Assuming ET arrives 1 billions years from now

DogmaHunter

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That is a strong "evidence".

It is evidence that people have beliefs.
It is not evidence that what is being believed, is actually correct.

What if we discovered that all bacteria on Mars believe in God?

No idea how that could ever be established, considering that the capacity to belief requires highly developed neural constructs that bacteria simply don't have....

But let's bend over backwards and entertain the idea.

Well, then we would have evidence that bacteria have god beliefs.
It still would not be evidence that what is being believed is actually correct.
 
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Ophiolite

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I just can't really imagine a bacterium 'believing' in anything.
The validity of the phrase, Divide and Conquer? On the basis that the divisions occur roughly every forty minutes. :)
 
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Ophiolite

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Wrong, no one has had as much veracity as Jesus.
That is an assertion for which you have provided no evidence. The majority of Christians with whom I have discussed this, or whose views I have read, or heard, declare their faith in Jesus and his word. I understand the principle of accepting matters on faith. I am not arguing against it (on this occassion). However, if you are basing your acceptance of Jesus based on independent evidence feel free to present it. I will be astounded if you can do so.

He has influenced and changed the world more than anyone.
That is debatable. You might be correct. You might not. However, the extent of his influence (or, I would argue, the influence of his reputation) does not establish his divinity.

You have chosen an alternative because:
1. "the natural man does not receive the things of Spirit of God: for they are foolishness to him: neither can he know them, because they are spiritually discerned." 1 Cor. 2:14
2. "because the mind set on the flesh is hostile toward God; for it does not subject itself to the law of God, for it is not even able to do so;" . Rom.8:7
You don't know me. It is presumptuous of you to imagine you understand my motivations. (It's also rude, but that seems in character, so I'm not fussed by it.)

Wrong, the Knowledge of Good and Evil was necessary. We could not know or appreciate anything that is good, any of God's attributes if we did not experience what it was like to be without them. We wouldn't know mercy, forgiveness, love, kindness, hope, faith, patience, self control, peace and ultimately life unless we experience darkness. It was a necessary and perfect plan. But "God causes all things to work together for good for those who love the LORD, for those who are called to His purpose.": Romans. 8:28 So we learn from the evils, from history, from all the pain and suffering and death. This is why we yearn for good and when we receive it, it is a blessing. Suffering is temporal, but His gift is eternal.
Right, the gift to a select few. Many must suffer decades, centuries and millenia of pain and despair, so tha a few may benefit. And a proportion of the those who so suffer are then faced with an eternity of further pain and suffering. And these are the consequences of a world established by a merciful God.

I didn't assume you were ignorant of the Bible or Christian history.
Oh! I just tend to base my understanding of what people mean by what they say. Your words: "So all the above stuff won't mean anything."
If something doesn't mean anything to me, it means I am ignorant of it.

If you don't take the warning, I move on. I am not getting anything out of 3600 posts that I have written similar to this. If I can plant a seed or encourage someone or correct someone, that's fine too.
Here's a tip for you. The tone of the few posts of yours I have read conveys a sense of satisfaction that you are saved and others are not. I accept that such is not your intention. However, if you want to increase the chance that individuals may listen to your warning you might want to change the tone.
 
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Ronald

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That is an assertion for which you have provided no evidence. The majority of Christians with whom I have discussed this, or whose views I have read, or heard, declare their faith in Jesus and his word. I understand the principle of accepting matters on faith. I am not arguing against it (on this occassion). However, if you are basing your acceptance of Jesus based on independent evidence feel free to present it. I will be astounded if you can do so.
Well, examining scripture is all the evidence one needs. There are many books in apologetics that present evidence, which is throughout scripture and history as well, that Jesus has in fact changed the world and His death and resurrection are true.
"Evidence That Demands a Verdict" and "More Than A Carpenter", by Josh McDowell, are great books that examine the evidence.
---------------------------------
taken from Mathematical Probabilities of Fulfilled Prophecies


"In another article on this site we have discussed 61 major Messianic Prophecies fulfilled in Yeshua Ha'Natseret. In this article we will demonstrate the mathematical probably that Yeshua’s fulfillment of just these 61 prophecies proves with absolute certainly that Yeshua, and only Yeshua, is the Messiah of Israel.


