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Radical Serge in Republican Voter Registrations Sin Carlie Kirk's Death

Oompa Loompa

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Today's Video Headlines
The Republican Party is seeing a “Charlie Kirk effect,” with moderate Democrats and Independents switching party affiliation at breakneck speed.
Freshly emancipated former Dems told The Post they were horrified by the assassination of the 31-year-old podcaster last week — who they thought of as kind and reasonable — and further disgusted by the ghoulish celebration of his killing by many lefties.

We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
 

A2SG

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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
I'm not really a fan of dystopian fiction, so I'll just wait and see what actually happens.

-- A2SG, people switch parties all the time, I fail to see a major issue here....
 
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Oompa Loompa

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I'm not really a fan of dystopian fiction, so I'll just wait and see what actually happens.

-- A2SG, people switch parties all the time, I fail to see a major issue here....
Wise decision. But I am fairly confident that this does not bode well for Democrats. Democrats will lose many seats in the midterm, and a republican (likely Vance) will be president for two terms. After that, it is a toss up. But Democrats will be doing a lot of soul searching for a very long time.
 

A2SG

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Wise decision. But I am fairly confident that this does not bode well for Democrats. Democrats will lose many seats in the midterm,
I'm doubtful on that. See, in pretty much every previous election when the presidency changes parties, the midterms tend to shift to the other party. I see no real reason to doubt that will happen again. History is a better guide to the future than imagining dystopian fiction, in my experience.

and a republican (likely Vance) will be president for two terms.
That, I highly doubt. But, I'll grant you, I don't see a lot of Democrats rising to the forefront for the next election yet, so we'll see.

After that, it is a toss up. But Democrats will be doing a lot of soul searching for a very long time.
I think Democrats should do a lot of that anyway, and I've been saying that for a long time. Well before Trump even considered running for office. Heck, I think the GOP should do that too, they can only do what Trump tells them to do for a little bit longer then they'll have to find their own path, or some new messiah to worship.

-- A2SG, could go either way on that.....
 
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Oompa Loompa

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I'm doubtful on that. See, in pretty much every previous election when the presidency changes parties, the midterms tend to shift to the other party.
There lies your problem. Still stuck in the old ways of thinking. Does the events and trends within the last year resemble anything close another time in memory? Many so called political "experts" have thrown their textbooks in the trash after failing miserably in predicting the 2024 election.
 
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A2SG

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There lies your problem. Still stuck in the old ways of thinking. Does the events and trends within the last year resemble anything close another time in memory? Many so called political "experts" have thrown their textbooks in the trash after failing miserably in predicting the 2024 election.
Sure, anomalies happen. But that doesn't mean everything changes as a result. Sometimes, an odd event is simply an outlier, and things go back to normal afterward. Just because Donald Trump won this past election, I don't assume that only convicted felons will win in the future.

But, as I've said, we'll just have to see. I guess where we differ is that I don't automatically predict a dystopian future from the current state of affairs. I've always been more of an optimist.

-- A2SG, could be a foolish optimist, but I yam what I yam....
 
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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
I'm pretty sure it was Tyrus I heard saying that a big reason why the party is in sharp decline is because it decided to demonize white people, in a country that's white. Their ingenious political strategy was to alienate the majority demographic of US voters. There's a whole lot of young adults starting out in life who don't want to vote for the party that's telling them how awful they are. "Vote for us because we say white people like you are scumbags". How in anyone's wildest dreams is that supposed to work?

And now young white people like them are getting assassinated.
 
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Richard T

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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
IMO Rubio would be far better than Vance. Myabe Mark Cuban runs as a democrat, so too early to tell.
 
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chevyontheriver

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Maria Billingsley

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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
My thoughts...... this is a woefully misleading article. The " Charlie Kirk effect" is not substantiated in any voter registration metrics, in fact it is quite the opposite. So let's wait until the next set of statistics come out before a claim is made that Democrats and Independents are switching to the GOP at " breakneck speed".

