- Dec 17, 2010
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Many climate activists just assume that renewable energy will do the job, without reading very much about it. I love the *idea* of renewable energy, but question the reality of moving from power that is mostly on (coal) to mostly 'off' — wind and solar that have 33% capacity factors.
Many climate activists don't know that the world's most famous climatologist — Dr James Hansen — says believing in renewables is like believing in the tooth fairy! Hansen warns not to drink sustainable energy Kool-Aid He recommends nuclear. I used to think nuclear was a terrible idea because I was scared of poor nuclear safety, nuclear waste, and uranium running out. But I was wrong on all counts.
1. SAFETY: Most people think nuclear, and think about Chernobyl and Fukushima. But the west NEVER built a Chernobyl model reactor — it didn't even have a proper containment dome! Banning nukes because of Chernobyl is like banning modern airlines because of the Hindenburg. What about Fukushima? It was a fine old Generation 2 design hit by a terrible natural disaster. Given we are talking about tsunami prone Japan, the government shouldn't have allowed it to be built that in the first place. No one has died as a direct result of Fukushima's nuclear power meltdowns, but the government enforced evacuation has killed hundreds through despair and suicide. But that Generation 2 design required power to cool. Modern reactors require power to GO! They shut themselves down if the power goes off, and that's without human intervention. The laws of physics take over if humans fail to act. Imagine a little candle burning under a large water-filled balloon. If the candle burns just a little too hot, the balloon bursts and extinguishes that little candle. That's passive safety. No one has to be there to make it happen. Generation 3 reactors are like that. AP1000 reactors shut themselves down if there's a power failure. But even if they DID melt down (in some freakish once every 10,000 years kind of time-frame) it would all be trapped in the Containment Dome just like Three Mile Island was.
Now let's get REALLY crazy, and address our worst fears. What if it somehow melts down and GETS OUT! Guess what? The radiation at Chernobyl and Fukushima just isn't that bad. If they fenced off the reactors and a few small hot-spots, I'd live in 98% of the Chernobyl or Fukushima zones. We live on a radioactive planet. Do you know how radioactive your computer is? Your workplace? Your city? Fukushima is only twice as hot as Sydney — well below the dangerous levels. Chernobyl, Fukushima, radiation — Oh my! Indeed, the Japanese are letting many citizens return to the former exclusion zones. Basically if you're worried about nuclear safety you should be SCREAMING about fossil fuels as coal oil and gas particulates kill 3 million people a year. This is about 650 Chernobyl disasters a year, and that's under the controversial old Linear No Threshold model — a bunch of old numbers that basically assumes 4000 people will one day die from Chernobyl which itself might be hogwash. More on the Linear No Threshold model
2. NUCLEAR WASTE: Modern Breeder reactors eat it! They convert a 100,000 year storage problem into today's reliable baseload energy solution. The UK's nuclear 'waste' could run her for 500 years and America has so much it could run her for a millennia. Here's a photo of JFK touring my favourite breeder reactor, the Molten Salt Reactor. We've known the physics for decades, and could have built out an MSR powered world by now but Nixon made a political decision and cut funding to the MSR's and went down the IFR route — still a great breeder reactor — but not an MSR!
Molten Salt Reactors
Here's a link to a 5 minute summary about Molten Salt Reactors.
3. RUNNING OUT OF URANIUM: Because breeder reactors 'eat' nuclear waste, they get 60 times the energy out of it compared to today's once-through reactors. This means that uranium-from-seawater could run the world for billions of years. Erosion washes uranium particles into the ocean all the time, making nuclear renewable! Refuel on Nuclear Power – the Silver Bullet!!!
In conclusion, we might one day invent fusion, or in generations have a space-based solar power system that is reliable and baseload, or even something else that works. But for now the answer is simple. Nuclear power delivers vast quantities of cheap reliable power even in the heart of the quietest freezing Siberian winter night. The government should just nationalise energy like France did in the 1970's, and put Gen3 nukes on the production line. It would solve climate change and clean up the very air we breathe.
