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Financial Crisis Caused by Government-Not the Free Market

Thursday

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ll this overlooks a crucial fact: There has been no free market in housing or finance. Government has long exercised massive control over the housing and financial markets–including its creation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac(which have now amassed $5 trillion in liabilities)–leading to many of the problems being blamed on the free market today.

Consider the low lending standards that were a significant component of the mortgage crisis. Lenders made millions of loans to borrowers who, under normal market conditions, weren’t able to pay them off. These decisions have cost lenders, especially leading financial institutions, tens of billions of dollars.

It is popular to take low lending standards as proof that the free market has failed, that the system that is supposed to reward productive behavior and punish unproductive behavior has failed to do so. Yet this claim ignores that for years irrational lending standards have been forced on lenders by the federal Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) and rewarded (at taxpayers’ expense) by multiple government bodies.

The CRA forces banks to make loans in poor communities, loans that banks may otherwise reject as financially unsound. Under the CRA, banks must convince a set of bureaucracies that they are not engaging in discrimination, a charge that the act encourages any CRA-recognized community group to bring forward. Otherwise, any merger or expansion the banks attempt will likely be denied. But what counts as discrimination?

According to one enforcement agency, “discrimination exists when a lender’s underwriting policies contain arbitrary or outdated criteria that effectively disqualify many urban or lower-income minority applicants.” Note that these “arbitrary or outdated criteria” include most of the essentials of responsible lending: income level, income verification, credit history and savings history–the very factors lenders are now being criticized for ignoring.

The government has promoted bad loans not just through the stick of the CRA but through the carrot of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which purchase, securitize and guarantee loans made by lenders and whose debt is itself implicitly guaranteed by the federal government. This setup created an easy, artificial profit opportunity for lenders to wrap up bundles of subprime loans and sell them to a government-backed buyer whose primary mandate was to “promote homeownership,” not to apply sound lending standards.

Of course, lenders not only sold billions of dollars in suspect loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, contributing to their present debacle, they also retained some subprime loans themselves and sold others to Wall Street–leading to the huge banking losses we have been witnessing for months. Is this, then, a free market failure? Again, no.

In a free market, lending large amounts of money to low-income, low-credit borrowers with no down payment would quickly prove disastrous. But the Federal Reserve Board’s inflationary policy of artificially low interest rates made investing in subprime loans extraordinarily profitable. Subprime borrowers who would normally not be able to pay off their expensive houses could do so, thanks to payments that plummeted along with Fed rates. And the inflationary housing boom meant homeowners rarely defaulted; so long as housing prices went up, even the worst-credit borrowers could always sell or refinance.

Thus, Fed policy turned dubious investments into fabulous successes. Bankers who made the deals lured investors and were showered with bonuses. Concerns about the possibility of mass defaults and foreclosures were assuaged by an administration whose president declared: “We want everybody in America to own their own home.”

http://www.forbes.com/2008/07/18/fannie-freddie-regulation-oped-cx_yb_0718brook.html
 

SpunkyDoodle

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There has been no free market in housing or finance. Government has long exercised massive control over the housing and financial markets–including its creation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac(which have now amassed $5 trillion in liabilities)–leading to many of the problems being blamed on the free market today.
This is a great concern, and may spell the end of America as we know it if we are not able to turn it around, and soon.


Dr. Sowell has numerous things to say about the economy, and this is only one short part of one interview.
 
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iluvatar5150

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This is a great concern, and may spell the end of America as we know it if we are not able to turn it around, and soon.


Dr. Sowell has numerous things to say about the economy, and this is only one short part of one interview.

Dr Sowell takes one bad decision by the government (raising tariffs after the 1929 crash) and uses that to argue government should do nothing at all. It's a stupid argument that nobody uses in any other area of life. Make a wrong turn one morning? I guess you should stop driving to work. Add too much salt to dinner? Stop cooking.

It's dumb and the more I listen to him and read his material, the more shallow, one-sided, and dishonest I find his arguments to be. He's not dumb, but his arguments often are, denying truths and distorting reality into a strawman that he can tear down to promote his agenda.
 
