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The case against Social Security.

OldWiseGuy

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That is sad. You of all people need to be contributing to SS. I sense that you are angry (as I was) that money you need now is being withheld from you.
 
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Andrew77

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Andrew77

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That is sad. You of all people need to be contributing to SS. I sense that you are angry (as I was) that money you need now is being withheld from you.

That makes no sense. If I retire on social security, I'll live in object poverty until my death.

If I didn't have to contribute to social security, I would be nearly half way to being a millionaire, and have at least a million dollars or more by retirement.

Yet here you are saying that I of all people need to contribute to my coming poverty, instead of wealth.... and you say "I sense that you are angry" (about it)?

Really? You think I'm mad about being forced into poverty instead of wealth? You think? Really? Shocking that is.... shocking I say....
 
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Andrew77

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Manhattan bagel and some start up movie. Burned up 40k on the former in one night.

That's a different thing. I was talking about putting money into a typical retirement mutual fund.

You put all your money into one business startup, or venture, ok yeah you can blow your entire investment. Yeah. I get that.

When I say it's almost impossible to lose your money, I mean in a typical retirement mutual fund. The absolute worst fund I've seen, still had a 2% return on investment, over a 20 year period. That sucks, but you still don't lose everything. That takes skill to lose it all.
 
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Andrew77

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You should be a financial advisor then. You'll certainly make more than $20,000 per year.
I do. I want to do that. In fact, I want to do that even if I didn't get paid. I'd love to convince as many people as possible to save for retirement as I can.

Because every single person that actually saves money for even just a few years, and sees the returns they make in a real retirement investment, compared to social security, will end up hating Social Security, and maybe we can deal with this horrible system.
 
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Andrew77

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Don't be ridiculous.

How can it possibly be a good deal?

If I put the money being stolen from me supposedly for social security, into a real retirement fund, I'd end up a multi-millionaire by retirement.

If I am instead forced to fund social security, I'll end up with $848 a month until I die.

How is this a good deal? I don't even need to read your link. I know the numbers already. I know what social security pays out. I know what my retirement fund is earning every month.

There is no possible way, that trading millions of dollars, for $848 a month, is a good deal.
 
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Andrew77

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If I put that $200 a month, into a mutual fund earning just 8%, I'd have almost a million dollars by age 67.

You are telling me, that having $800 a month, instead of almost a million, is "quite fair and not horrible"? Compared to what?

If you don't mind me saying, ... if you were instead earning US$40,000 annually today, you would have retired with about US$1600 monthly in SS benefits. So, it is you yourself who have "doomed" yourself to "poverty" when you retire, not the US government.


Please don't do this to me. Nothing can be more damaging than, finding some guy that has worked his butt off, worked as hard as he knows how, tried absolutely everything everyone has ever suggested, only to fail each and every single time.... and then have you come along and say "If only you were earning more".

Don't sit there and act like somehow I could be earning more if only I decided to. I did decide to, dozens of times by now, and each time it left me in ruins. The reason I earn what I do, is because that's all I can do. If I knew how to earn more, I likely would be.

But let's even play out the hypothetical. If I earned $40,000 a year, I would have paid in $410 a month in taxes, you say I'd get about $1,600 a month.

That's a good deal? Really? If you put in $400 a month into a good mutual fund, earning just 8%, which is not even that high.... by retirement you would have $1.5 Million.

$1.5 Million.... or $1,600 a month.... hmmm..... that's tough....... No, it isn't. $1,600 is terrible.

No, it is not me dooming myself to poverty. The FACT is that if I was allowed to have my own money, I would over $300,000 in investments right now. Instead I got nothing but a guarantee of poverty at retirement, and my investments I've had to scrape by with what is left after government takes a massive chunk of my money.

....... Since 1935, the SS has not defaulted on paying out monthly benefits to retirees, and will likely not.

They said the same thing in Greece, and Venezuela. In 1985, people said the Soviet Union had been around since the 1920s, and was never going to fail. Well they were wrong. Greece wouldn't fail. They were wrong. Venezuela, one of the most oil rich countries in the would, couldn't fail... and people are now literally starving to death.

