I wonder what will happen if the government stays shut down for a couple of weeks after the election as that would likely mean that the idea of the "blue wave" being the Republicans fault and thus voting for democrats in a sense "failed" as people at the state and local levels are not the ones controlling the shut down anyway How would people who voted for the democrats BECAUSE of the shutdown react?
This would particularly be the case if 1-1-26 gets here and the healthcare credits run out in which case the democrats would basically "lose" by default in as far as getting what they wanted while the government was shut down for at LEAST a quarter of the year.
A government shutdown no longer significantly affects U.S. elections; last night's results were driven by the past 10 months of American politics, not the shutdown.
NY City; It is unlikely that Mamdani will be able to fulfil half his campaign promises, as certain initiatives fall outside the scope of authority granted to a city mayor. But , Republicans will portray him as the Democratic figurehead for the next few election cycles.
VA and NJ:
In the 2024 election, nearly 49% of Hispanic and younger voters backed the GOP—a shift that was a wake-up call for Democrats. However, last night, 65% of Hispanics and voters under 30 supported Democrats, wiping out GOP gains in VA and NJ. It remains unclear if this trend will continue nationwide.
In Georgia, Peter Hubbard and Alicia Johnson will be the newest members of the state's five-person public utility regulator after earning roughly 60% of the vote. It's the first time Democrats have won a nonfederal statewide office there since 2006 and one where soaring energy costs and displeasure with incumbents dominated the race.
Mississippi Democrats have broken a GOP supermajority in the state Senate after flipping two seats in that chamber plus another pickup in the state House.
For the first time in a half-century, Democrats control the Onondaga County legislature that includes Syracuse, N.Y. Democrats saw a city council seat in Charlotte, N.C., switch parties for the first time since 1999.
While Democrats are celebrating their recent victory, it is important to keep in mind that the mid-term elections are still a year away and circumstances may shift considerably before then. Additionally, this outcome only reflects voting patterns in a few states, rather than across the entire nation. Developments in Virginia may differ significantly from those in Arizona.
If inflation decreases and economic conditions improve next year, voters who previously supported President Trump may choose to vote for the GOP in the mid-term elections, potentially extending the Trump administration's agenda for another two years.
Republicans should pay attention to whether their own voters are satisfied with the country's direction, not just focus on criticizing Democrats or tracking their approval ratings. They often overlook the concerns of those who elected them.
The GOP base and MAGA supporters are expected to back their candidate in the next mid-term election regardless of economic conditions. However, this alone may not secure national or statewide victories. Key groups—independents, 20%-25% of Hispanic voters, and about 20% of youth who moved toward GOP in 2024—may not align with Trump's agenda, and if the GOP loses their support, they risk losing the election.
