That’s one of the two issues raised. The other is this notion of abandonment.
I just got off the phone with a friend who is a retired Army National Guard Sergeant Major (an E-9, but not in the position of Command Sergeant Major).
His response, in his words: "The issue of Walz' retirement is a giant nothingburger."
Something he adds is that his knowledge of the Minnesota National Guard in particular is that their state policy is, "Twenty years and out" regardless of rank. Walz must have had great favor with the command structure to stay in as long as he did.
He points out, too, how specious it is to think one knows anything about whether a unit will deploy until they actually get those orders. He had made what he considers a mistake in having told his wife, "They're talking about us deploying to Saudi" and putting her through a tremendous amount of anxiety...and the deployment never happened.
He said that even when there is a deployment rotation plan written...most of the time that plan doesn't work out. Even at his E-9 level, and he knew everything his commander knew, the real-world situation was unpredictable because there were too many moving pieces. The rotation plan may call for one unit to deploy on a certain date, but that unit can only deploy if several other sister units meet all their own intermediate milestones on time. For instance, an infantry unit may depend on a certain engineering unit...they can't operate in the field without that engineering unit. But if that engineering unit has failed its last couple of exercises, it's not going to deploy...so the infantry unit can't deploy. But the infantry unit won't know whether all its necessary sister units and all the other details are in place until they actually get the deployment orders.
So, the bottom line is that you live your life until you actually get deployment orders. If the time comes in your life that retirement seems your best option, then you retire. If deployment orders come down later (which is very close to playing a roulette wheel)...that's why the military has a strict chain of succession. In Walz' case, he had two ready successors already there in his unit. They were his same permanent rank, either one ready to be frocked to CSM just as he was. They didn't even have to train a new guy.
For a man in Walz' position.... Wait, let me describe Walz' position. For every military member, there comes a time when we've been in long enough to retire and we're essentially in it only for the
feelz. It's familiar, we've been successful, and it's comfortable. It may be for a bit more glory, get that last bit of rank (which nobody cares about but ourselves), but for most people there isn't much glory left...most officers aren't going to to colonel, much less general. It's not even for the money, because those last few years won't amount to that much more retirement pay. For enlisted people, we're talking about a couple of hundred dollars a month.
At the same time, we know we will have to get a job and continue to live as civilians starting from scratch at the halfway point of our lives, when we are at the peak of our responsibilities to our families. When we go past 20 years of service, we're in our 40s, and time is
not in our favor. Hardly anyone can just completely retire when we leave the military. Moreover, few of us have jobs that we can roll over into an advanced civilian job. Even if a soldier had been in the military computer programmer field, the soldier who has stayed in past 20 hasn't done any coding for years...he's been a middle manager of coders. And, of course, most soldiers have been doing things that have zero correlation with the civilian world.
I was personally dismayed that all the management education, training, and experience I had accrued in my last decade in the military was considered absolutely useless in the civilian community, regardless of the expert help I'd had in constructing a good "interpretational" resume. So, there I was with a young family needing a management-level income...and a management-level civilian job was just not going to happen.
I was fortunate in that I'd already spent that last ten years wandering over into IT networking. I could quickly use my GI Bill to snap up some certifications, and that's what paid the mortgage until I fully retired. That is, btw, why the military gets retirement pay...it's to supplement the disadvantage that they won't be as a 40-year-old ex-soldier where they could have been if they'd stayed in the civilian market all that time.
So, those years in service after 20 are working at a continual disadvantage to the average soldier. The military isn't going to let him stay until he's old enough for Social Security, and every additional year in uniform makes him less desirable to the civilian community. So, when the most strategically advantageous time comes for retirement, barring something as specific as already having deployment orders in hand, people who have been at that point in the military know you bail at the best time to bail...no hard feelings about it.