AI Generated:

As of late August and early September 2025, there have been updates to voter registration statistics, but they do not yet fully capture the long-term impact of Charlie Kirk's recent assassination. While the "Charlie Kirk Effect" is a term used to describe his political influence, and his death is a major event, measuring its specific impact on voter registration is an ongoing process.
Here is what the latest data shows:
* Overall Party Affiliation: As of August 2025, USAFacts reports that 45% of registered voters have declared a party affiliation. This includes approximately 37.4 million registered Republicans and 44.1 million registered Democrats.
* Shifting Trends: General trends in party affiliation have shown a slight increase in independent voters, and a small shift toward the Republican party. However, this is not an unprecedented "record speed" change.
* The "Charlie Kirk Effect": There is no specific, official report or analysis yet that quantifies how many people have switched their party affiliation directly as a result of Charlie Kirk's death. This kind of data takes time to compile and analyze. What is known is that his death has fueled political rhetoric and calls for action, which could influence voter registration in the future.
In short, while there is recent voter registration data, it is too early to see if a significant, measurable "Charlie Kirk Effect" on voter numbers has occurred. The full impact of his death on voter behavior will likely become clearer in the coming months as more data is released and analyzed.
 
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FAITH-IN-HIM

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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts

The issue with these types of articles is that they often engage in wishful thinking, drawing from one or two polls or limited data to present an optimistic outlook for the future. Typically, such articles overlook broader trends and statistics, relying instead on selective, narrow data to support the author's narrative, which can frequently mislead readers.

Here are the facts of American politics.

Voter by Age group

  • About two-thirds of voters ages 18 to 24 (66%) associate with the Democratic Party, compared with 34% who align with the GOP.
  • There is a similarly large gap in the partisan affiliation of voters ages 25 to 29 (64% are Democrats or lean that way vs. 32% for Republicans).
  • Voters in their 30s also tilt Democratic, though to a lesser extent: 55% are Democrats or Democratic leaners, 42% are Republicans or Republican leaners.
  • 1758117010273.png

Voter by ethnicity

1758117034671.png


Voter by religious Group

1758117057331.png


Past election trend




  • In seven of the last nine presidential elections, the Democratic candidate received the most votes in the American popular vote.
  • Over the past 50 years, less than 20% of African American voters have supported Republican candidates in each election.
  • Past 50 years, most Hispanic voters have voted for Democratic candidates.
  • Past 50 years, majority women have also tended to support Democratic candidates.
  • Past 50 years, majority Americans under age 35 have generally favored Democratic candidates.
  • Past 50 years majority of voters with a college degree have chosen Democratic candidates.
  • In addition, about 80% of non-Hispanic immigrants have supported Democratic candidates during the last five decades.


Groups that show greater support for the Republican party than the Democratic party include voters over the age of 50, White Americans, and White evangelical Christians.



Here is the Reality about these groups.


The White Electorate in US trend between 2000 to 2050

  • 2000: 76%
  • 2010: 70%
  • 2020: 66%
  • 2030: 58%
  • 2040: 50%
  • 2050: 44%
1758117121361.png


Evangelical Christians in the U.S. trend 2000 to 2050:

  • 2000: 26%
  • 2010: 25%
  • 2020: 23%
  • 2030: 20%
  • 2040: 18%
  • 2050: 15%

1758117145402.png


Voter shares by presidential election projection 2024 to 2032

1758117168676.png


And here are the top 5 issue for voter under the age of 30

  • Cost of Living / Inflation -The dominant concern, especially among young voters struggling financially.
  • Healthcare- Access and affordability remain key priorities 1 2.
  • Abortion Rights - A major motivator for youth participation, especially post-Dobbs decision 1 3.
  • Climate Change - Seen as an existential issue by many younger voters 1 3.
  • Immigration -Concerns about policy fairness and humanitarian impact


Can the GOP win the next two presidential elections? It's possible, but only if they persuade Hispanic, Asian, Black, and youth voters to support them. Currently, most young voters oppose Republican views on four out of five major issues. Is it feasible for the party to attract these groups without changing its ideology? For example, can Republicans convince young voters that climate change isn't real, mass deportation of undocumented immigrants is necessary, or that government-provided healthcare shouldn't exist?
 
