Debunking Scientism - Tricks New Atheists Play (Part 6)

Silmarien

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"Chances are" is the key phrase here. You jump from "only" to "chances are" in the span of one sentence.

But probability doesn't apply to individual people in the same manner. The fact that 76% of Saudi Arabians are Muslim doesn't mean that there's a 76% chance that you yourself would have ended up Muslim if born there. That's the problem with this whole line of thought, since there is more going on with the phenomenon of belief than a toss of the dice. It can't be reduced to a numbers game.

LOL! I butted in to point out a straw man, and now you're attacking my point by shifting to skin color? Unbelievable.

No, I'm saying it's racial stereotyping to look at an Arab and assume they're Muslim. Egyptian Copts get hit by this regularly. That's a practical reason why we shouldn't be breezily talking about guessing religion based on where someone's from.

I wasn't attacking your point. I'm trying to explain what's wrong with this line of reasoning altogether. It does have real life implications.

Yeah, "necessitate" means "it's certain". @anonymous person read it the same way, that's why he pointed out an individual person to debunk such a ridiculous claim. Of course, Dogma didn't make that claim, but it isn't stopping you, @Silmarien and AP from running with it.

Eh, I got snippy about Augustine, but primarily because I identify with his journey. It's precisely the type of story which shows where the numbers game goes wrong, since people who left their parents' religion and then returned much later need to be put in a different category.

I don't think Dogma is saying that it's certain that people are going to stay in their birth religion. What I do think is that the statistics are irrelevant at best, offensive as worst, when applied to individuals. Which has been the subtext here.
 
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zippy2006

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If you actually want to know his point or what conclusions he draws from those statistics, then you're clearly asking the wrong questions.

You've turned a relatively boring conversation into a potentially interesting one. Now I'm genuinely interested to hear the conclusions you have in mind, or else the mere import of the point DogmaHunter was making. I'm actually more interested to hear your opinion than his. DogmaHunter probably just saw a weak point and clamped down. Are you seeing more?

The counterbalance to this whole emphasis is the point and power of education and enculturation. In that regard asking 2PhiloVoid about the Christian education he imparts or doesn't impart to his children is going to be a more constructive route (e.g. if your parents couldn't have influenced you then you can't influence your children).
 
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Moral Orel

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I don't think Dogma is saying that it's certain that people are going to stay in their birth religion. What I do think is that the statistics are irrelevant at best, offensive as worst, when applied to individuals. Which has been the subtext here.
I'm not sure what you think the subtext is. If you trace it all the way back to NV who made the point first, he was making a statement about how powerful indoctrination as a child is. Dogma jumped in from there just to further push the statistic. What you think he's implying is really all your own. Just acknowledge that's what the stats are and ask "So what?". That's what Zippy did, and I think his line of questioning is completely valid.

Sorry, @zippy2006 , I don't have any sort of stake in the conversation at large. I'm not trying to ignore your questions. I just really hate straw men; they're a pet peeve of mine.
 
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DogmaHunter

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Hi anonymous person! DogmaHunter might be surprised to know that I also agree with the general premise that many people start their cognitive lives within the auspices of the reigning religious paradigm of their geographic locale. But, then I'd go on to say that geography doesn't by any means necessitate epistemic destiny ... and it is upon the denial of this additional consideration that he seems to place all of his roulette chips. :cool:

The vast majority is the vast majority.
It's human psychology. It's extremely hard to let go of beliefs that have been spoonfed to humans from birth onwards.

And indeed, the vast majority of people never change religions.
Eventhough I don't have numbers on that, I even suspect that the majority of those that DO abbandon the religion they grew up with, don't replace it by another religion but just become pretty much atheists instead.

btw: when someone goes from christian denomination A to denomination B, I don't really count that as switching religions. They are and stay christians.
 
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DogmaHunter

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I think St. Augustine’s conversion would furnish us with a disproof of this hypothesis, if indeed what you say is an accurate representation of DogmaHunter’s hypothesis. Let us allow him the opportunity to clarify, for surely DogmaHunter is aware that St. Augustine was a Manichean prior to conversion.

I always said "the vast majority", which allows for exceptions.
Obviously, sometimes people convert to other religions. And in times where new religions surface and become more popular, while in cultural turmoil alos, obviously conversion rates will briefly rise.

This doesn't change the fact that the majority of the time, the vast majority of people simply stay within the religion they were indoctrinated in from birth onwards.
 
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DogmaHunter

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As I see it, the problem is that your religious focus is arbitrary. Intellectual content of all kinds is highly influenced by things like geography, culture, and family tradition. Religion is just a subset. Why isolate it?