Do not think America can't fail.


The Trade deficit is a non-issue. Not a problem. The main reason it happened is simply because 50s and 60s, the world was catching up to the US. The rest of the world was wiped out by war and socialism, and thus we were the defacto manufacturing leader. Well of course that was never going to remain true forever.

Oil prices really didn't go through the roof either. In fact, if you calculate inflation of money over time, and compare today to the 1930s, gasoline is actually cheaper today, than it has been in the past. 25¢ in the 1930s, is roughly equal to $3.40 today. Well, I just filled up for $2.20. So in reality, we're paying a heck of a lot less for gas, than people did in the 30s and 40s, and even the 50s.

I will say that the EPA and regulations on oil exploration in the US, did make it more difficult to utilize the oil we have in our own country.

Again, my primary point to you isn't that you don't need social security. If you intentionally live and act so brazenly irresponsible, that you are now utterly dependent on government, then perhaps you are the person that needs that system.

But why do you have to doom everyone else, to poverty, because your choices?

Let me, and those like me, have our own money. I'd rather be a millionaire, than in poverty. You would rather have poverty with social security. Fine! That's fine! You can blow your money however you want! I'm all for choice! You want to give government your money, and remain poor? That's all you buddy!

But this is a country that supposed to be about freedom. Freedom to have control over our own lives. Freedom to keep the money we rightfully earn. I want to have my money, that I earned, going to the investments I want. I would rather be a millionaire, than living on.... $800 a month.

Why should you, doom the rest of us? Why should you, be able to dictate how the rest of us live?

Let me opt-out. You can keep your scraps off the politicians table, if that's what you want. I'd rather go have millions.
 
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discipler7

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The Civil war ended in May of 1865. Abolition of slavery was not part of the war, nor the end of the war.

The abolition of slavery passed with the 13th amendment in December of 1865.
That's just splitting hairs.

If the conservative Southern States had defeated the liberal Northern States and won the American Civil War in 1861-1865,(eg through the intervention of the colonial British Empire or Mexico/Spanish Empire) slavery would have remained as US Law, at least for a few decades.
....... Like they say, "History is written by the victors".
 
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Andrew77

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With your income it's hard to save much. That's why SS is a good deal for you. You'll appreciate it when you retire. I'm glad that you have a 401K and Roth IRA. You should be ok.

I'll be "ok". I'm not worried about it.

It just makes me mad, that I could be better than "ok". I could be a millionaire.... easily.

Instead I'll have.... $800 a month.
I'm not worried about it. But honestly.... try and switch positions for a moment.

Pretend.... just for a moment, that you knew.... you knew that you knew.... that you could right now be retiring with $8 Million dollars. Pretend that you are like me, and you are looking at your investments right now, and seeing that you have already doubled your money in 8 years.

And you knew for a fact, that if you had been able to put in the money you wanted to put in.... that you could retire with $8 Million dollars.

But instead of getting $8 Million, you are now looking to a future of getting about $1,600 a month, because someone decided that they knew better than you, and that you were too dumb to be allowed to have control of your own future.

Would that no make you mad? You are going to survive either way. But you could be wealthy, but thanks to the endless arrogance of others, you are instead going to be poor.

Yeah I'll survive. No problem. That's not the issue. The issue is, I could be extremely wealthy, even with my low income. But instead.... thanks to 'do-gooders' I'll be poor. That's what ticks me off.
 
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discipler7

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If I put that $200 a month, into a mutual fund earning just 8%, I'd have almost a million dollars by age 67.
.
The Mutual Fund Equivalent of Bankruptcy
Mutual funds are not insured or guaranteed = can go bankrupt, especially during a Stock Market crash.
.
They said the same thing in Greece, and Venezuela. In 1985, people said the Soviet Union had been around since the 1920s, and was never going to fail.
After the 2010 financial crisis was over, the government of Greece has resumed paying out pension benefits to her workers, albeit at a reduced rate. In comparison, a mutual fund company can go bankrupt and completely disappear with all of the investors' money. ...
Harvard-Trained Mutual Fund Manager Convicted of Securities Fraud and Obstruction of Justice
 
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OldWiseGuy

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You're young and have many good income years ahead of you. Just consider SS part of your "investment portfolio" that is conservative and safe (it's part of 'diversification'). Care for your health and you'll reap greatly in your latter years, when many need it most. It's all good. SS is insurance that you will have something if all else fails. God bless SS.
 
