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How is the Economy Doing Right Now?

Say it aint so

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Makes sense. Kind of like covid. If we just stop testing covid we wouldn't have bad covid numbers.
So in light of that, if we quit noting how high prices are people wouldn't talk about how high prices are.
 
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essentialsaltes

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essentialsaltes

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Fed holds key interest rate steady as economic view improves

“Available indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained low, and the unemployment rate has shown some signs of stabilization,” the post-meeting statement said. “Inflation remains somewhat elevated.”
 
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essentialsaltes

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Layoffs are piling up, raising worker anxiety. Here are some companies that have cut jobs recently


HP between 4,000 and 6,000​

Verizon more than 13,000

General Motors about 1,700

Paramount about 2,000​

Amazon about 14,000 corporate jobs

UPS about 48,000

Target bout 1,800

Nestlé 16,000 jobs globally

Lufthansa Group 4,000​

Novo Nordisk 9,000

ConocoPhillips up to a quarter of its workforce

Intel thousands of jobs​

Microsoft about 6,000

Procter & Gamble up to 7,000

That was November

Here's a new pile of layoffs.

Layoffs are piling up, heightening worker anxiety. Here are some of the biggest recent job cuts

Dow 4,500​

Amazon 16,000​

UPS 30,000​

Tyson Foods 3,200​

 
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essentialsaltes

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The International Monetary Fund is preparing for the possibility of a rapid sell-off of US dollar-denominated assets, its managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, said on Monday.

The greenback’s value has fallen more than 9% against a basket of other currencies since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025. The dollar’s decline against the euro has been even steeper, at just under 12%.

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Say it aint so

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essentialsaltes

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US Companies Announced Most Job Cuts for Any January Since 2009

US companies announced the largest number of job cuts for any January since the depths of the Great Recession in 2009, according to data from outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc.

Companies last month announced 108,435 job cuts, a 118% increase from a year earlier. The report on Thursday also showed hiring intentions slid 13% from a year earlier to 5,306 — marking the weakest total for any January in the firm’s records back to 2009.
 
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camille70

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Why Trump’s immigration crackdown isn’t boosting hiring


As it turns out, there are a lot of complicated factors keeping unemployed Americans on the sidelines. Chief among them is lower demand overall from removing people from the United States and stopping new immigrants from entering.

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Last year, between 200,000 and more than 1 million immigrants in the United States stopped working, according to different analyses of Census Bureau data.

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But as immigrants left the workforce, the unemployment rate for native-born Americans didn’t fall. In fact, the rate jumped to 4.7% in January from 4.1% the year before, according to Wednesday’s jobs report. That not only exceeds the overall unemployment rate of 4.3%, but also the 4.6% rate for foreign-born workers.

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Given how frequently Trump changes tariff rates, employers have been hesitant to take on more workers.

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Native-born American workers are also contending with employers looking for automated solutions, like AI, to deal with all those pressures.
 
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camille70

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Hard-up Americans are selling their blood to cope with the cost of living crisis

Over 200,000 people a day are exchanging their plasma for cash across the country, up 30 percent in four years, according to new research


Last year, people in the U.S. made an estimated $4.7 billion selling their plasma. Donation centers are popping up in middle-class neighborhoods, including suburban strip malls and college towns.


 
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Aryeh Jay

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Hard-up Americans are selling their blood to cope with the cost of living crisis

Over 200,000 people a day are exchanging their plasma for cash across the country, up 30 percent in four years, according to new research


Last year, people in the U.S. made an estimated $4.7 billion selling their plasma. Donation centers are popping up in middle-class neighborhoods, including suburban strip malls and college towns.



Yep, and you get a cookie and juice.

1000013319.jpg
 
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Pommer

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But as immigrants left the workforce, the unemployment rate for native-born Americans didn’t fall. In fact, the rate jumped to 4.7% in January from 4.1% the year before, according to Wednesday’s jobs report. That not only exceeds the overall unemployment rate of 4.3%, but also the 4.6% rate for foreign-born workers.
Who knew that taking a million workers out of an economy would cause contraction of a healthy, robust 4% GDP to an anemic 2.0%?
(Yes the “text” says 4.0, the chart sez 2.0%)
 
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Pommer

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Hard-up Americans are selling their blood to cope with the cost of living crisis

Over 200,000 people a day are exchanging their plasma for cash across the country, up 30 percent in four years, according to new research


Last year, people in the U.S. made an estimated $4.7 billion selling their plasma. Donation centers are popping up in middle-class neighborhoods, including suburban strip malls and college towns.


There’s usually no such thing as a “plasma glut” (I’d bet), but the market will self correct and then even this “source” will dry up.
So there’s that.
 
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NxNW

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Some folks on Wall Street think yesterday’s U.S. jobs number is ‘implausible’ and thus due for a downward correction​


S&P 500 futures were up 0.32% this morning after the index closed flat yesterday at 6,941. Investors seem to be buoyed by the strong job-market numbers published yesterday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. With unemployment falling from 4.4% to 4.3%, many Wall Street analysts are saying that this means the U.S. Federal Reserve is now less likely to cut interest rates further.

Some of them think the labor market is now so tight that the Fed may even raise rates (a scenario likely to provoke rage from President Donald Trump).

But, as always, the devil is in the details. A couple of analysts are worried that the latest number might be wrong, and that the level of job creation in the U.S. is lower than the stats suggest.

First, the number of jobs added in January—130,000—was roughly double analysts’ expectations. Analysts aren’t always right, of course. But it is interesting that the reported number was way out of line with economists’ estimates.


Second, the BLS revised downward the number of jobs it previously reported for 2024–25. The real number was just 181,000, the agency said, and not the 584,000 it had estimated earlier.
That suggests the January number may also be revised downward in the months to come.
 
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