelihood of about 1/3,600,000.

what kind of math are you using to weigh the difference in likelihood of one of these amniote skull morphotypes evolving once as opposed to twice or three times? genuinely curious
The hope for convergence lies in the fenestration occuring precisely in the right place, involving precisely the same bones, connective tissue, muscles and nerves. There is supporting genetic and neurological data, supporting the way this happened:

Devolopment
Volume 144 Issue 22
November 2017

The evolution of cortical development: the synapsid-diapsid divergence

All these mutations happening to fall in exactly the same order, seems very unlikely. Why not just accept the evidence? Understand, the odds aren't for the result happening once. They are for the same result happening twice. And that is why poker games and analogous structures are possible.
 
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lifepsyop

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No. "Basic structural similarity" is analogy, not homology.

no.... analogy is similarity in function. similar function can come from very different physical structures, as in the case of wings.

Yes. It gets difficult and a lot of work involves untangling the anatomical data of fossils. For example, Alan Feduccia argued that birds and dinosaurs evolved from a common ancestor, basing his argument on which digits were reduced in bird and dinosaur forelimbs. Eventually, he was shown to be wrong about which digits, and his theory was refuted.

this 'untangling' is usually highly subjective - and the goal is to home in on the most likely story, not discover an objective truth about something.

new data shows up later, and oops, those traits that we labeled homologies, well turns out the story works better now if we call those homoplasies/convergences.

it's a science of finding the best version of a story - and not a science of testing whether or not the story is true in the first place.

(Asked why convergent evolution doesn't produce identical structures, rather than analogous structures)

The odds of so many random events happening several times in order are so unlikely as to be practically impossible.


No, its a mathematical argument. Most YEC arguments on probability are something like "the likelihood of (large number) of amino acids in this order in a protein is so unlikely as to be impossible." Which, if a valid argument, would prove that poker games are impossible. Figures don't lie, but liars often figure. I could show you the math and a simple simulation to test the assumption, if you like.


Well, tell me how many mutations you think would be necessary to convert an archosaur leg into a functional wing. Then we'll do the math. Let's say 100. (obviously a great number of non-useful mutations would occur and be rejected by natural selection during the same time).
Each step in such an evolution depends on the last stage. So 1/100! or about 1/9.3^157. Very small likelihood, um? Which is why we never see a complex adaption form identically in two separate lineages. Just 10 would give us a likelihood of about 1/3,600,000.

Those are exactly creationist arguments, and you're doing what is always accused of creationists, only focusing on the randomness aspect and ignoring the power of natural selection.

the independent/convergent/parallel evolution of a feature is a question of how high it puts the species on a fitness landscape, or how intense are the selection pressures for it.

the skull morphotypes that we call "synapsida" "diapsida", etc., of course they could evolve multiple times, if the selection pressures were high enough for it.

(and since we're always dealing with mystical deep evolutionary time of millions of years, that inference can always be made if the data demands it.)

The hope for convergence lies in the fenestration occuring precisely in the right place, involving precisely the same bones, connective tissue, muscles and nerves. There is supporting genetic and neurological data, supporting the way this happened:

Devolopment
Volume 144 Issue 22
November 2017

The evolution of cortical development: the synapsid-diapsid divergence

All these mutations happening to fall in exactly the same order, seems very unlikely. Why not just accept the evidence? Understand, the odds aren't for the result happening once. They are for the same result happening twice. And that is why poker games and analogous structures are possible.

I rarely see your air of certainty reflected in the actual literature.


-----
"Much emphasis has been put on the phylogenetic value of temporal morphology, inspiring the naming of several higher taxa, such as ‘Synapsida’, ‘Diapsida’, ‘Anapsida’, ‘Euryapsida’, ‘Stegokrotaphia’, and ‘Stegocephali’ , some of which remain in use to the present day – although often with a different definition.

Yet it has been demonstrated that some morphological traits, such as an infratemporal fenestra or a fully closed temporal dermatocranium, appeared independently and repeatedly in distantly related taxa , probably not always in response to the same selective pressure . Additionally, the temporal region can vary distinctly in morphology among closely related taxa , specimens of the same species , or throughout ontogeny ). This highlights the complex evolution of the temporal region in tetrapods and casts doubt on a classification of various tetrapod clades that emphasizes their temporal morphology, especially within Amniota (e.g. ‘Synapsida’, ‘Diapsida’, ‘Anapsida’, ‘Parapsida’, ‘Euryapsida’). It seems likely that similar temporal morphotypes evolved in different clades, either because of similar selective pressures or because different selective regimes favoured the convergent evolution of similar morphotypes. Thus, to establish an understanding of the diversity of the tetrapod temporal region, a holistic approach involving phylogenetic, functional, developmental, and ecological considerations is needed."