A common objection to using fulfilled prophecy to demonstrate that Yeshua is the Messiah is that “you could find at least some of these prophecies fulfilled in Kennedy, King, Nasser, etc.”

While it may be true that you could find one or two prophecies fulfilled in other men, you most certainly could not find more than a very few. In this article we will conclusively demonstrate that you absolutely, positively will not find any man except Yeshua who has fulfilled all these 61 major prophecies. (We won’t bother to extrapolate the mathematical probability of any one man fulfilling 324 prophecies; the number is beyond the capacity of the human mind to comprehend.) In fact, if you can find someone other than Yeshua, either living or dead, who can fulfill only half of the predictions concerning Messiah that are given in Messiah in Both Testaments by Fred John Meldau, the Christian Victory Publishing Company of Denver is ready to give you a $1,000 reward. There are a lot of men in the universities who could some extra cash, but the offer has been standing for nearly 30 years without a single taker!

H. Harold Hartzler, of the American Scientific Affiliation, Goshen College, in the foreword of Peter Stoner's book, Science Speaks, writes: “The manuscript for Science Speaks has been carefully reviewed by a committee of the American Scientific Affiliation members and by the Executive Council of the same group and has been found, in general, to be dependable and accurate in regard to the scientific material presented. The mathematical analysis included is based upon principles of probability which are thoroughly sound and Professor Stoner has applied these principles in a proper and convincing way.”

The following probabilities are taken from Peter Stoner’s work in Science Speaks to show that coincidence is ruled out by the science of probability. The analysis is concerned with the following eight prophecies:

1. Messiah is to be born in Bethlehem (Micah 5:2; fulfilled in Matt. 2:1-7; John 7:42; Luke 2:47).

2. Messiah is to be preceded by a Messenger (Isaiah 40:3; Malachi 3:1; fulfilled in Matthew 3:1-3; 11:10; John 1:23; Luke 1:17).

3. Messiah is to enter Jerusalem on a donkey (Zechariah 9:9; fulfilled in Luke 35-37; Matthew 21:6-11).

4. Messiah is to be betrayed by a friend (Psalms 41:9; 55:12-14; fulfilled in Matthew 10:4; 26:49-50; John 13:21).

5. Messiah is to be sold for 30 pieces of silver (Zechariah 11:12; fulfilled in Matthew 26:15; 27:3).

6. The money for which Messiah is sold is to be thrown “to the potter” in God’s house (Zechariah 11:13; fulfilled in Matthew 27:5-7).

7. Messiah is to be silent before His accusers (Isaiah 53:7; fulfilled in Matthew 27:12).

8. Messiah is to be executed by crucifixion as a thief (Psalm 22:16; Zechariah 12:10; Isaiah 53:5,12; fulfilled in Luke 23:33; John 20:25; Matthew 27:38; Mark 15:27,28).

Stoner says that by applying the modern science of probability to just these eight prophecies, “… We find that the chance that any man might have lived down to the present time and fulfilled all eight prophecies is 1 in 1017.” That would be one in 100,000,000,000,000,000. In order for us to be able to comprehend this staggering probability, Stoner illustrates it by supposing that:

“… we take 1017 silver dollars and lay them on the face of Texas. They will cover all of the state two feet deep. Now mark one of these silver dollars and stir the whole mass thoroughly, all over the state. Blindfold a man and tell him that he can travel as far as he wishes, but he must pick up one silver dollar and say that this is the right one. What chance would he have of getting the right one? Just the same chance that the prophets would have had of writing these eight prophecies and having them all come true in any one man, from their day to the present time, providing they wrote in their own wisdom.

“Now these prophecies were either given by inspiration of God or the prophets just wrote them as they thought they should be. In such a case the prophets had just one chance in 1017 of having them come true in any man, but they all came true in Christ [Mashiach].

“This means that the fulfillment of these eight prophecies alone proves that God inspired the writing of those [eight] prophecies to a definiteness which lacks only one chance in 1017 of being absolute.” [Stoner, Peter W. Science Speaks. Chicago: Moody Press, 1963, pp 100-107.]

Stoner considers 48 prophecies and says, “… We find the chance that any one man fulfilled all 48 prophecies to be 1 in 10157.

