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Biden might be in trouble.

Pommer

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Yes, we pick the tribes that we pick and defend “our side” come heck-or-high-water; but only the wise know when they’re actually arguing principle and not just “spouting the party line”.
 
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tall73

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I have heard about justices every election since I was of voting age. Every election is important. Judges may have some agenda, but they still have to come up with some type of legal justification for what they are doing.

The establishment in the two parties agree on a system that promotes endless war. And I would rather put my vote behind a party that does not support that, rather than worry about which of the two war parties win.
 
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loveofourlord

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of course there hasn't, because the left arn't idiots and arn't going to bring trapp laws to courts, but while they don't trap laws get more and more draconian and break the president already set.
 
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loveofourlord

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so your going to vote for trump, good job and no thats not ignoring what you said, any vote not for biden is a vote for trump, thats why he won last time, Your indignation about how the system works means NOTHING to the LGBT
 
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tall73

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Personally I wouldn’t have run Biden as the nominee in a million years for this and numerous other reasons, but the Republicans have lined up behind a man who is far, far worse, and accused of much more serious sexual offenses.

If my only options for a date night baby sitter are a human trafficker or a convicted pedophile, it might be time to make a move to a different situation.
 
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tall73

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so your going to vote for trump, good job and no thats not ignoring what you said, any vote not for biden is a vote for trump, thats why he won last time, Your indignation about how the system works means NOTHING to the LGBT

Any vote for either war party is a vote for war. I still have freedom of conscience, even if I cannot influence who the establishment puts up for their choices, which are consistently bad.

And had I not voted third party I would have voted directly for Trump before voting Hillary, because she has never seen a war she didn't like. She was in the State Dept. that reviewed human rights abusers, but still approved arms deals. This coincided with some nice contributions to the Clinton Foundation.

Also, I prefer judges who look at the words of the constitution, rather than reading in international law, etc.
 
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Kentonio

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I agree that the progressives would be the more likely to split, but the baggage of the current Democratic Party is going to hang heavy around the necks of whoever retains the name. If there was a new centrist party then I’m sure a lot of moderate Republicans would be interested, but would that still be true if it was still branded as the Democratic Party? I think probably not, even though there’s not much progressive about the Democratic centre. Neither Clinton or Biden are progressives, both were only forced towards progressive policies by the demands of the left. Remove that and you have people who aren’t that distinguishable from moderate Republicans. Pro-big business, not that worried about welfare, friendly with the pharmaceutical, military and financial companies etc.

I think the biggest issue though is simply bravery. To split basically means handing at least one election to the Republicans. It’s not realistic to think that a single cycle would be enough time to rebalance the numbers three ways instead of two, and whoever splits will be furiously blamed for the following electoral loss.
 
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tall73

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I would argue that the progressives need to immediately support the green party which agrees with most of their views, and is already on the ballot. They could do it this time around, and if they speak out enough, might get quite a few to follow.

If they put Tulsi or Yang on the ballot, you might see some from both sides of the non-establishment involved. However, the Democratic party was careful to make everyone swear to non-third party runs. So it is unlikely.
 
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DaisyDay

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I’m sorry to see you use this.
It looks verbatim to what I saw during the Kavanaugh hearings.
I'm not saying it in a knee-jerk way. In the Kavanaugh case, Dr. Ford's story did not change. What did change was that she came forward, first anonymously, then by name; the details remained consistent and there was evidence that she had spoken of it to people years before. In this case, Tara Reade has changed her allegations - first she said she had been fired from his office for refusing to serve drinks; several years later, she accused him of "unwanted touching" (which was widely believed without further questions); her mother said Tara Reade didn't go public "out of respect" for him (which could be true, girls are often stupid); only this year did her account include digital rape. If it's true, then, of course, it is disgusting of Biden - but at the moment, it remains his word against her changing word.

I have not called her a liar, but yes, because of the timing, it does seem opportunistic and politically motivated. I'm not convinced either way, but extraordinary claims do require evidence.
 