 
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The Barbarian

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No. "Basic structural similarity" is analogy, not homology.

In evolutionary biology, analogous structures are biological structures having similar or corresponding functions but not from the same evolutionary origin. In other words, species use these biological structures for the same purpose and yet these species are from unrelated evolutionary lines.

Yes. It gets difficult and a lot of work involves untangling the anatomical data of fossils. For example, Alan Feduccia argued that birds and dinosaurs evolved from a common ancestor, basing his argument on which digits were reduced in bird and dinosaur forelimbs. Eventually, he was shown to be wrong about which digits, and his theory was refuted.

this 'untangling' is usually highly subjective
Sorry, that's wrong, tool. Depends on evidence. Which is why Feduccia's argument wasn't quickly dismissed. A great deal of work was required to sort out his claims and determine if they were correct or not. Would you like to learn about how it was finally resolved?

new data shows up later, and oops, those traits that we labeled homologies, well turns out the story works better now if we call those homoplasies/convergences.
It probably seems unfair to YECs that when scientists learn that they were mistaken, they just accept the reality and change their theories to fit. Science looks at the evidence and finds the best their to explain it. YEC assumes a conclusion and tries to make the facts fit the assumption. Nothing better explains the logical differences between science and YEC.

It's a mathematical argument. Most YEC arguments on probability are something like "the likelihood of (large number) of amino acids in this order in a protein is so unlikely as to be impossible." Which, if a valid argument, would prove that poker games are impossible. Figures don't lie, but liars often figure. I could show you the math and a simple simulation to test the assumption, if you like.


Well, tell me how many mutations you think would be necessary to convert an archosaur leg into a functional wing. Then we'll do the math. Let's say 100. (obviously a great number of non-useful mutations would occur and be rejected by natural selection during the same time).
Each step in such an evolution depends on the last stage. So 1/100! or about 1/9.3^157. Very small likelihood, um? Which is why we never see a complex adaption form identically in two separate lineages. Just 10 would give us a likelihood of about 1/3,600,000.

Those are exactly creationist arguments
So you've changed your position? The reason that bats and pterosaurs have different wings is that they both had to go through the same process of random mutation and natural selection. The odds of all those random mutations happening would more unlikely than shuffling a deck of cards and getting the same order of cards twice. Creationist arguments on probability are essentially arguing that one can't shuffle a deck of cards once. Would you like me to show you?

the independent/convergent/parallel evolution of a feature is a question of how high it puts the species on a fitness landscape, or how intense are the selection pressures for it.
You've assumed that the landscape is much simpler than it is. For example, New World and Old World vultures are superficially very similar. But they evolved to fitness in entirely different ways. One example, is that one uses vision and the other uses sense of smell as hunting strategies. But there's more. The confusion between analogy and homology is a function of YECs being unable to comprehend how it all works and how evolution is opportunistic, rather than prescient.

The hope for convergence lies in the fenestration occuring precisely in the right place, involving precisely the same bones, connective tissue, muscles and nerves. There is supporting genetic and neurological data, supporting the way this happened:

Devolopment
Volume 144 Issue 22
November 2017


The evolution of cortical development: the synapsid-diapsid divergence

All these mutations happening to fall in exactly the same order, seems very unlikely. Why not just accept the evidence? Understand, the odds aren't for the result happening once. They are for the same result happening twice. And that is why poker games and analogous structures are possible.

I rarely see your air of certainty reflected in the actual literature.
It's pretty simple. You see, the paleontological data predicts that one will see genetic data supporting the divergences of synapsids and diapsids from an anapsid ancestor. And when the genetic basis of these developmental changes were found, that prediction was confirmed. It's been confirmed by other research.

