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Discussion and Debate
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Something doesn't feel right about BLM
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<blockquote data-quote="RocksInMyHead" data-source="post: 75129605" data-attributes="member: 284142"><p>You'd have a point if that was what I was claiming. But it's not. This appears to be becoming a theme...</p><p></p><p></p><p>Because statistically, one should expect two groups of people who commit the same crime at the same rate to be arrested at the same rate. Realistically, I know that's not what happens, but that's the null hypothesis that I'm starting from. When differences are observed, then I can start looking at reasons why. In your example, I can think of a couple reasons why white women <em>might </em>be arrested at a lower rate than white men for the same crime, but until I know that they <em>are</em>, speculating on the possibilities is pointless.</p><p></p><p>Similarly, with blacks and whites, the null hypothesis is that if they use drugs at the same rate, they should be arrested for possession at the same rate. This is not the case, so we move into the realm of exploring why that might happen. I've proposed a couple of (non-mutually-exclusive) explanations for this, including income disparities and an institutional bias against black people by the police. So far, all you've done is dismiss my claims out of hand with proposing any alternate explanations for the differences. If you can't do that, then I'm done with this discussion.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Okay, you do that.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RocksInMyHead, post: 75129605, member: 284142"] You'd have a point if that was what I was claiming. But it's not. This appears to be becoming a theme... Because statistically, one should expect two groups of people who commit the same crime at the same rate to be arrested at the same rate. Realistically, I know that's not what happens, but that's the null hypothesis that I'm starting from. When differences are observed, then I can start looking at reasons why. In your example, I can think of a couple reasons why white women [I]might [/I]be arrested at a lower rate than white men for the same crime, but until I know that they [I]are[/I], speculating on the possibilities is pointless. Similarly, with blacks and whites, the null hypothesis is that if they use drugs at the same rate, they should be arrested for possession at the same rate. This is not the case, so we move into the realm of exploring why that might happen. I've proposed a couple of (non-mutually-exclusive) explanations for this, including income disparities and an institutional bias against black people by the police. So far, all you've done is dismiss my claims out of hand with proposing any alternate explanations for the differences. If you can't do that, then I'm done with this discussion. Okay, you do that. [/QUOTE]
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