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OldWiseGuy

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I guess you had to be there (I was). It was bad.

1973 oil crisis
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia


The 1973 oil crisis began in October 1973 when the members of the
Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries proclaimed an oil embargo. The embargo was targeted at nations perceived as supporting Israel during the Yom Kippur War.[1] The initial nations targeted were Canada, Japan, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the United States with the embargo also later extended to Portugal, Rhodesia and South Africa. By the end of the embargo in March 1974,[2] the price of oil had risen from US$3 per barrel to nearly $12 globally; US prices were significantly higher. The embargo caused an oil crisis, or "shock", with many short- and long-term effects on global politics and the global economy.[3] It was later called the "first oil shock", followed by the 1979 oil crisis, termed the "second oil shock."
 
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Andrew77

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What is the first rule of investing? Diversification.
If you are Christian, you know Ecclesiastes 11:2, which says "But divide your investments among many places, for you do not know what risks might lie ahead."

You don't put all your money into one single investment, ever.

Second, you never put your money into something that doesn't have a long track record. All of the mutual funds I have bought into, I know exactly what they invest into, and they have been around for 40 years.

In order for my stock mutual funds to go bankrupt and close, basically every single major corporation in the country would have to go bankrupt.

If every single major corporation in this country went bankrupt, your social security money is history.

As for Greece, yeah, the pension fund is still there.
Right now, half of all Pensioners in Greece are earning less than 1,000 Euros, and half of those, less than 500 euros.

How would you like to live off $1,200 a year until you die, after spending your entire life putting in 42% of your income?

That's a good deal? Compared to what? Some isolated incident with a no-name mutual fund no one has ever heard of, with a guy committing fraud running it? How many people have had that happen over the entire country?

Because 100% of the people in Greece are screwed over right now. And by the way, it's not over yet.
Greek Pensions Hot Potato Puts Tsipras in Bailout Tight Spot

At this point, it is highly likely that Greek Pensions will be cut AGAIN. That's the future you want for America?
 
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OldWiseGuy

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You don't put all your money into one single investment, ever.

Unless it's your home. Home ownership is the way to security for the common person. Between SS and recovering the equity in a paid-for home through a 'reverse mortgage' a retiree can live pretty well, and still leave something to their heirs.
 
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Andrew77

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Unless it's your home. Home ownership is the way to security for the common person. Between SS and recovering the equity in a paid-for home through a 'reverse mortgage' a retiree can live pretty well, and still leave something to their heirs.

Finally you said something I agree with, and not only do I agree with it, it's one of the proposals I have offered in the past.

In Singapore, they don't have a social security system. Instead they have forced savings for retirement, but it's in whatever investment you the individual choose, and the default option.... is your home.

Now if you wanted to do that, I'd be all in.

So from working age until you are ready to buy a home, all your money goes into an investment fund of your choice, and if you wanted, it could be government bonds (stupid idea, but it's fair game).

Then when you wanted to buy a home, you could use all the money in your retirement fund, to buy a home.

This does a number of things. First, you can live in your own home without actually having a mortgage payment. Your retirement contribution, is the mortgage payment.

Second, it almost guarantees a low interest rate, even if your credit is otherwise bad. The lender is almost guaranteed payment, because you can't avoid paying into retirement, no matter what job you take.

If you sell the house, you can only put the money back into another house, or into another investment fund. Until you retire reach retirement, and then all restraints are off.

This is why in Singapore, the home ownership rate is 93%. Compared to the US rate of 65%? Something like that.
 
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Tanj

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Unless it's your home. Home ownership is the way to security for the common person. Between SS and recovering the equity in a paid-for home through a 'reverse mortgage' a retiree can live pretty well, and still leave something to their heirs.