Science AdvancesVol. 9, No. 46

Turtle skull development unveils a molecular basis for amniote cranial diversity

Amniote skulls display diverse architectural patterns including remarkable variations in the number of temporal arches surrounding the upper and lower temporal fenestrae. However, the cellular and molecular basis underlying this diversification remains elusive. Turtles are a useful model to understand skull diversity due to the presence of secondarily closed temporal fenestrae and different extents of temporal emarginations (marginal reduction of dermal bones). Here, we analyzed embryos of three turtle species with varying degrees of temporal emargination and identified shared widespread coexpression of upstream osteogenic genes Msx2 and Runx2 and species-specific expression of more downstream osteogenic genes Sp7 and Sparc in the head. Further analysis of representative amniote embryos revealed differential expression patterns of osteogenic genes in the temporal region, suggesting that the spatiotemporal regulation of Msx2, Runx2, and Sp7 distinguishes the temporal skull morphology among amniotes. Moreover, the presence of Msx2- and/or Runx2-positive temporal mesenchyme with osteogenic potential may have contributed to their extremely diverse cranial morphology in reptiles.

Some might deny the evidence, but there it is. No point in fighting the reality.
 
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ViaCrucis

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There was a period of time where there were some large predatory birds. They never reached T-Rex size, but the terror birds were real.

Part of the answer is fairly simple: Mammals. Mammals out-competed the avian dinosaurs and filled out niches, such as that of large apex predators, and so birds--generally--have never been able to occupy those same niches.

It's not entirely that simple, environmental conditions after the KT-extinction event aren't the same as they were before the KT-extinction event. There's the fact that therapods had a lot more time to be dominant apex predators; the earliest therapods show up in the Late Triassic over 200 million years ago, T-Rex died out with the KT extinction event 65 million years ago; that's almost 150 million years between the earliest therapod and T-Rex. We've only had 65 million years since the non-avian dinosaurs died out, and while (as mentioned) some birds did become apex predators (e.g. the terror birds) they were being largely out-competed by mammals and all sorts of conditions and pressures are different.

Even the largest mammalian predators haven't come close to reaching the sizes of the biggest therapod predators; because prey species have also never attained sizes even approaching the diverse herbivorous species of dinosaurs such as the enormous sauropods. The largest land mammal to ever live is an extinct relative of the rhinocerous known as the paraceratherium, which stood almost 16 feet at the shoulder (comparison: Argentinosaurus stood nearly 24 feet at the shoulder, ignoring it's incredibly long neck and tail). Megafauna of the magnitude we saw in the Mesozoic simply has never appeared in the Cenozoic (which we are in still right now).

There is, probably, no reason a bird couldn't reach large therapod proportions given the right ecological conditions--it just hasn't ever happened.

-CryptoLutheran
 
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lifepsyop

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No. "Basic structural similarity" is analogy, not homology.

In evolutionary biology, analogous structures are biological structures having similar or corresponding functions but not from the same evolutionary origin. In other words, species use these biological structures for the same purpose and yet these species are from unrelated evolutionary lines.

yea I know, but you equated structure and function, which was bad wording on your part, since dissimilar structures can have a similar function.

It's a mathematical argument. Most YEC arguments on probability are something like "the likelihood of (large number) of amino acids in this order in a protein is so unlikely as to be impossible." Which, if a valid argument, would prove that poker games are impossible. Figures don't lie, but liars often figure. I could show you the math and a simple simulation to test the assumption, if you like.

Well, tell me how many mutations you think would be necessary to convert an archosaur leg into a functional wing. Then we'll do the math. Let's say 100. (obviously a great number of non-useful mutations would occur and be rejected by natural selection during the same time).
Each step in such an evolution depends on the last stage. So 1/100! or about 1/9.3^157. Very small likelihood, um? Which is why we never see a complex adaption form identically in two separate lineages. Just 10 would give us a likelihood of about 1/3,600,000.

So you've changed your position? The reason that bats and pterosaurs have different wings is that they both had to go through the same process of random mutation and natural selection. The odds of all those random mutations happening would more unlikely than shuffling a deck of cards and getting the same order of cards twice. Creationist arguments on probability are essentially arguing that one can't shuffle a deck of cards once. Would you like me to show you?


You've assumed that the landscape is much simpler than it is. For example, New World and Old World vultures are superficially very similar. But they evolved to fitness in entirely different ways. One example, is that one uses vision and the other uses sense of smell as hunting strategies. But there's more. The confusion between analogy and homology is a function of YECs being unable to comprehend how it all works and how evolution is opportunistic, rather than prescient.

