270toWin

[jayem]

The 270toWin web site has an interesting map showing each state's EVs. Each state is color-coded as safe, likely, or leaning to either Kamala, or Donald. Blue for Kamala. Red for Donald. As of now, the site gives Kamala 226 EVs, to Donald's 219. Very close. The toss-up states are Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, N. Carolina, and Georgia. That's 94 EVs up for grabs. And those are the states where Donald and Kamala will probably do the most campaigning. If the web site's current projections hold true, Kamala needs 44 EV's to win, and Donald needs 51. But there are still 68 days to go before Nov. 5.

270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map

 

[JosephZ]

If the election were to be held today, and "IF" the polls based on 538's polling averages were to be correct, VP Harris would win the presidency with 287 electorial votes.

 

[iluvatar5150]

If the election were to be held today, and "IF" the polls based on 538's polling averages were to be correct, VP Harris would win the presidency with 287 electorial votes.

View attachment 353951

Reminder: 538 Now != 538 of Before. Nate Silver left and took his model with him. Nate Silver's forecast is showing something similar, but some of it is behind a paywall.

 

[jayem]

It’s surprising that Tim Walz’s home state of Minnesota is just a medium blue. And it’s more surprising that Texas is just medium red.