Consumer Prices Will Go Down From Day One? Will Gas Prices Go Down 50% Within A Year?

[Aryeh Jay]

I've got a car a big as a whale, and its about to set sail!

Don't forget your jukebox money.

 

[essentialsaltes]

MISSION ACCOMPLISHED

Possibly not.

'That didn't sit well': Trump's own rallygoers reportedly 'disappointed' by latest speech​

"He's saying that the economy is roaring and doing well, but at the same time he's preaching austerity," said Geist. "Buy less for your children, buy less for your family this Christmas, and you don't have to take it from us people. At the rally, Trump supporters interviewed by MS NOW, by NBC News, by The New York Times said prices are too high and they're disappointed by what they heard."

"Remember ... this was supposed to be a rally about affordability," Geist continued. "This was supposed to be to reframe the debate about affordability and acknowledgment that Americans are paying too much for their lives, that they need help from this administration. And he immediately goes on the stage with a banner that says lower prices behind him — which is not true, inflation is where it was when Joe Biden left office — and mocks the idea of affordability."

 

[camille70]

Gas varies by region. Ive been paying around $2.30.

AAA Fuel Prices

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998109322992099709?s=20

Food prices are higher though and I'm too broke to go joyriding anyway.

 

[RocksInMyHead]

Possibly not.

'That didn't sit well': Trump's own rallygoers reportedly 'disappointed' by latest speech​

"He's saying that the economy is roaring and doing well, but at the same time he's preaching austerity," said Geist. "Buy less for your children, buy less for your family this Christmas, and you don't have to take it from us people. At the rally, Trump supporters interviewed by MS NOW, by NBC News, by The New York Times said prices are too high and they're disappointed by what they heard."

"Remember ... this was supposed to be a rally about affordability," Geist continued. "This was supposed to be to reframe the debate about affordability and acknowledgment that Americans are paying too much for their lives, that they need help from this administration. And he immediately goes on the stage with a banner that says lower prices behind him — which is not true, inflation is where it was when Joe Biden left office — and mocks the idea of affordability."

It's strange how they're already repeating one of the major mistakes that cost Democrats the 2024 election.

 

[wing2000]

"Over the June-August 2025 period, tariffs explain roughly 0.5 percentage points of headline PCE annualized inflation and around 0.4 percentage points of core PCE annualized inflation.3". <---Donald Trump did that.

How Tariffs Are Affecting Prices in 2025

A model suggests that although tariffs have been only partially passed through to consumers, they already have exerted measurable pressure on prices.

www.stlouisfed.org

 

[hedrick]

"Over the June-August 2025 period, tariffs explain roughly 0.5 percentage points of headline PCE annualized inflation and around 0.4 percentage points of core PCE annualized inflation.3". <---Donald Trump did that.

0.4% more inflation might actually be acceptable if there were other benefits. But it's not just inflation rates that matter.

First, the article notes that not all tariffs have been passed on. There's a lot of uncertainty about which will continue. But expect that during 2026 the rest of the cost will be passed on.

The more serious question is whether tariffs will increase US activity. I don't see any evidence of that. Hiring seems to be down. Of course attacks on immigrants are likely involved as well. It's hard to separate the influences. To complicate matters, there's probably some reluctance to hire because of (likely inflated) hopes that AI will replacer workers.

In general, it's not obvious that Trump's policies have had all that much effect on the economy. This isn't a shock. The Federal government has limited ability to improve the economy, and what effect they have tend to have significant delays. In some ways the most serious effect of Trump is probably his constant changes. That, rather than the tariffs themselves, may well be behind the reluctance of companies to hire.

This whole thing bothers me. I'm concerned that voters are voting in candidates who make promises about the economy, when in fact they have limited ability to do much. Trump has done lots of things that voters should evaluate. I think they would justify changing parties in 2028. But if people vote for a Democrat expecting him to bring prices down, they're going to be disappointed.

A more serious problem that the Feds should be dealing with is the deficit. We can't keep this up. We need to put taxes back up, or give up subsidizing health care. Or both. Unfortunately both alternatives are politically difficult.

 

[wing2000]

In general, it's not obvious that Trump's policies have had all that much effect on the economy. This isn't a shock. The Federal government has limited ability to improve the economy, and what effect they have tend to have significant delays. In some ways the most serious effect of Trump is probably his constant changes. That, rather than the tariffs themselves, may well be behind the reluctance of companies to hire.

Yes, for any company that relies on trade, it's impossible to plan (and invest) for the future when the man sitting in the White House could issue a self-defeating tariff order on a whim. Some of that uncertainty may go away once the U.S. Supreme Court rules on the legality of the Trump tariffs.

 

[DaisyDay]

A more serious problem that the Feds should be dealing with is the deficit. We can't keep this up. We need to put taxes back up, or give up subsidizing health care. Or both. Unfortunately both alternatives are politically difficult.

Let 'em die and scavenge their remains. We'll have fewer but richer Americans.

 

[Aryeh Jay]

I have no idea where you people live. My groceries are free, my pharmacist pays me to pick up prescriptions, and I can fill up my Surburban with 32 gallons of gas for $7.25.

 

[Hans Blaster]

I have no idea where you people live. My groceries are free, my pharmacist pays me to pick up prescriptions, and I can fill up my Surburban with 32 gallons of gas for $7.25.

Is the "sub" urban the downgraded version of the EM-50 Urban AV?

 

[Aryeh Jay]

Is the "sub" urban the downgraded version of the EM-50 Urban AV?

Yes, missing the armor upgrade and periscope.