Are these data showing that creationism is hurting Christianity?
The personal experiences of many of us here (and the results of simply reasoning) have suggested for a long time that creationism gravely hurts Christianity. This could be by either of two ways. One is by driving away Christians when they are raised creationist (and told that they have to be creationist to be Christian), and who then later find that evolution is supported by overwhelming evidence. These people find out that they’ve been lied to about evolution, and may extend that to think that their whole Christian upbringing was a lie, and so they become atheists. The other is by making it look to educated Christians like Christianity is increasingly the domain of evidence deniers.
Does any data support either of these? If the first were true, we’d expect the growing numbers of atheists come from the ranks of creationists, as creationists leave creationism and Christianity together. Call that hypothesis A. Hypothesis B would be the second scenario, where the ranks of Theistic evolution supporters would shrink as the atheists grew. So do the data support A, B or neither?
Well, as many of us know, the % of people who are creationist and the % of people supporting theistic evolution has been largely unchanged in the US for about 30 years.
The new numbers may show the first real change.
As you can see, the % creationists may have had a real drop, to 40% from ~45%, not just noise. At the same time, the numbers of TE’s is still constant, and the numbers of atheists has increased. This would seem, at first glance, to support hypothesis A – that creationism is driving Christians from Christianity to become atheists.
I’m sure there are other mechanisms that could give these same data. However, it is striking that after ~30 years of little movement in the creationist/TE numbers, we may now be seeing changes.
Papias
The personal experiences of many of us here (and the results of simply reasoning) have suggested for a long time that creationism gravely hurts Christianity. This could be by either of two ways. One is by driving away Christians when they are raised creationist (and told that they have to be creationist to be Christian), and who then later find that evolution is supported by overwhelming evidence. These people find out that they’ve been lied to about evolution, and may extend that to think that their whole Christian upbringing was a lie, and so they become atheists. The other is by making it look to educated Christians like Christianity is increasingly the domain of evidence deniers.
Does any data support either of these? If the first were true, we’d expect the growing numbers of atheists come from the ranks of creationists, as creationists leave creationism and Christianity together. Call that hypothesis A. Hypothesis B would be the second scenario, where the ranks of Theistic evolution supporters would shrink as the atheists grew. So do the data support A, B or neither?
Well, as many of us know, the % of people who are creationist and the % of people supporting theistic evolution has been largely unchanged in the US for about 30 years.
The new numbers may show the first real change.

As you can see, the % creationists may have had a real drop, to 40% from ~45%, not just noise. At the same time, the numbers of TE’s is still constant, and the numbers of atheists has increased. This would seem, at first glance, to support hypothesis A – that creationism is driving Christians from Christianity to become atheists.
I’m sure there are other mechanisms that could give these same data. However, it is striking that after ~30 years of little movement in the creationist/TE numbers, we may now be seeing changes.
Papias