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A_Thinker

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No, I think you are right about that. On the other hand, she had it demolished by the facts that came out, even while she was sticking to her story.
Her story wasn't demolished, ... she simply had not enough evidence to adequately substantiate it.

Something which is not uncommon in decades old crimes ...
 
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Kentonio

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Why would they even consider it this cycle? It would automatically just hand Trump a second term, and no matter how much the centrist Dems don’t match progressive ideals, they’re still a million times closer than Trump is.

The only way I could see it happening is if Biden loses to Trump in the coming election anyway. That would be 2 centrists in a row beating a hugely popular progressive only to lose to an incredibly weak Republican. If that happens then there certainly going to be a lot of people on the left running the numbers and trying to calculate whether there’s a way forward that doesn’t involve selling out their principles to the Democratic establishment over and over. They’d need at least 4 years to build something though, and it’s still wildly, wildly unlikely.

Much of the problem is down ballot and it’s a chicken and egg problem. No-one going to elect a president for a party that doesn’t have major congressional representation (and if they did that president would be virtually powerless), and without a major presidential run winning enough seats nationally in a system that is set up to favor only the two existing parties is going to be outrageously hard.
 
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tall73

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Why would they even consider it this cycle? It would automatically just hand Trump a second term, and no matter how much the centrist Dems don’t match progressive ideals, they’re still a million times closer than Trump is.


"Always the next cycle" is what has gotten us to this point. Some are tired of being told they must always vote for what they do not want.

And the messaging has not been working anyway.

Here's How Many Bernie Sanders Supporters Ultimately Voted For Trump

Fully 12 percent of people who voted for Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., in the 2016 Democratic presidential primaries voted for President Trump in the general election.

I expect it to be higher this time.


Yang, Sanders supporters least likely to support any other Democratic presidential nominee, poll says

MSNBC pundits and Democrats questioned party unity Saturday in response to a recent poll that revealed only about half of Andrew Yang and Bernie Sanders' supporters would back any other Democratic presidential nominee.


A more recent example:

Vote for Biden? Sanders Supporters Say It’s ‘Up in the Air’

In interviews with two dozen Sanders primary voters across the country this week, there was a nearly universal lack of enthusiasm for Mr. Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee. Some called him a less formidable candidate than Hillary Clinton was in 2016. Many were skeptical of his ability to beat Mr. Trump. Others were quick to critique Mr. Biden’s sometimes incoherent speech.

In a poll last month, four out of five Sanders supporters said they would vote for Mr. Biden, with 15 percent saying they would cross over to Mr. Trump, about the same share that did so in 2016.

Some Sanders primary voters said they would back a third-party candidate, a few said they would vote for Mr. Trump, and some were wavering about voting at all. Daniel Ray, 27, of Lancaster, Penn., planned to write in Tulsi Gabbard, the congresswoman from Hawaii who ended her long-shot bid for the Democratic nomination last month.

One survey after the 2016 election indicated that 12 percent of Mr. Sanders’s primary voters ended up voting for Mr. Trump in the general election. Another 8 percent of Sanders supporters voted for a third-party candidate, and 3 percent did not vote.
 
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Kentonio

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You’re completely right that it’s ‘always the next cycle’ but if they’re ever going to do it for real it’s going to take years of hard work and vast amounts of money. They can’t just throw someone in with a few months to go and hope for anything other than total defeat.
 
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tall73

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Yes, and that is what some were arguing for a while. But then other progressives thought after Bernie started talking about more of their ideas last time, they would give the Democratic party one more chance to reform.
 
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Kentonio

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Yes, and that is what some were arguing for a while. But then other progressives thought after Bernie started talking about more of their ideas last time, they would give the Democratic party one more chance to reform.

Yeah, I think a lot of people are getting tired of Lucy pulling away the football.
 
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tall73

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a. I don't think the president would be powerless. On at least one major issue the president has a lot of flexibility, and that is military engagement. At the very least he/she could force congress to go on record for each conflict around the world rather than continue using the old authorization of force from the Afghanistan and Iraqi wars.

b. You get a chance to get your message out.

c. If enough voted for a third party to get in, then there are more behind their agenda than thought.
 
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