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Discussion and Debate
Discussion and Debate
Physical & Life Sciences
The Holocene Deniers
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<blockquote data-quote="thaumaturgy" data-source="post: 53032377" data-attributes="member: 169303"><p>Actually, if you could prove something, anything statistically you would have a point! </p><p></p><p><strong>I hate to bring this up again and again, but there's a simple little number I've repeated numerous times. It's called a </strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong><span style="color: Red"><span style="font-size: 18px">p-value</span></span></strong></p><p><strong></strong> </p><p>Now a p-value is the probability that I will make a TYPE I error in rejecting a null hypothesis. If you can provide any data that can provide me with a p-value that would support your contention I would have a tough time disproving it.</p><p></p><p>That's why statistics is far more powerful than just one guy's "impression" based on anecdotal data.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p><strong>Well Thank God I've addressed <u>just about every single couplet of towns you've brought up so far! I've downloaded the data and I've run the stats !</u></strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>OVER. And OVER. AND OVER AGAIN!</strong></p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong></strong>(I resent you consistently misrepresenting what everyone on here can see for his or herself.)</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Actually what I've seen not just in this data set but in another one there is a wider spread of data seasonally. And indeed I am fascinated. If I had more time I'd try to track that down. I don't know as I would agree that everywhere there's always a consistent bias. But it is fascinating.</p><p></p><p>Sorry if I'm too much of a scientist for you. I'm not able to answer <em>all</em> the questions. Only fanatics and idealogues offer "all the answers".</p><p></p><p>That's also why I like that <strong>p-value</strong> so much!</p><p></p><p> </p><p></p><p>And I have.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="thaumaturgy, post: 53032377, member: 169303"] Actually, if you could prove something, anything statistically you would have a point! [B]I hate to bring this up again and again, but there's a simple little number I've repeated numerous times. It's called a [COLOR=Red][SIZE=5]p-value[/SIZE][/COLOR] [/B] Now a p-value is the probability that I will make a TYPE I error in rejecting a null hypothesis. If you can provide any data that can provide me with a p-value that would support your contention I would have a tough time disproving it. That's why statistics is far more powerful than just one guy's "impression" based on anecdotal data. [B]Well Thank God I've addressed [U]just about every single couplet of towns you've brought up so far! I've downloaded the data and I've run the stats ![/U] OVER. And OVER. AND OVER AGAIN! [/B](I resent you consistently misrepresenting what everyone on here can see for his or herself.) Actually what I've seen not just in this data set but in another one there is a wider spread of data seasonally. And indeed I am fascinated. If I had more time I'd try to track that down. I don't know as I would agree that everywhere there's always a consistent bias. But it is fascinating. Sorry if I'm too much of a scientist for you. I'm not able to answer [I]all[/I] the questions. Only fanatics and idealogues offer "all the answers". That's also why I like that [B]p-value[/B] so much! And I have. [/QUOTE]
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