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<blockquote data-quote="ThatRobGuy" data-source="post: 75678337" data-attributes="member: 123415"><p>Couple of different factors at play here that would explain some things</p><p></p><p>1) The Basic Reproduction Number is much higher for Covid</p><p>[ATTACH=full]293446[/ATTACH]</p><p>As you can see, seasonal influenza is 0.9-2.1, Covid is 3.28-5.7</p><p>(and that was influenza's number based an average of <img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7ed48a5e36207156fb792fa79d29925d2f7901e8" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /> infection-producing contacts over a period of time...which has obviously been drastically reduced this year with the measures put in place to fight covid). So if you take a virus that was 0.9-2.1 under normal circumstances, and compare to a virus that's been 3.28-5.7 under very strict measures that drastically reduce our number of contacts with other people, if the "new normal" had been the "old normal", the flu's numbers would probably be even lower.</p><p></p><p>Not to mention, new variants have been popping up that are even more contagious than the original variant.</p><p> </p><p>2) with regards to testing, most people don't really care to get tested for influenza, they just know they have it based on the symptoms, and stay home. As where, a novel virus is something that people are going to be more curious if they have it or not. I've had the flu probably 2 dozen times in my 37 years if I had to guess...never once gotten a flu test. However, I've had multiple covid tests and even paid to get the antibody test (out of curiosity) and I'm sure many others are the same way.</p><p></p><p>3) I think the controls work fairly well when they're actually followed, but there seems to be a pattern of people following them in public settings, but not in private settings. For instance, there are people who will wear the mask, socially distance, etc... when they're in a grocery store, but may not be adhering to those as strictly in private settings.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ThatRobGuy, post: 75678337, member: 123415"] Couple of different factors at play here that would explain some things 1) The Basic Reproduction Number is much higher for Covid [ATTACH=full]293446[/ATTACH] As you can see, seasonal influenza is 0.9-2.1, Covid is 3.28-5.7 (and that was influenza's number based an average of [IMG]https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7ed48a5e36207156fb792fa79d29925d2f7901e8[/IMG] infection-producing contacts over a period of time...which has obviously been drastically reduced this year with the measures put in place to fight covid). So if you take a virus that was 0.9-2.1 under normal circumstances, and compare to a virus that's been 3.28-5.7 under very strict measures that drastically reduce our number of contacts with other people, if the "new normal" had been the "old normal", the flu's numbers would probably be even lower. Not to mention, new variants have been popping up that are even more contagious than the original variant. 2) with regards to testing, most people don't really care to get tested for influenza, they just know they have it based on the symptoms, and stay home. As where, a novel virus is something that people are going to be more curious if they have it or not. I've had the flu probably 2 dozen times in my 37 years if I had to guess...never once gotten a flu test. However, I've had multiple covid tests and even paid to get the antibody test (out of curiosity) and I'm sure many others are the same way. 3) I think the controls work fairly well when they're actually followed, but there seems to be a pattern of people following them in public settings, but not in private settings. For instance, there are people who will wear the mask, socially distance, etc... when they're in a grocery store, but may not be adhering to those as strictly in private settings. [/QUOTE]
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