The hope for convergence lies in the fenestration occuring precisely in the right place, involving precisely the same bones, connective tissue, muscles and nerves. There is supporting genetic and neurological data, supporting the way this happened:

Devolopment
Volume 144 Issue 22
November 2017


The evolution of cortical development: the synapsid-diapsid divergence

All these mutations happening to fall in exactly the same order, seems very unlikely. Why not just accept the evidence? Understand, the odds aren't for the result happening once. They are for the same result happening twice. And that is why poker games and analogous structures are possible.

your framing is way too simplistic

"all the mutations happening to fallin the same place"
"shuffling a deck of cards the same way twice"

it's not like that. the same genetic pathways are already present, and they are being 'recruited' in similar ways based on selection pressures.

It's pretty simple. You see, the paleontological data predicts that one will see genetic data supporting the divergences of synapsids and diapsids from an anapsid ancestor. And when the genetic basis of these developmental changes were found, that prediction was confirmed. It's been confirmed by other research.

Science AdvancesVol. 9, No. 46

Turtle skull development unveils a molecular basis for amniote cranial diversity

Amniote skulls display diverse architectural patterns including remarkable variations in the number of temporal arches surrounding the upper and lower temporal fenestrae. However, the cellular and molecular basis underlying this diversification remains elusive. Turtles are a useful model to understand skull diversity due to the presence of secondarily closed temporal fenestrae and different extents of temporal emarginations (marginal reduction of dermal bones). Here, we analyzed embryos of three turtle species with varying degrees of temporal emargination and identified shared widespread coexpression of upstream osteogenic genes Msx2 and Runx2 and species-specific expression of more downstream osteogenic genes Sp7 and Sparc in the head. Further analysis of representative amniote embryos revealed differential expression patterns of osteogenic genes in the temporal region, suggesting that the spatiotemporal regulation of Msx2, Runx2, and Sp7 distinguishes the temporal skull morphology among amniotes. Moreover, the presence of Msx2- and/or Runx2-positive temporal mesenchyme with osteogenic potential may have contributed to their extremely diverse cranial morphology in reptiles.

Some might deny the evidence, but there it is. No point in fighting the reality.

the way you present this it's as if you're claiming Msx2 and Runx2 genes are unique to turtle skulls, when the study mentions those same genes regulate snake skull development as well.

maybe their specific expression profile is indeed unique to turtles, but there's no hard rule saying another lineage may not adapt to a similar genetic expression.


"An important question in evolutionary genetics concerns the extent to which adaptive phenotypic convergence is caused by convergent or parallel changes in the underlying genes. Given the typical ‘many-to-one’ mapping of genotype to phenotype, a corollary question concerns the causes of convergence and parallelism at the molecular sequence level. If there are many possible solutions to a given problem, then it is all the more surprising when we discover that evolution has hit upon the same solution to the same problem time and time again. What properties distinguish the actualized solutions from those of the many non-actualized possibilities? These questions have important implications for understanding the repeatability (and, hence, predictability) of molecular adaptation"



returning to the main point - evolution theory via phylogenetic studies, is a game of finding 'most-likely' scenarios (i.e. inferring the greatest signal of homology with the least signal of convergence/homoplasy)

it's not a test of whether common ancestry is true or not. it simply assumes that it's true and is then a test to find the 'most plausible' story


"In the cladistic literature, there is a recurrent perspective that considers homoplasy as something undesirable. Homoplasy, according to this view, is believed to obscure homologies that may lead to synapomorphies. Some cladists often call homoplasies an ad hoc hypothesis or an “error in our preliminary assignment of homology.” Consequently, homoplasy is generally regarded negatively, hindering further investigations..".



if birds didn't "evolve" from dinosaurs, then they'd be said to have evolved from something else entirely, and we'd have a seemingly convincing phylogenetic analysis as "evidence" for it.
 
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The Barbarian

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yea I know, but you equated structure and function,
I showed you the difference between structure and function. Remember? Homologous organs? Same structure, different functions? Human hands, horse feet, whale flippers. Go back and look. One of the major YEC failures is not understanding the difference.
dissimilar structures can have a similar function.
Remember the picture I showed you? Bat wings, bird wings, pterosaur wings. And now you get it, even if you don't remember from where.
it's not like that. the same genetic pathways are already present, and they are being 'recruited' in similar ways based on selection pressures.
That's what I just showed you. But the reason whale flippers and seal flippers are genetically different is that the odds of them evolving in exactly the same way are so great as to be effectively impossible.