Many climate activists don't know that the world's most famous climatologist — Dr James Hansen — says believing in renewables is like believing in the tooth fairy! Hansen warns not to drink sustainable energy Kool-Aid He recommends nuclear. I used to think nuclear was a terrible idea because I was scared of poor nuclear safety, nuclear waste, and uranium running out. But I was wrong on all counts.
1. SAFETY: Most people think nuclear, and think about Chernobyl and Fukushima. But the west NEVER built a Chernobyl model reactor — it didn't even have a proper containment dome! Banning nukes because of Chernobyl is like banning modern airlines because of the Hindenburg. What about Fukushima? It was a fine old Generation 2 design hit by a terrible natural disaster. Given we are talking about tsunami prone Japan, the government shouldn't have allowed it to be built that in the first place. No one has died as a direct result of Fukushima's nuclear power meltdowns, but the government enforced evacuation has killed hundreds through despair and suicide. But that Generation 2 design required power to cool. Modern reactors require power to GO! They shut themselves down if the power goes off, and that's without human intervention. The laws of physics take over if humans fail to act. Imagine a little candle burning under a large water-filled balloon. If the candle burns just a little too hot, the balloon bursts and extinguishes that little candle. That's passive safety. No one has to be there to make it happen. Generation 3 reactors are like that. AP1000 reactors shut themselves down if there's a power failure. But even if they DID melt down (in some freakish once every 10,000 years kind of time-frame) it would all be trapped in the Containment Dome just like Three Mile Island was.
Now let's get REALLY crazy, and address our worst fears. What if it somehow melts down and GETS OUT! Guess what? The radiation at Chernobyl and Fukushima just isn't that bad. If they fenced off the reactors and a few small hot-spots, I'd live in 98% of the Chernobyl or Fukushima zones. We live on a radioactive planet. Do you know how radioactive your computer is? Your workplace? Your city? Fukushima is only twice as hot as Sydney — well below the dangerous levels. Chernobyl, Fukushima, radiation — Oh my! Indeed, the Japanese are letting many citizens return to the former exclusion zones. Basically if you're worried about nuclear safety you should be SCREAMING about fossil fuels as coal oil and gas particulates kill 3 million people a year. This is about 650 Chernobyl disasters a year, and that's under the controversial old Linear No Threshold model — a bunch of old numbers that basically assumes 4000 people will one day die from Chernobyl which itself might be hogwash. More on the Linear No Threshold model
2. NUCLEAR WASTE: Modern Breeder reactors eat it! They convert a 100,000 year storage problem into today's reliable baseload energy solution. The UK's nuclear 'waste' could run her for 500 years and America has so much it could run her for a millennia. Here's a photo of JFK touring my favourite breeder reactor, the Molten Salt Reactor. We've known the physics for decades, and could have built out an MSR powered world by now but Nixon made a political decision and cut funding to the MSR's and went down the IFR route — still a great breeder reactor — but not an MSR!

Molten Salt Reactors
Here's a link to a 5 minute summary about Molten Salt Reactors.
3. RUNNING OUT OF URANIUM: Because breeder reactors 'eat' nuclear waste, they get 60 times the energy out of it compared to today's once-through reactors. This means that uranium-from-seawater could run the world for billions of years. Erosion washes uranium particles into the ocean all the time, making nuclear renewable! Refuel on Nuclear Power – the Silver Bullet!!!
In conclusion, we might one day invent fusion, or in generations have a space-based solar power system that is reliable and baseload, or even something else that works. But for now the answer is simple. Nuclear power delivers vast quantities of cheap reliable power even in the heart of the quietest freezing Siberian winter night. The government should just nationalise energy like France did in the 1970's, and put Gen3 nukes on the production line. It would solve climate change and clean up the very air we breathe.