Because religion is faith-based, while wordly knowledge is evidence based.

Evidence based beliefs, change upon discovery of new evidence.
Evidence based beliefs aren't dependent on culture.

This is why it doesn't matter if you are in Pakistan, China, India, the US, communist USSR,.... Escape velocity is what it is and if you wish to shoot a satellite into space, that's the knowledge that will get you there.

The exact same arguments apply to atheism, secularism, liberalism, pluralism, etc.
Were your parents religious? None of my atheist or agnostic friends came from religious households.

My mother was raised a catholic and my dad is what-I-call a "semi practicing muslim".
I had a secular upbringing and was never indoctrinated in either.

My first real encounter with religion was when I was 16 and transferred to a catholic school (and the "catholic" part wasn't the reason).

Maybe their parents' beliefs determined theirs.

Yes. My dad's parents were muslim. My mom's parents were christians.
 
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DogmaHunter

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I know he didn't say that it in just those terms, Nicholas. But the overall impression to me is that he's implying there's some kind of ontological IS/OUGHT preference that comes by the mere fact that many people start, and often stay within, the orbit of their familial religious inculcation.

It also seems to me that you might be wanting to project upon us some quality of moral failure.....................when there's another fact that remains: DogmaHunter, as smart and apparently successful as he is, is the one who has hammered us time and time again, and implied that we Christians here are all just 'disjointed' in our thinking. This has nothing to do with patting each other on the back. And on my part, I won't turn from the fact that it's been DogmaHunter that has provided the lion's share of criticism where criticism has been brought to bear, and you might just consider the ratio of criticism that I've EVER personally attempted to place upon him in contrast to that which he's either placed on me or, collectively, upon my friends here at CF. Of course, I guess I can't expect too much from someone who uses a Tiamat type simulacra as an avatar, now can I?

It's a 7-headed dragon which I explicitly searched for after I once made an argument about an undetectable 7-headed dragon that lives in my garage, who's existance is just as well-evidence as any god ever claimed by human kind.

And that's its only meaning.

I get that I said things you didn't like in the past. And I'm 100% positive I'll say things you don't like in the future.

None of which has any relevance to the point being discussed here: that the vast majority of people end up having the religious beliefs that they were taught by their parents.
 
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DogmaHunter

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Did you see how this topic came up in the first place? An atheist did in fact insinuate that @2PhiloVoid was only Christian because of growing up in a Christian country, and that chances were, if he had grown up elsewhere, he would be a different religion.

Which is statistically VERY LIKELY true.

As said plenty of times: tell me the religion of your parents and >99% of the time, I'll succesfully guess your religion.

If Dogma wished to distance himself from those initial comments, he should have done so explicitly.

Nope. I see no reason to.
Because I'm very likely correct.

It could be that he's one of those exceptions. That he has muslim parents and became a christian for some reason. This is very unlikely, but it could be.

He could be one of those <1% of people. Sure.

And then still I would argue that if he were born in some tribal region in Pakistan, he'ld surely be a muslim.

And you know it's true.
You just argue this point because you don't like it. Because it shows that religious beliefs aren't held because there are rational reasons to hold them. Religious beliefs are held because they are taught from a very young age onwards.

Religious beliefs of an individual, as a general rule, are determined by the parents.

He did not, and so here we are, extrapolating from all the other comments he's made over the years. Remarks don't exist in a void.

And in the process, you are adding to it and thereby misrepresenting what my position actually is.

For an example in the opposite direction, take a look at this theory that people become atheists because of bad father relationships. I have no idea if it actually plays out like that in the general public, but even if it does, it would be completely inappropriate for a theist to ask an atheist about their relationship with their father and then just point to the statistics over and over again.

lol..................................

That the vast majority people grow up believing the religion that they were taught from a young age onwards is not a theory. It's a statistical FACT.


Sorry, but this is offensive and unacceptable in both directions. We should treat each other like people, not statistics.

Yet statistics are what they are.
If statistics show that >99% of people end up believing the religion that they were taught since they were infants, why then is it apparantly "offensive" to state that as a general rule, people end up believing the religion they were taught since they were infants????

I get that you don't like that reality for perhaps reasons mentioned above. I get that you don't like the facts. But they are still the facts.........

And we should be particularly careful assuming that the color of someone's skin tells us what they believe, because then we've just moved straight into racial stereotyping.

I never talked about skin color.
I talked about culture and how the religious beliefs of parents are taught to children, how then the vast majority of the time stick to those beliefs for the rest of their lives.

I did talk about ethnicity, that is correct, in context of metropolitan cities and guessing people's religion based on geographic location. And I stand by it.