Convergent evolution of marine mammals is associated with distinct substitutions in common genes

Same mammalian genes; different mutations. Pretty much same result. Analogous organs.

the way you present this it's as if you're claiming Msx2 and Runx2 genes are unique to turtle skulls,
You didn't read the article, or you didn't read it very carefully. Do you not realize that the Msx2 homeobox gene is common to all chordates? Indeed, it is found in non-chordate deuterostomes. C'mon.

maybe their specific expression profile is indeed unique to turtles, but there's no hard rule saying another lineage may not adapt to a similar genetic expression.
As you learned, there are a chain of mutations that separate these lineages. And again, it's possible, albeit highly unlikely. However, the genetic data make it clear that such convergence did not happen.

returning to the main point - evolution theory via phylogenetic studies, is a game of finding 'most-likely' scenarios (i.e. inferring the greatest signal of homology with the least signal of convergence/homoplasy)
Fortunately, we also have genetics, fossil data, embryology, and so on, to check on the accuracy of anatomical homology. I mentioned New World and Old World vultures as an example where genetics clarified the issue.

it's not a test of whether common ancestry is true or not.
I showed you that earlier. Remember the diagram of amniotes. Cladistics is not about common descent. But it can clarify descent.

if birds didn't "evolve" from dinosaurs, then they'd be said to have evolved from something else entirely,
Kind of like "if matter isn't made of atoms, then it would be said to be made of something else entirely."
1753539057077.png
 
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AaronClaricus

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missing the point completely.

hypothetically, let's assume there was an extremely poor fossil record of dinosaurs, particularly the types of dinosaurs that evolutionists currently believe evolved into birds.

(assuming you can entertain a hypothetical scenario)

so in this case, since there is no dinosaur data to work with, evolutionists would instead naturally turn to the to existent "synapamorphies" between birds and mammals, as evidence of shared ancestry. We would still be left with an evolutionary narrative of where birds came from.

again, this demonstrates the relative "malleability" of Evolutionary narratives. like selection pressures themselves, the evolutionary story conforms to most-plausible, most-believable, most-palatable scenarios, but is itself rarely being tested by the data.
The main issue with proposing a hypothetical and then including a wrong conclusion: it's a strawman.

We know how scientists perceived mammals and birds in the lack of evidence. They carefully documented their ideas about it. Only a few ever got the idea that birds and mammals were more closely related than crocodiles and birds. I'm not old but I'm old enough to remember when it was still unresolved. The conclusive evidence came all at once in the mid 1980s-1990s. It was still "new" information when I went to college. Before then it was a mostly a high level university or graduate school topic. Most students correctly supported the huxley hypothesis.
 
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lifepsyop

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As you learned, there are a chain of mutations that separate these lineages. And again, it's possible, albeit highly unlikely. However, the genetic data make it clear that such convergence did not happen.

again, you're just making modified creationist arguments. you're not going on any real metrics, because you have none. what are the mathematical odds that fish will eventually turn into people via a chain of mutations? lots of time and selection pressures, the magical elixir.

everything you're currently saying is "highly unlikely" would become "evolution does surprising things!" if you required such a phylogeny.

Kind of like "if matter isn't made of atoms, then it would be said to be made of something else entirely."

kind of like, "if evolution isn't true, then special creation is."

but your philosophy of being is never allowed to arrive at a non-evolutionary conclusion.
 
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The Barbarian

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As you learned, there are a chain of mutations that separate these lineages. And again, it's possible, albeit highly unlikely. However, the genetic data make it clear that such convergence did not happen.

again, you're just making modified creationist arguments.
That research was by scientists, not creationists. Didn't you read it?

you're not going on any real metrics, because you have none. what are the mathematical odds that fish will eventually turn into people via a chain of mutations?
About the same as the probability of a person with your exact genome being born, given the genes of Adam and Eve. So unlikely as to be effectively impossible. Yet here you are, and the evidence shows that tetrapods evolved from fish. If this puzzles you, here's a way to clear it up:
1753884083192.jpeg




everything you're currently saying is "highly unlikely" would become "evolution does surprising things!" if you required such a phylogeny.
Read the book. And this won't confuse you further.

Kind of like "if matter isn't made of atoms, then it would be said to be made of something else entirely."

kind of like, "if evolution isn't true, then special creation is."
Since both evolution and atoms are directly observed, moot point.

but your new philosophy of being is never allowed to arrive at an evolutionary conclusion.
 

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davetaff

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No. "Basic structural similarity" is analogy, not homology.


In evolutionary biology, analogous structures are biological structures having similar or corresponding functions but not from the same evolutionary origin. In other words, species use these biological structures for the same purpose and yet these species are from unrelated evolutionary lines.