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iluvatar5150

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Wow, this guy's even more off his rocker than I realized. I guess it's easy to hold onto nonsensical, out-dated ideas and not have any solutions if your only job has been writing books and articles for the last 30+ years. Thankfully, the people who've been in position to actually craft policy have held views a little more current and productive than this.

 
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cow451

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Dr Sowell takes one bad decision by the government (raising tariffs after the 1929 crash) and uses that to argue government should do nothing at all. It's a stupid argument that nobody uses in any other area of life. Make a wrong turn one morning? I guess you should stop driving to work. Add too much salt to dinner? Stop cooking.
Nominate Donald Trump? Stop voting.
 
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iluvatar5150

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It wasn't Lehmann Bothers that crashed. It wus the guverment wot did it.

And the Fed is a cancer that did nothing to save us from the financial collapse.

In that video, he talks about JP Morgan rounding up his banking buddies to come together and save the banking industry in 1907, suggesting that the private sector can handle these things without government interference. What Sowell doesn't explain is that the role that Morgan et al served was as the lender of last resort. What he ignores is that with the size of the problems we were facing in 2007-8, there weren't any private institutions with pockets deep enough to do that. The Federal Reserve bank was the only institution big enough.

I used to think that Sowell was smart, but wrong about a few things. Now I think he's just a fool.
 
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variant

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It wasn't Lehmann Bothers that crashed. It wus the guverment wot did it.

Letting Leemann brothers crash was what the free market looks like, they had enough "free market" in about a week.

This guy thinks we've got the stones to laugh in the face of a burning economy for decades.

What actually happened was that the most ardent lip servers of the free market ran for the fire hose like we should expect them to.

 
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DaisyDay

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According to one enforcement agency, “discrimination exists when a lender’s underwriting policies contain arbitrary or outdated criteria that effectively disqualify many urban or lower-income minority applicants.” Note that these “arbitrary or outdated criteria” include most of the essentials of responsible lending: income level, income verification, credit history and savings history–the very factors lenders are now being criticized for ignoring.
That's a libertarian rewrite of events. What actually happened was that banks were taking money out of communities by accepting deposits but refusing to reinvest any of that communities' money back into that community due to redlining and racial (and gender) discrimination. Income level, income verification, credit history and savings history are not and never were considered arbitrary - that is one of the big lies in that article.

The other glaring lie is that the CRA caused the financial collapse. It was not just that bad loans - which were often predatory - were made, but that they were repackaged into derivatives that hid their junky nature such that E-rated loans were being sold as AAA-rated. It was the market for these derivatives, not the CRA, that drove bad lending frenzy

The last problem was the removing of the banking rule put in after the '29 stock market collapse, of separating banks from speculating in securities. Turns out, it was a good rule.
 
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Oafman

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It's some serious chutzpah for the economic right to take a financial crash which only happened because of the absence of sufficient regulation, and actually claim that it was the product of too much regulation!

Nobel-winning economist Paul Krugman succinctly explains the key reasons of the financial crash in this op ed. Basically, it was the product of deregulation:

"The first big wave of deregulation took place under Ronald Reagan — and quickly led to disaster, in the form of the savings-and-loan crisis of the 1980s. Taxpayers ended up paying more than 2 percent of G.D.P., the equivalent of around $300 billion today, to clean up the mess.

But the proponents of deregulation were undaunted, and in the decade leading up to the current crisis politicians in both parties bought into the notion that New Deal-era restrictions on bankers were nothing but pointless red tape...

And the bankers — liberated both by legislation that removed traditional restrictions and by the hands-off attitude of regulators who didn’t believe in regulation — responded by dramatically loosening lending standards. The result was a credit boom and a monstrous real estate bubble, followed by the worst economic slump since the Great Depression."
 
