- Jun 29, 2005
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I predict Clinton will get more than 300 electoral votes.
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Florida will probably be close, and that means it'll be a long night.I predict that if Trump does not win we will not hear the end of it for quite a while. I also would not be shocked if the dust is not settled be Wed morning, and there is at least one recount.
I am thinking fairly or not PA may be a close one.Florida will probably be close, and that means it'll be a long night.
Nate Silver has been bullish for Trump all year and he has Clinton at 293.She's already polling that way. And in the past, polls have skewed slightly Republician. She may get 350.
You mean he has purposefully thrown the results off?Nate Silver has been bullish for Trump all year and he has Clinton at 293.
He's just given Trump better odds than anyone else - Sam Wang, NYT Upshot, Maxim Lott. He may be the one person who turns out to be right, who knows.You mean he has purposefully thrown the results off?
One thing with the polls is it is important to know who is taking them. Either side can make polls look favoriable.He's just given Trump better odds than anyone else - Sam Wang, NYT Upshot, Maxim Lott. He may be the one person who turns out to be right, who knows.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nate-silver-election-forecast_us_581e1c33e4b0d9ce6fbc6f7f
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Silver has got a good track record. My prediction (311-227) has Trump winning FL but Clinton winning Ohio. BTW, there's a previous thread on the EV prediction.......He's just given Trump better odds than anyone else - Sam Wang, NYT Upshot, Maxim Lott. He may be the one person who turns out to be right, who knows.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nate-silver-election-forecast_us_581e1c33e4b0d9ce6fbc6f7f
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Clinton has a 7 point lead among early voters in Ohio.My prediction (311-227) has Trump winning FL but Clinton winning Ohio.
One thing with the polls is it is important to know who is taking them. Either side can make polls look favoriable.