Yes. It gets difficult and a lot of work involves untangling the anatomical data of fossils. For example, Alan Feduccia argued that birds and dinosaurs evolved from a common ancestor, basing his argument on which digits were reduced in bird and dinosaur forelimbs. Eventually, he was shown to be wrong about which digits, and his theory was refuted.


Sorry, that's wrong, tool. Depends on evidence. Which is why Feduccia's argument wasn't quickly dismissed. A great deal of work was required to sort out his claims and determine if they were correct or not. Would you like to learn about how it was finally resolved?


It probably seems unfair to YECs that when scientists learn that they were mistaken, they just accept the reality and change their theories to fit. Science looks at the evidence and finds the best their to explain it. YEC assumes a conclusion and tries to make the facts fit the assumption. Nothing better explains the logical differences between science and YEC.

It's a mathematical argument. Most YEC arguments on probability are something like "the likelihood of (large number) of amino acids in this order in a protein is so unlikely as to be impossible." Which, if a valid argument, would prove that poker games are impossible. Figures don't lie, but liars often figure. I could show you the math and a simple simulation to test the assumption, if you like.


Well, tell me how many mutations you think would be necessary to convert an archosaur leg into a functional wing. Then we'll do the math. Let's say 100. (obviously a great number of non-useful mutations would occur and be rejected by natural selection during the same time).
Each step in such an evolution depends on the last stage. So 1/100! or about 1/9.3^157. Very small likelihood, um? Which is why we never see a complex adaption form identically in two separate lineages. Just 10 would give us a likelihood of about 1/3,600,000.


So you've changed your position? The reason that bats and pterosaurs have different wings is that they both had to go through the same process of random mutation and natural selection. The odds of all those random mutations happening would more unlikely than shuffling a deck of cards and getting the same order of cards twice. Creationist arguments on probability are essentially arguing that one can't shuffle a deck of cards once. Would you like me to show you?


You've assumed that the landscape is much simpler than it is. For example, New World and Old World vultures are superficially very similar. But they evolved to fitness in entirely different ways. One example, is that one uses vision and the other uses sense of smell as hunting strategies. But there's more. The confusion between analogy and homology is a function of YECs being unable to comprehend how it all works and how evolution is opportunistic, rather than prescient.

The hope for convergence lies in the fenestration occuring precisely in the right place, involving precisely the same bones, connective tissue, muscles and nerves. There is supporting genetic and neurological data, supporting the way this happened:

Devolopment
Volume 144 Issue 22
November 2017


The evolution of cortical development: the synapsid-diapsid divergence

All these mutations happening to fall in exactly the same order, seems very unlikely. Why not just accept the evidence? Understand, the odds aren't for the result happening once. They are for the same result happening twice. And that is why poker games and analogous structures are possible.


It's pretty simple. You see, the paleontological data predicts that one will see genetic data supporting the divergences of synapsids and diapsids from an anapsid ancestor. And when the genetic basis of these developmental changes were found, that prediction was confirmed. It's been confirmed by other research.

Science AdvancesVol. 9, No. 46

Turtle skull development unveils a molecular basis for amniote cranial diversity

Amniote skulls display diverse architectural patterns including remarkable variations in the number of temporal arches surrounding the upper and lower temporal fenestrae. However, the cellular and molecular basis underlying this diversification remains elusive. Turtles are a useful model to understand skull diversity due to the presence of secondarily closed temporal fenestrae and different extents of temporal emarginations (marginal reduction of dermal bones). Here, we analyzed embryos of three turtle species with varying degrees of temporal emargination and identified shared widespread coexpression of upstream osteogenic genes Msx2 and Runx2 and species-specific expression of more downstream osteogenic genes Sp7 and Sparc in the head. Further analysis of representative amniote embryos revealed differential expression patterns of osteogenic genes in the temporal region, suggesting that the spatiotemporal regulation of Msx2, Runx2, and Sp7 distinguishes the temporal skull morphology among amniotes. Moreover, the presence of Msx2- and/or Runx2-positive temporal mesenchyme with osteogenic potential may have contributed to their extremely diverse cranial morphology in reptiles.
gn
Some might deny the evidence, but there it is. No point in fighting the reality.
Hi Barbarian
Thank you for your post understood very little of it us uneducated have trouble with long words of foreign origin and I asked myself what has this to do with the teachings of Jesus Christ after all God created everything through him lets believe that and be content.

love and peace
Dave
 
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