“This is a really large number and it represents an extremely small chance. Let us try to visualize it. The silver dollar, which we have been using, is entirely too large. We must select a smaller object. The electron is about as small an object as we know of. It is so small that it will take 2.5 times 1015 of them laid side by side to make a line, single file, one inch long. If we were going to count the electrons in this line one inch long, and counted 250 each minute, and if we counted day and night, it would take us 19,000,000 years to count just the one-inch line of electrons. If we had a cubic inch of these electrons and we tried to count them it would take us, counting steadily 250 each minute, 19,000,000 times 19,000,000 times 19,000,000 [nineteen million times nineteen million times nineteen million] or 6.9 times 1021 years.

“With that introduction, let us go back to our chance of 1 in 10157. Let us suppose that we are taking this number of electrons, marking one, and thoroughly stirring it into the whole mass, then blindfolding a man and letting him try to find the right one. What chance has he of finding the right one? What kind of a pile will this number of electrons make? They make an inconceivably large volume.” [ibid., pp 109,110]

The chances of finding the correct electron out of the pile of electrons that Stoner uses for this last illustration is something on the order of picking one single correct electron out of all of the electrons in all the known mass of the entire known universe.

Such is the chance of any one man fulfilling any 48 prophecies. Yet Yeshua Ha'Natseret fulfilled not just 48 prophecies, not just 61 prophecies, but more than 324 individual prophecies that the Prophets wrote concerning the Mashiach.

_______________
The notation 10157 is the representation of the number 1 followed by 157 zeros, and it looks like this:


10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000, 000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000000,000,000,000,000.

This is approximately the total number of electrons in all the mass of the known universe. "
------------------------------------------------------


"A Case For Christ" by Lee Stroebel is another. Lee was an atheist, an award winning investigative journalist, a lawyer, who sought out to disprove the story of Jesus, His death and resurrection. When he examined the evidence, it was overwhelmingly convincing and he became a believer.
If you seek Him, you will find Him. But it must be with humility. Pride and arrogance keeps us away from God. This is why the Bible tells us we must come to him like a child.
Faith is a gift, but it is based on knowledge, it's not blind faith. I had a hundred questions when I became a Christian. I did not accept the Old Testament stories - thought they were far fetched myths. So, I started with the NT. Once I believed, then the OT fell in place.

That is debatable. You might be correct. You might not. However, the extent of his influence (or, I would argue, the influence of his reputation) does not establish his divinity.
Also in those books I've mentioned, the argument that Jesus was either
1. a liar;
2. a lunatic, or
3. He was who He said he was
These are the only options you can choose from. You can't just say He was a good man, or just a prophet, He didn't leave that open as an option. Prophets did not forgive sins, they did not receive worship, they did not die and come back from the dead and they do not transform billions of lives.
If He promised eternal life and couldn't deliver, He deceived all and was a liar. If we are to put our faith in Him and He was lying, then He is worse than the most evil person.
Now one could make a promise like that and believe He was God in self deception -- but then you'd have to say He was a lunatic.
No, the things He said and did, were the most loving and truthful things. These kind of things do not come from a liar or a lunatic. Liars and lunatics are in a different category.


You don't know me. It is presumptuous of you to imagine you understand my motivations. (It's also rude, but that seems in character, so I'm not fussed by it.)
Those verses are applied to all people who have not received the Holy Spirit, who have not been spiritually transformed by the blood of Christ. I do not have to know you, only that you claim not to believe in Jesus. Therefore you are a natural man, apart from the Spirit of God. We are all born apart from God, spiritually separated. I was too. Our purpose in life is to be reconciled to God. So it was not a personal attack. You are either a natural man or a spiritually transformed man. If you think that rude, just wait a few years, you'll receive a rude awakening!

Right, the gift to a select few. Many must suffer decades, centuries and millenia of pain and despair, so tha a few may benefit. And a proportion of the those who so suffer are then faced with an eternity of further pain and suffering. And these are the consequences of a world established by a merciful God.
I do not believe hell is eternal (of course this is against the traditional doctrine) ... oh well, I'm a black sheep.