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trunks2k

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The other glaring lie is that the CRA caused the financial collapse. It was not just that bad loans - which were often predatory - were made, but that they were repackaged into derivatives that hid their junky nature such that E-rated loans were being sold as AAA-rated. It was the market for these derivatives, not the CRA, that drove bad lending frenzy
Yep, it all started out pretty well. Home loans packaged together were pretty safe, even if they contained a larger portion of sub-prime loans. So you'd get a better return on a pretty safe investment. On the most basic level, the idea is correct. However, the packages began getting made up of larger and larger portions of sub-prime loans, and those sub-prime loans got riskier. For a while, the returns on them were great - the growing bubble let people keep from defaulting on the loans. So the market for those packaged loans grew even more to the point that they were filled with complete junk and banks were paying brokers a ton of money to give out loans. They weren't even asking for proof of income. If you breathed you could get a loan.

Eventually you got a ton of money invested in packages of loans that are made up of junk. On top of that, you have series of people basically betting big on them that just compounded the problem. Once it got to the point that people could no longer make their payments, the bubble popped and the whole house of cards came crumbling to the ground.

To blame the CRA is pretty ludicrous. The whole thing was the result of a serious systemic problem not just in the US but in the entire western financial market.
 
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Vylo

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Deregulation caused the problem. That's exactly the opposite of the OP. So no, just no.

It's happening again, but with auto loans. Thankfully that business is probably too small to crater the whole economy, but it is amazing that people think more deregulation will improve things. Deregulation has given us busted banks, accidents that kill workers, and monstrous pollution that taints the land. It's fine to re-examine and streamline regulation, but outright deregulation generally ends up with a body count.
 
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OldWiseGuy

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I'd blame the education system first. They failed to teach people not to borrow money that they cannot repay. Instead they purposely groom them to become debtors.
 
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Thursday

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That's a libertarian rewrite of events. What actually happened was that banks were taking money out of communities by accepting deposits but refusing to reinvest any of that communities' money back into that community due to redlining and racial (and gender) discrimination. Income level, income verification, credit history and savings history are not and never were considered arbitrary - that is one of the big lies in that article.

You are wrong. Banks were forced to change their lending standards to avoid lawsuits.
 
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trunks2k

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I'd blame the education system first. They failed to teach people not to borrow money that they cannot repay. Instead they purposely groom them to become debtors.
Personally I wouldn't blame them too much. "Sure you can afford it! Look how low the payment is! And in a couple years the house will be worth significantly more so you can just refinance at a favorable rate or just sell the house for a nice profit!" And "Look how much your house has gone up in value. You can take out a second mortgage, that you can really afford, and get some awesome stuff. [fast foreward] Oh? The housing market crashed, you lost your job and can't make the payments now, and now that the value of your house is way down, you can't sell your house for enough to cover the loan? TOO BAD"

When you got the people who are supposed to be making sure you can actually afford the loan telling you that, and people you know doing the that exact thing (it worked for a while), you're going to come to believe it. Especially when the precise terms aren't totally clear.
 
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OldWiseGuy

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Personally I wouldn't blame them too much. "Sure you can afford it! Look how low the payment is! And in a couple years the house will be worth significantly more so you can just refinance at a favorable rate or just sell the house for a nice profit!" And "Look how much your house has gone up in value. You can take out a second mortgage, that you can really afford, and get some awesome stuff. [fast foreward] Oh? The housing market crashed, you lost your job and can't make the payments now, and now that the value of your house is way down, you can't sell your house for enough to cover the loan? TOO BAD"

When you got the people who are supposed to be making sure you can actually afford the loan telling you that, and people you know doing the that exact thing (it worked for a while), you're going to come to believe it. Especially when the precise terms aren't totally clear.

That's my point. People should be taught to recognize when they are being deceived. Anything less than 20 percent down is wrong, for everyone.
 
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Vylo

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You are wrong. Banks were forced to change their lending standards to avoid lawsuits.
They were not forced to bundle those loans and lie about their nature to sell them, which is what caused the problem.
 
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DaisyDay

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You are wrong.
Not about this.
Banks were forced to change their lending standards to avoid lawsuits.
Yeah, they were forced to stop redlining and discriminating based on race, gender and ethnicity and they were forced to reinvest a certain percentage of the money they took from the community back into the community. That's it.
 
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