If I walk around in Antwerp and I come accross someone religious of north-african ethnicity, like Moroccon... I'ld guess that person is a muslim. And most of the time, I'ld surely be correct.

If I'ld come accross a "white" religious person, I'ld guess that person is a christian. And most of the time, I'ld surely be correct also.


You can call it stereotyping if you want to. Perhaps you'ld be correct. But probabilities are what they are.

If you come accross a person named Achmed, Abdullah or Mohammed... what do you think is most likely his religion? Christian, muslim, hindu or scientologist?

Be honest now...................................
 
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2PhiloVoid

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The vast majority is the vast majority.
It's human psychology. It's extremely hard to let go of beliefs that have been spoonfed to humans from birth onwards.
Perhaps.

And indeed, the vast majority of people never change religions.
Eventhough I don't have numbers on that, I even suspect that the majority of those that DO abbandon the religion they grew up with, don't replace it by another religion but just become pretty much atheists instead.
Well, needless to say, I think it would be good to have "the numbers" on this if we're going to try to talk about it in a way that is simple rather than complex.

btw: when someone goes from christian denomination A to denomination B, I don't really count that as switching religions. They are and stay christians.
While there is some truth in this, it's only of a very partial nature; it's also quite complex and difficult to parse. And since there are a number of criteria inferred by your statement, it remains to be seen just how far Christians, of any of stripe, will fully subscribe to it. And if this is the case, then I feel I must ask: what is Christianity, and if it is not easily definable, then how will we objectively control for the variables if and when we attempt to "count heads"?
 
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2PhiloVoid

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Which is statistically VERY LIKELY true.

As said plenty of times: tell me the religion of your parents and >99% of the time, I'll succesfully guess your religion.



Nope. I see no reason to.
Because I'm very likely correct.

It could be that he's one of those exceptions. That he has muslim parents and became a christian for some reason. This is very unlikely, but it could be.

He could be one of those <1% of people. Sure.

And then still I would argue that if he were born in some tribal region in Pakistan, he'ld surely be a muslim.
Do you think that maybe the degree between pluralism and monism, culturally and politically speaking, might have something to do with whether a person jumps ship from his/her previously assumed religious ideas from childhood?

And you know it's true.
You just argue this point because you don't like it. Because it shows that religious beliefs aren't held because there are rational reasons to hold them. Religious beliefs are held because they are taught from a very young age onwards.
So, when Jesus said that only a "few" will find and accept the true path unto salvation, I guess He was just confused about what He was saying?

Religious beliefs of an individual, as a general rule, are determined by the parents.
To an extent, but again, as Jesus said, few will truly accept it in the final analysis. So, if Jesus said this, shouldn't we be figuring this conceptual motif into "our counts" as a factor? And shouldn't we be taking this into consideration in the way that we define Christian belief when constructing our research and surveys which supposedly identify all those indoctrinated followers/children of the Christian faith?

.......As you said to @Silmarien, "Be honest now..."
 
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DogmaHunter

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No, not "perhaps". It's a fact of human psychology.

Well, needless to say, I think it would be good to have "the numbers" on this if we're going to try to talk about it in a way that is simple rather than complex.

I think it's rather logical though.
If you put the numbers side by side of people who turn atheist on the one hand and people who convert from one religion to another on the other hand...
The group of people becoming atheist is bigger.

So that's what I base that on.
When I said that I don't have numbers, I meant that there are no studies (that I know of at least) that looked specifically at that. But we do have studies concerning people turning atheist on the one hand, and people converting to specific other religions on the other.

While there is some truth in this, it's only of a very partial nature; it's also quite complex and difficult to parse. And since there are a number of criteria inferred by your statement, it remains to be seen just how far Christians, of any of stripe, will fully subscribe to it. And if this is the case, then I feel I must ask: what is Christianity, and if it is not easily definable, then how will we objectively control for the variables if and when we attempt to "count heads"?

That's easy for me again.
A christian is someone who believes in the bible and Jesus.
Just like a muslim is someone who believes in the quran and Mohammed.

For muslims, I don't make distinctions between "sunni" and "shiite" - eventhough they kill eachother as blasphemers. So why would I make distinctions between protestants and catholics?

The fact is, that they themselves don't even make that distinction in day to day conversation - especially not to non-christians.

A sunni will simply call himself a muslim and proclaim Mohammed as his prophet. A shiite will do the same. Neither will feel the need to elaborate on that when simply asked what religion they follow.

Christians, in my experience do the same thing.
Even on this site. When I ask someone if (s)he is a christian, I'll get a "yes" or "no".