Oh! I just tend to base my understanding of what people mean by what they say. Your words: "So all the above stuff won't mean anything."
If something doesn't mean anything to me, it means I am ignorant of it.
OK, fair enough. Someone can give us directions and we know exactly what they mean, but then proceed not to take them. So what's worse, not understanding the directions or refusing to take them? Let's say are riding a dirt bike in the wilderness, but a person stops you and says, "Don't take that fork in the road, it leads to a cliff and your doom!" You tell him, Sure buddy, I have a map, I've studied and there doesn't seem to be any cliffs in it. I'll be fine, thanks anyways!

Here's a tip for you. The tone of the few posts of yours I have read conveys a sense of satisfaction that you are saved and others are not. I accept that such is not your intention. However, if you want to increase the chance that individuals may listen to your warning you might want to change the tone.
Salvation is an awesome sense of security. Knowing that we live our lives for a purpose, we will not waste it and lose everything we've learned. Knowing that there is meaning to it all, not that we just go through all the motions and then suddenly die without warning and it's over. I am not reveling in the damnation of the world of unbelievers. God says He will wipe away every tear and I'm sure there will be some for those who didn't make it.
What kind of tone should one have when telling others that the wages of sin is death? The tone I convey for the other path is positive. Darkness always has a dark tone does it not?
 
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Chriliman

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That seems like a completely random resonse to the points I raised.

You were expressing your concern about how religious beliefs cause societal problems. I was just reminding you of the core beliefs of Christianity which promote love, peace and understanding.

Maybe you didn’t mean all religious beliefs, just those who have misguided religious beliefs? If so, I’d agree.

Anyhow, don’t want to derail the thread
 
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DogmaHunter

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You were expressing your concern about how religious beliefs cause societal problems. I was just reminding you of the core beliefs of Christianity which promote love, peace and understanding.

Maybe you should be reminding the christians that are causing societal problems.
On this point, it is completely irrelevant what the "core beliefs" of christianity are (or what you believe they are, at least). What matters is how follows empirically behave and live their lives. What matters is how it is actually implemented.

This reminds me of arguing with a muslim about how horrible shariah ruled countries are. They'ld come back with "ow, but shariah isn't like that... it really is such and such".
I don't care. What matters, is how it is actually implemented. Because that is what is causing real effect in the real world.


Maybe you didn’t mean all religious beliefs, just those who have misguided religious beliefs?

They'ld say that you are the one with the misguided beliefs.
 
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DogmaHunter

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I think you are still confused on what does an "evidence" mean.

No, I'm pretty clear on what it means.

Believing claims X, is not evidence that claim X is actually correct.
It just means that there are people that believe that claim X is correct.
 
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Chriliman

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Maybe you should be reminding the christians that are causing societal problems.
On this point, it is completely irrelevant what the "core beliefs" of christianity are (or what you believe they are, at least). What matters is how follows empirically behave and live their lives. What matters is how it is actually implemented.

This reminds me of arguing with a muslim about how horrible shariah ruled countries are. They'ld come back with "ow, but shariah isn't like that... it really is such and such".
I don't care. What matters, is how it is actually implemented. Because that is what is causing real effect in the real world.




They'ld say that you are the one with the misguided beliefs.

Agreed, it’s important to practice what you preach.
 
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juvenissun

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No, I'm pretty clear on what it means.

Believing claims X, is not evidence that claim X is actually correct.
It just means that there are people that believe that claim X is correct.

Anything is an evidence of something.
 
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DogmaHunter

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Anything is an evidence of something.

Yes, but not of anything.

The mere fact that there are people that believe claim X, is only evidence that there are people that believe claim X.

Not that claim X is correct.
 
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juvenissun

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Yes, but not of anything.

The mere fact that there are people that believe claim X, is only evidence that there are people that believe claim X.

Not that claim X is correct.

You are repeating yourself. No progress.
We are talking about evidence. Who said anything about correctness? We may have a lot of evidences, but has no correctness. You do not relate correctness to evidence. Are you an engineer? Please, please. Learn this.
 
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DogmaHunter

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You are repeating yourself.

And I'll continue repeating it, until you understand it.


We are talking about evidence.

*I* am talking about evidence. You are talking about beliefs.

Who said anything about correctness? We may have a lot of evidences, but has no correctness. You do not relate correctness to evidence. Are you an engineer? Please, please. Learn this.

Yes, i'm an engineer. A software engineer.