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iluvatar5150

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We are watching the DNC collapse before our very eyes. I am predicting that the next decade will be dominated by Republicans, to include 2 terms with J.D. Vance. After that, things will level out with an increased in Independent voters to include many liberal Republicans leaving the GOP. Eventually we will have a three party system with the GOP still on top, and Independents fighting with Democrats for second place. Regardless, the GOP will be in power for a very long time.

Your thoughts
If this trend is real and if there was no similar move in the other direction after loads and loads of Republicans expressed glee about the Paul Pelosi attack, then it's a clear indication of how there really is a double standard with regards to how the two sides and their bad behavior are processed.
 
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Hentenza

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Does the events and trends within the last year resemble anything close another time in memory?
Actually yes. The lack of quality of presidents that we’ve had in the last few years resemble the lack of quality of emperors in the last few years of the western Roman Empire. If you know your history you know that the western Roman Empire collapsed in 476ad.

I’m an independent and the GOP is yet to secure my vote. We’ll see what happens in the next 3 years or so.
 
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Oompa Loompa

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Actually yes. The lack of quality of presidents that we’ve had in the last few years resemble the lack of quality of emperors in the last few years of the western Roman Empire. If you know your history you know that the western Roman Empire collapsed in 476ad.

I’m an independent and the GOP is yet to secure my vote. We’ll see what happens in the next 3 years or so.
Do you think that Trump and Biden were the best the respective parties had to offer during the 2016 election? Try to remember all the candidates trying to earn their party nomination.
 
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Say it aint so

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There lies your problem. Still stuck in the old ways of thinking. Does the events and trends within the last year resemble anything close another time in memory? Many so called political "experts" have thrown their textbooks in the trash after failing miserably in predicting the 2024 election.
When was the last time the presidents party didn't lose one or both branches of congress? I think the last time that didn't occur was during 9/11. Never mind old ways, look at the history. What drives direction of those midterm votes is the then current state of the nation, or given the last time a national emergency. The issue that drove the 2024 election was inflation the economy. Nothing has changed. There, the economy, the wrong things are going up and the wrong things are going down.
 
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FAITH-IN-HIM

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Actually yes. The lack of quality of presidents that we’ve had in the last few years resemble the lack of quality of emperors in the last few years of the western Roman Empire. If you know your history you know that the western Roman Empire collapsed in 476ad.

I’m an independent and the GOP is yet to secure my vote. We’ll see what happens in the next 3 years or so.
Ideologically, I have long identified as a conservative, though I am registered as an independent. In my view, the current Republican Party does not represent conservative principles. I believe that the type of conservatism I supported ceased to exist following Mitt Romney's defeat in the 2012 election.

I would have considered voting for JD Vance as he was in 2016, or Marco Rubio of 2010 but that JD Vance or Marco Rubio no longer present in today's political landscape, and I do not anticipate any GOP politician aligning with those views in the next two decades. It appears that pre-Trump conservatism is unlikely to make a resurgence. The Republican Party seems poised to continue nominating candidates aligned with Trumpian ideology until demographic shifts among primary voters bring about change.
 
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Say it aint so

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Some of these people in the Post story sound less genuine than the people who write letters to Penthouse.
Yes. Just imagine all the tic tok and facebook posts one can post of those after the tariffs, layoffs, price increases, business closures, and soy beans rotting in their silos who are not going to vote anything Trump including his party. It's just not a good barometer.
 
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iluvatar5150

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Some of these people in the Post story sound less genuine than the people who write letters to Penthouse.
From the article:

a 31-year-old avocado farmer and software entrepreneur from California
a restaurant manager from Bucks County, PA
finance CEO
a middle-aged woman in Charlotte, N.C.
Ex-Levi’s exec (who left the company over disputes about covid responses)

lol, this is like a laundry list of the demographics already primed to go MAGA.
 
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