Even among themselves, I hear them talk about "christians". Almost never do I see a christian take the time to also mention his specific denomination, unless it is explicitly the subject.
 
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2PhiloVoid

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No, not "perhaps". It's a fact of human psychology.



I think it's rather logical though.
If you put the numbers side by side of people who turn atheist on the one hand and people who convert from one religion to another on the other hand...
The group of people becoming atheist is bigger.

So that's what I base that on.
When I said that I don't have numbers, I meant that there are no studies (that I know of at least) that looked specifically at that. But we do have studies concerning people turning atheist on the one hand, and people converting to specific other religions on the other.



That's easy for me again.
A christian is someone who believes in the bible and Jesus.
Just like a muslim is someone who believes in the quran and Mohammed.

For muslims, I don't make distinctions between "sunni" and "shiite" - eventhough they kill eachother as blasphemers. So why would I make distinctions between protestants and catholics?

The fact is, that they themselves don't even make that distinction in day to day conversation - especially not to non-christians.

A sunni will simply call himself a muslim and proclaim Mohammed as his prophet. A shiite will do the same. Neither will feel the need to elaborate on that when simply asked what religion they follow.

Christians, in my experience do the same thing.
Even on this site. When I ask someone if (s)he is a christian, I'll get a "yes" or "no".

Even among themselves, I hear them talk about "christians". Almost never do I see a christian take the time to also mention his specific denomination, unless it is explicitly the subject.

So, in your definition, what exactly "is" a Christian? I have to ask because as you already know, Muslims and Mormons "believe" in Jesus, too. In fact, Muslims believe that the same angel Gabriel who gave the 'truth' to Mohammad also gave the 'truth' to Mary, mother of Jesus. But, then we find Gabriel popping up in the New Testament, likewise giving the 'truth' to Mary; but is it quite the same truth?
 
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2PhiloVoid

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No, not "perhaps". It's a fact of human psychology.



I think it's rather logical though.
If you put the numbers side by side of people who turn atheist on the one hand and people who convert from one religion to another on the other hand...
The group of people becoming atheist is bigger.

So that's what I base that on.
When I said that I don't have numbers, I meant that there are no studies (that I know of at least) that looked specifically at that. But we do have studies concerning people turning atheist on the one hand, and people converting to specific other religions on the other.



That's easy for me again.
A christian is someone who believes in the bible and Jesus.
Just like a muslim is someone who believes in the quran and Mohammed.

For muslims, I don't make distinctions between "sunni" and "shiite" - eventhough they kill eachother as blasphemers. So why would I make distinctions between protestants and catholics?

The fact is, that they themselves don't even make that distinction in day to day conversation - especially not to non-christians.

A sunni will simply call himself a muslim and proclaim Mohammed as his prophet. A shiite will do the same. Neither will feel the need to elaborate on that when simply asked what religion they follow.

Christians, in my experience do the same thing.
Even on this site. When I ask someone if (s)he is a christian, I'll get a "yes" or "no".

Even among themselves, I hear them talk about "christians". Almost never do I see a christian take the time to also mention his specific denomination, unless it is explicitly the subject.

Well then........................."Houston, we have a problem!!!"
 
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anonymous person

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Sure, I can agree, if that 1% includes for example, all the people that converted from their inherited worldview to another.

I would however, point out that positing a purely psychological explanation for explaining this data would require us to assess other competing hypotheses to see how they fare in accounting for the data, and then concluding that the purely psychological account is a more plausible explanation.

Do you agree?
 
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DogmaHunter

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Do you think that maybe the degree between pluralism and monism, culturally and politically speaking, might have something to do with whether a person jumps ship from his/her previously assumed religious ideas from childhood?
The potential amount of reasons to "jump ship", as you put it, is imo uncountable.
By that I don't mean "infinite". I just mean uncountable. There could be a whole range of reasons for someone to do so.

Here's a fun fact that I just thought of, which seems appropriate here in context of this subject...

There is a christian on this site, who frequents the apologetics forum and who has as geographic location Saudi Arabia.

Look me (virtually) in the eye and tell me without blinking (virtually) that you didn't think "ha...how about that..." when you first noticed it... I sure did!

Because one doesn't expect a christian living in Saudi Arabia. That's why.
We all know that there are some living there. We all know that there are also some budhists living there. Even some jews.

We also all know that whenever we meet a random saudi arabia citizen, the chances of them being anything but muslim, is rather low.


So, when Jesus said that only a "few" will find and accept the true path unto salvation, I guess He was just confused about what He was saying?

I'm not sure how you think that ties into the subject being discussed.