And you made the claim that people believing in a god, somehow lends credence to the claim that a god exists. That people believing in a god, is evidence that a god exists.

This is utterly false.
The fact that people believe things, only means that people believe things. It says nothing about wheter or not what is being believed is accurate or supported.
 
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dgiharris

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Let's say that human civilization collapses in 20 years and humans gradually go extinct in 100,000 years. Now fast-forward 1 billion years to the arrival of explorers from an extraterrestrial civilization. Would there be any evidence of humans?

(1) what would plate tectonics do to the traces of our civilization over 1 billion years?
(2) would the lunar landers survive intact under a coating of moon dust?
(3) any other thoughts?

I think we are seriously underestimated and underappreciating how long a BILLION years is...

Reading many of these responses, it feels like the question was more like 10,000 years or possibly 100,000 years and not a BILLION years.

I've seen rusted beat up cars that you could "barely" make out they were cars and they were only left to the elements for a few decades... I couldn't even imagine what they'd look like in 10,000 years let alone 1 million or 1 billion years.

In 1 billion years solar radiation and micro meteor impacts and cosmic dust could pretty much eat up anything we have in orbit to the point where it is nothing but dust. Imagine taking a piece of sand paper and rubbing it over a statue swipe after swipe after swipe .... how many swipes until you end up with a pile of fine dust??? Well, a billion years worth of cosmic radiation, solar winds, micro meteor impacts, etc is more than enough time to completely remove any trace of technology from orbit.

Not if our calculations are correct. The moon is receding from the Earth at a measurable rate that matches what it should be from theory. The tidal interaction between the Earth and the moon transfer angular momentum from the Earth (lengthening the day) to the moon, increasing the diameter of its orbit. However, this process ceases once tidal lock is achieved (the Earth's rotation matching the orbit of the moon). Escape is not possible.

It is possible and even probably that a comet or big meteor can slam into the moon in the next billion years and throw it out of orbit allowing it to eventually escape. Again, a billion years is a long time.
 
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cloudyday2

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I think we are seriously underestimated and underappreciating how long a BILLION years is...

Reading many of these responses, it feels like the question was more like 10,000 years or possibly 100,000 years and not a BILLION years.

I've seen rusted beat up cars that you could "barely" make out they were cars and they were only left to the elements for a few decades... I couldn't even imagine what they'd look like in 10,000 years let alone 1 million or 1 billion years.

In 1 billion years solar radiation and micro meteor impacts and cosmic dust could pretty much eat up anything we have in orbit to the point where it is nothing but dust. Imagine taking a piece of sand paper and rubbing it over a statue swipe after swipe after swipe .... how many swipes until you end up with a pile of fine dust??? Well, a billion years worth of cosmic radiation, solar winds, micro meteor impacts, etc is more than enough time to completely remove any trace of technology from orbit.
I wonder about Curiosity the mars rover. There is a little atmosphere on Mars as was mentioned earlier to make its prospects better than the Lunar stuff.

If Curiosity can't make it a billion years, then maybe a Twinkie will survive with its freshness intact.
 
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dgiharris

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I wonder about Curiosity the mars rover. There is a little atmosphere on Mars as was mentioned earlier to make its prospects better than the Lunar stuff.
Mars has frequent hurricanes and sand storms that whip sand and dust around at 60mph, so I don't see anything we put on mars surviving and feel that the sand paper / swiping analogy holds for that stuff

If Curiosity can't make it a billion years, then maybe a Twinkie will survive with its freshness intact.

Crazily enough, the Twinkie might just survive :p

but seriously, I think there is a very good chance that the Cockroach would survive a billion years.

Funnily enough, I don't even think the radio signals we have broadcasting through the vacuum of space would survive a billion years. I think they'd lose contrast and collimation as they interact with the tiny bits of dust floating in space. Every time a radio wave passes through matter there is a "tiny" fractional bit of interaction. Usually it is negligible but there is some attenuation and even perhaps some lensing effect as well as other effects. Now for normal radio waves this wouldn't be too big a deal but for radio waves and TV signals that carry discreet bits of information, this could be a problem. The data could wash out given enough interactions, and a billion years worth of travel could probably do it. I dunno, I'd have to calculate but my intuition tells me that a billion years of traveling through space would probably make any info EM wave from us useless....
 
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