How is anyone with a reverse mortgage leaving anything to their heirs?

In Singapore, they don't have a social security system. Instead they have forced savings for retirement, but it's in whatever investment you the individual choose, and the default option.... is your home.

It's an oversimplification of the Singapore system, but I agree using these funds for home ownership is a good idea, so long as there are regulations in place to prevent you from selling said home then squandering the money.
 
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Andrew77

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Not until you reach retirement age. Once you reach retirement age, you can do whatever you want with your own money.

Again, I'm a bit offended when people get into this "I have to dictate the lives of everyone else, for their benefit". Every tyrannical maniac, has the same mind set. Every cruel dictator, believes they are controlling everyone else.... for their benefit.

We need to stop this. We need to stop being a people that dictates how everyone spends their money, no matter how good the intentions, because that is evil. Controlling people is evil.

It's more than that even. It's destructive to society. The primary way people learn, is though reaping the painful results of bad choices. I can tell you that it's been the painful experiences of my life that resulted in me making better choices in the future.

When you take away the negative consequences for bad choices, you encourage more and more people to make horrifically bad choices going forward.

Again, why do you think that as Social Security benefits were increased by 30% in the early 1970s, and then given an automatic benefit increase year over year, and then by magic the personal savings rate has declined consistently for the last 40+ years?

We taught people that they can be completely irresponsible, and there will not be consequences their actions. If we started having people suffer for not planning for retirement, I guarantee more people would start planning for retirement.

Like I said, I had a roommate, who spent every single penny from paycheck to paycheck. Paid on Friday, broke by Thursday.

I asked what they planned to do for retirement, if they spent every penny. Their answer was "Government will take care of me".

People are learning what we teach them. We teach them that they can live completely insane, and government will take care of them. So they are. This is why we need to end social security, and stop playing this 'benevolent dictatorship' do-gooder attitude.

You need to respect people enough, to let them make their own choices, and let them face the rewards or consequences of those choices. G-d didn't create this world, and then dictate our lives.
 
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Tanj

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Not until you reach retirement age. Once you reach retirement age, you can do whatever you want with your own money.

Right.


Except there's the other end of that stick. The person that made the selfish/bad/lazy choices, do we turf them out onto the street to die? Deny them medical?

Whilst the US SS system is clearly sub optimal some kind of mandatory retirement scheme, like the Singapore one you were championing a few posts ago, is essential. People should not be given the option of making the poor choices.
 
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Andrew77

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No we don't. That's my whole point. Why do you think that generation after generation, people are becoming more and more irresponsible? Why do you think we have more and more people that live making, literally their entire lives, making bad choices non-stop until they die?

Specifically because we never let them face the consequences of their actions.

Health care is a perfect example. Do you know why premiums have doubled and more, since we introduced Obama Care? Because we eliminate pre-existing condition clauses. Now people can wait until they have cancer, before paying a single premium payment, and then once they get it, they can apply for health insurance, and all the responsible people have to pay higher premiums to cover that.

They never have to face the consequences, so they make worse and worse choices.

All of the problems in our society, are directly because of your ideology being played out.
 
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Tanj

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No we don't. That's my whole point.

Well no, unless you engaged in some goal post shifting. Your original point was the assumption of government assistance leads to bad financial choices.

I said nothing whatsoever about government assistance. I said retirement savings should be mandatory. I agree with you that the system you have does not constitute "retirement savings". However, the mandatory Singapore system does, as does the Australian system.

Health care is a perfect example. Do you know why premiums have doubled and more, since we introduced Obama Care?

I sure do. It's because the US has the worst healthcare system in the developed world, and Obamacare was like putting an elastoplast on a suppurating wound. It would be a non-issue if you had single payer, universal coverage.

And on the off chance you complain that such a system allows people to make bad choices and not suffer the consequences, I will give my immediate rebuttal that children shouldn't die because their parents made bad choices, and many, many expensive illnesses are not due to bad choices.

All of the problems in our society, are directly because of your ideology being played out.

Just to be clear, it aint my society you are complaining about, it's yours, and your society has far more sources of problems than your misunderstanding of my ideology.
 
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