To an extent, but again, as Jesus said, few will truly accept it in the final analysis. So, if Jesus said this, shouldn't we be figuring this conceptual motif into "our counts" as a factor?

No matter what people claim that Jesus has said or didn't say... None of this is relevant to the subject matter. Being that religious beliefs of individuals are, by and large, determined by the people that raised said individuals.

And shouldn't we be taking this into consideration in the way that we define Christian belief when constructing our research and surveys which supposedly identify all those indoctrinated followers/children of the Christian faith?

.......As you said to @Silmarien, "Be honest now..."

I'm not sure what your point is.

My point is that individuals more often then not, grow up to believe what they are taught to believe from a young age.

You could end a religion in a single generation by no longer indoctrinating children into it.

Not sure who said this once, but I feel it's appropriate here:

If the bible would disappear and all of christianity purged from people's minds overnight, then all of christianity, Jesus, etc would be lost for eternity, never to resurface again. The same goes for all religions.
However, if you would do the same with for example Physics, then it's only a matter of time before it's rediscovered.
 
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zippy2006

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Because religion is faith-based, while wordly knowledge is evidence based.

This is more or less what I told Deka you would say.

(I will say a few words, but I am not planning on staying in this thread for too long, especially since you have so many other interlocutors.)

My mother was raised a catholic and my dad is what-I-call a "semi practicing muslim".
I had a secular upbringing and was never indoctrinated in either.

You had a secular upbringing and you are secular. That fits my theory.

My first real encounter with religion was when I was 16 and transferred to a catholic school (and the "catholic" part wasn't the reason).

Lots of people go to Catholic schools for educational or value-based reasons, which is really just a fun fact obliquely related to our conversation. :)

Yes. My dad's parents were muslim. My mom's parents were christians.

Well you're lucky your parents stopped practicing! :p

To be quick, if you look at science, philosophy, politics, religion, or the history of ideas generally, you will find strong correlations between geography and ideas. The reasons for that are really interesting and complex, but the fact remains. Different disciplines have correlations of different strength, but all of them are non-trivial. I'd recommend puzzling out the reasons behind that fact before making broad generalizations about religion based on geography, race, upbringing, etc.

(The root of all of this for me is Western liberalism and pluralism, particularly the political philosophy deriving from the modern period.)
 
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DogmaHunter

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Sure, I can agree, if that 1% includes for example, all the people that converted from their inherited worldview to another.

I would however, point out that positing a purely psychological explanation for explaining this data would require us to assess other competing hypotheses to see how they fare in accounting for the data, and then concluding that the purely psychological account is a more plausible explanation.

Do you agree?
No.

If you have competing hypothesis to explain this data, I'm all ears and interested. But I don't know of any such hypothesis.

And I don't require any competing ideas to have an idea that in fact does explain the data.
It's also possible to have just one idea that attempts to explain the data, yet fails to do so.

So, I'm not sure why you would require additional ideas.
 
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DogmaHunter

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You had a secular upbringing and you are secular. That fits my theory.

Secularism, is not a belief though.
There are theistic secularists too.

I wasn't raised to be an atheist. Nobody ever told me that I shouldn't believe in any religion.
The point is that I was NOT taught a religion. I was NOT told to believe in a religion.

The result is that I don't believe in a religion.

That's the point here. Religous beliefs are taught.
And those religious beliefs that are taught, more often then not, stick.

Lots of people go to Catholic schools for educational or value-based reasons, which is really just a fun fact obliquely related to our conversation. :)

Not me. I went there because it was 5 minutes away from the tennis club where I was training to become a pro, and obviously failed at, lol.
The public school I previously went to was actually a lot better in quality, but it was a 45 minutes busride, while that catholic school was only 15 minutes away.

But I understand you felt like making a cheap shot.

To be quick, if you look at science, philosophy, politics, religion, or the history of ideas generally, you will find strong correlations between geography and ideas. The reasons for that are really interesting and complex, but the fact remains. Different disciplines have correlations of different strength, but all of them are non-trivial. I'd recommend puzzling out the reasons behind that fact before making broad generalizations about religion based on geography, race, upbringing, etc.

(The root of all of this for me is Western liberalism and pluralism, particularly the political philosophy deriving from the modern period.)

I know I'm presenting a simplistic case.
But in terms of practicing religion, it's just rather simple.

I don't expect any theist to easily agree to such, since it kind of undermines the truth value of the things they believe. After all, ideas about for example gravity aren't exactly geographically or culturally determined..........

I also think it's inappropriate to compare such with politics etc.
Since political views are by definition a matter of opinion primarily.
But religion... religion makes Truth claims, capital "T".
 
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