- Oct 17, 2011
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President Donald Trump says the US has ‘no inflation.’ By 2 measures, he’s wrong.
On Sept. 19, while meeting reporters in the Oval Office, Trump referenced his tariff policy, saying, "Even people that were against the tariffs, now they see the way they're working. And by the way, with no inflation, with no problem, we're just building up cash and we're using that cash to reduce taxes, reduce debt, and other things."First a little sidebar on tariffs:
Inflation could be a third lower without tariffs, financial decision makers say
Chief financial officers estimate tariffs are to blame for about one-third of their companies’ price growth this year, according to The CFO Survey issued by Duke University and the Federal Reserve Banks of Richmond and Atlanta.Ok, back to 'no inflation':
It wasn’t the first time he said that. Since July 1, Trump has referred to the U.S. having "no inflation" 11 times at eight events — a radio interview, a bill signing, bilateral meetings with a foreign leader, gaggles with reporters, a Cabinet meeting, and a roundtable in Florida.
In a Sept. 12 interview with Fox News, he hedged slightly, saying, "We have almost no inflation anymore."
Trump is wrong by the literal inflation rate. In August, the year-over-year consumer price index increase was 2.9%, just a hair lower than its 3% level when Trump began his second term.
Going straight to the BEA for the government's preferred inflation index, it's apparent that the advent of the Trump Administration really has done nothing at all for inflation. If you say it's going down, you're full of beans. If you say it's going up, you're full of beans. That's a pretty flat line.