I dont think a split in the UMC would be such a bad thing. I think it might be to everyone's benefit. The church split in 1845 over slavery, there were devout Methodists on both sides of that issue. The denomination had gone on as long as it could accommodating, or at least stalemating, both sides. Neither side would capitulate to the other and everyone was sick and tired of the issue. I believe both sides wanted to get back to the essential functions of a church and the split allowed them to do that.
We could split into two new denominations representing the two current overarching themes of American Protestant practice. A liberal denomination which affirmed gay marriage, emphasized a communal salvation, and was overtly ecumenical or even somewhat Universalist. A conservative denomination which rejects gay marriage, emphasizes individual salvation and the conversion experience, and emphasizes the Bible and evangelism. I think it might just make both sides stronger.
my mom is Methodist, her church is in the suburbs of Columbus Ohio and there are still a lot of old farming families in the area, it is more conservative then the urban Methodist churches less then 10 miles away.
I do not want to be argumentative just for the sake of being argumentative, volunteer this information about my Mom and her church to let you know that even though I am Catholic, the UMC has a place in my heart, if it was not for the local pastor and the church community, my Mom would not be a Christian today, gratitude is too weak of a word for what I feel for the UMC.
a split now would kill your church
the pro-gay marriage branch would just be another liberal mainline denomination, now hurt from such a split, with less infrastructure, less ability to do outreach to other countries as the Methodist Church in Africa and South America is much more conservative on these issues.
and the more conservative Methodist church would be mostly confined to more rural areas, more of an ageing population, while more in line with global Methodism, it would be reduced in number in the USA to the point where it would lack the ability to bring about real change
the Catholic, Baptist and Methodist Churches are three of the biggest in the USA
many Baptist and Evangelical churches are independent, yes they work together on social issues, but that independence does hamper cooperation a bit.
The Catholics and the Methodist Churches are both known for doing good for social justice (I am not saying that is the first goal of a Church, preaching the Gospel is first, but social justice is VERY important too) and part of politics is a numbers game, to split the UMC now would be like ripping out its vocal cords, and this is a time where America really needs strong Christian voices
I hope I do not seem too presumptuous or too nihilistic
God is Lord of All, and through just 12 Apostles He set things in motion that changed the world.... so it is known He can do great things even with small numbers....
this is just how it looks to me
again, sorry if I seem to be too presumptuous