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Is Investor Sentiment Shifting Away from the U.S.?

Always in His Presence

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These are forecasts. From experts. I'm sure if they said something with which you agreed then you'd be fine with it.
I’d give them the same impetus

Regardless. It is not a rebuttal and does not factually demonstrate that any of these multi billion dollar investments are or have changed.
 
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Bradskii

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I’d give them the same impetus

Regardless. It is not a rebuttal and does not factually demonstrate that any of these multi billion dollar investments are or have changed.
Then you must give credence to the sources that you use. From your own link:

'The most recent consumer confidence survey from the University of Michigan released March 14 showed a 10.5 percent decline from February, failing to meet the expected forecasts of 63.1. Declines in confidence were measured across all groups by age, education, income, political affiliation and geographic region.'

You post links that you think show a positive. But I guess that you only read the bits that you think support your position.
 
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Always in His Presence

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You post links that you think show a positive. But I guess that you only read the bits that you think support your position.
Third time saying this. And final attempt.

You have shown NOTHING saying they are pulling one penny out of their multibillion dollars investments.

The very moment you show a linked source saying they are pulling out or diminishing their investment you have a point until then. You have nothing other that a forecast from a third party.

Not sure why that concept is so difficult to understand.
 
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wing2000

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The Panicans are sounding the alarm again, and trying to make the markets plunge!

The 10 year treasury yield had its largest weekly rise since 2001, and the dollar is devaluing at the same time... so what? When a patient gets out of surgery, they will be sick for a little while before they get better.

If the president was a democrat, the media would be completely silent about this.

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Fed’s Kashkari says rising bond yields, falling dollar show investors are moving on from the U.S.


Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said Friday that recent market trends show investors are moving away from the U.S. as the safest place to invest while President Donald Trump’s trade war escalates.
With Treasury yields rising and the U.S. dollar sagging against its global counterparts in recent days, the trends are running counter to what you might normally see, the central bank official said during a CNBC “Squawk Box” interview.
“Normally, when you see big tariff increases, I would have expected the dollar to go up. The fact that the dollar is going down at the same time, I think, lends some more credibility to the story of investor preferences shifting,” Kashkari said.
The 10-year Treasury yield has surged this week after Trump announced his intention to slap a 10% across-the-board tariff against U.S. trading partners and threatened to impose even harsher select levies before backing down Wednesday.
At the same time, the greenback has slumped more than 3% against a basket of global currencies, with moves potentially signifying a turn away from safe-haven U.S. assets.
“Investors around the world have viewed America as the best place to invest, and if that’s true, we will have a trade deficit. So now one of the ways that expresses itself is in lower yields across asset classes in America,” Kashkari said. “If the trade deficit is going to go down, it could be that investors are saying, OK, America no longer is the most attractive place in the world to invest, and then you would expect to see bond yields go up.”

Which part of his comments qualify as "panican"?
 
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MarkSB

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Which part of his comments qualify as "panican"?

The parts where he implies that that the rise in treasury yields may be happening because of Mr. Trump's tariff agenda. Trump knows what he is doing, and he didn't back down on the tariffs because of the spike in bond yields. This is all part of the art of the deal. Just sit tight and watch him work his magic. He made some amazing progress with tariffs in his first administration, and will do it again in this one.



(And this is all in jest... I don't really believe these things.)



.
 
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wing2000

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The parts where he implies that that the rise in treasury yields may be happening because of Mr. Trump's tariff agenda. Trump knows what he is doing, and he didn't back down on the tariffs because of the spike in bond yields. This is all part of the art of the deal. Just sit tight and watch him work his magic. He made some amazing progress with tariffs in his first administration, and will do it again in this one.



(And this is all in jest... I don't really believe these things.)



.

Okay, I missed the "in jest" part.
I continue to be amazed by how many people actually believe in Trump's business acumen.
 
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MarkSB

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Third time saying this. And final attempt.

You have shown NOTHING saying they are pulling one penny out of their multibillion dollars investments.

The very moment you show a linked source saying they are pulling out or diminishing their investment you have a point until then. You have nothing other that a forecast from a third party.

Not sure why that concept is so difficult to understand.

Most major corporations are going to be revising their guidance and investment planning for the year. That's what this level of uncertainty and the increasing likelihood of a recession will do. In fact, many companies who normally would have provided updated guidance on their earnings calls won't be doing that, because the erratic on again/off again tariffs have made the economic environment so uncertain.

And - again, the OP isn't about a handful of companies who had pledged to invest in U.S. manufacturing 3 weeks ago in a Newsweek article. We're talking about the possibility of a fundamental shift in the safe haven status of the U.S. government, as evidenced in rising bond yields and a falling dollar, and this occurring while equities are also falling.

Do we know for certain that investor sentiment toward the U.S. government as a safe haven is changing? No. But there's certainly good reason to believe that it is. World confidence in U.S. leadership and stability has been shaken. Our leaders are making veiled threats to our neighbors, constantly implementing and then walking back/pausing tariffs, acting like the U.S. is the victim of nearly every other nation in the world - and then, to top it all off, implementing exorbitant "reciprocal" tariffs, which aren't really reciprocal at all. With all of that, are you surprised that the rest of the world might be looking at us crooked, and like we're not dependable anymore?

To paraphrase a recent financial analysis which I read: What remains to be seen is if this is a temporary hit, or a more permanent shift. It's more than likely the former, but that doesn't change the fact that there are probably large investors out there who are looking for diversification in other safe havens (gold, the Swiss Franc, ect.). Can you really blame them?
 
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