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As Texas Flood Deaths Rise, Officials Blast Faulty Forecast by National Weather Service

rjs330

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former Weather Service officials said the forecasts were as good as could be expected, given the enormous levels of rainfall and the storm’s unusually abrupt escalation.
See the staffing levels had nothing to do with this.

As for rhe rest, yes its a complaint. No government agency I have ever heard of says they can use less people. Every single one says they need more. And more and more.

And in rhis case it was not a failure on anyone's part. The weather was severe and unexpected.
 
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rjs330

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No, he is responsible for gutting the agency that warns people in danger to go to shelters, to board up their windows, and do whatever is needed to protect their homes and their families.
He failed the American people.
Irrelevant to this case.
 
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Landon Caeli

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Far too soon to be talking about such things! Wait, what’s that? The kids were drowned, not shot? Oh.
I know how dangerous the woods can be. I slipped last week, and rolled 30 feet down a canyon, and was luckily stopped by a dead tree. I walked away with a badly bruised shin bone, a bloody forehead and poison oak, which I'm still battling with calamine lotion and prescription steroids. I literally could have been dead.

...I recommend Satellite phones for anyone traversing in any kind of hill country, or mountainous terrain.
 
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Desk trauma

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rjs330

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Modern cellphones are equipped with the ability to broadcast loud alarm noises for alerts, so everyone sleeping shouldn't be an issue.

Doesn't change the fact that the forecast by the NWS was wrong. Had the forecast been accurate, the people maybe wouldn't have decided to go camping, or at least chosen a more secure spot for their camp.
There WAS a warning sent out. NWS was wrong in earlier predictions.

Geez you act like unexpected weather had never occurred. What, this was rye first time ever that we have had an unexpected weather problem?

Why didnt those people get the warning? Were they out of cell service? Didn't they have their phones turned off?

The message went out. So tell us, what exactly could have been done different. Do you expect them to jump in their trucks or helicopters and go out with bullhorns and fly around shouting warnings to whomever might be around?

Whats your brilliant idea?
 
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FAITH-IN-HIM

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Yet another attempt to politicize a tragedy. In 2022, 474 Americans died in natural disasters; in 2023, the number was 492. There were no cuts to FEMA or NWS, nor did DOGA exist then. Sadly, natural disasters are part of life and, unfortunately, fatalities do occur.

Th lesson from all these is the importance of investing in science and technology to better understand and prepare for natural disasters. Cutting funding for programs like the NWS or FEMA is counterproductive, yet some still support such reductions.
 
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Nithavela

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There WAS a warning sent out. NWS was wrong in earlier predictions.

Geez you act like unexpected weather had never occurred. What, this was rye first time ever that we have had an unexpected weather problem?

Why didnt those people get the warning? Were they out of cell service? Didn't they have their phones turned off?

The message went out. So tell us, what exactly could have been done different. Do you expect them to jump in their trucks or helicopters and go out with bullhorns and fly around shouting warnings to whomever might be around?

Whats your brilliant idea?
Do better to be less wrong.

Mandate that things like that camp are reachable by emergency messages.

Perhaps also talk about people who died besides that camp.
 
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rjs330

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So that's your stance, then? Nothing could have prevented is, nothing can be done to prevent similiar things in the future? Nobody is accountable? It was just an "act of god"?

You're talking about like it were a school shooting.
Yes, sometimes NO ONE is responsible. We live in a world where things happen. Especially in nature. The weather service cannot be right 100% of the time. And when they are wrong they arw not responsible.

People sometimes miss the warning because rhey are out of cell service, they aren't watching TV or listening to the radio. Sometimes they dont have the emergency services set on their phone. Sometimes they are away from the phone or turn it off.

Things happen. And because things happen it doesn't mean someone is responsible. Not everything is 100% preventable or predictable. We aren't that good.
 
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Nithavela

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Yes, sometimes NO ONE is responsible. We live in a world where things happen. Especially in nature. The weather service cannot be right 100% of the time. And when they are wrong they arw not responsible.

People sometimes miss the warning because rhey are out of cell service, they aren't watching TV or listening to the radio. Sometimes they dont have the emergency services set on their phone. Sometimes they are away from the phone or turn it off.

Things happen. And because things happen it doesn't mean someone is responsible. Not everything is 100% preventable or predictable. We aren't that good.
Should we strive to be better, or should we save money by becoming worse since a perfect outcome can't be reached anyway?
 
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BCP1928

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There WAS a warning sent out. NWS was wrong in earlier predictions.

Geez you act like unexpected weather had never occurred. What, this was rye first time ever that we have had an unexpected weather problem?

Why didnt those people get the warning? Were they out of cell service? Didn't they have their phones turned off?

The message went out. So tell us, what exactly could have been done different. Do you expect them to jump in their trucks or helicopters and go out with bullhorns and fly around shouting warnings to whomever might be around?

Whats your brilliant idea?
You are missing the point. The joker is that it's the MAGA government of Texas that's doing the complaining.
 
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essentialsaltes

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The National Weather Service sent out a series of flash flood warnings in the early hours Friday before issuing flash flood emergencies — a rare alert notifying of imminent danger.

Local officials have insisted that no one saw the flood potential coming and have defended their actions.

[Well, what did local officials do when the NWS issued flash flood warnings characterized as “a life-threatening situation”?]

Weather messaging from the office, including automated alerts delivered to mobile phones to people in threatened areas, grew increasingly ominous in the early morning hours of Friday, urging people to move to higher ground and evacuate flood-prone areas, said Jason Runyen, a meteorologist in the National Weather Service office.

At 4:03 a.m., the office issued an urgent warning that raised the potential of catastrophic damage and a severe threat to human life.

Jonathan Porter, the chief meteorologist at AccuWeather, a private weather forecasting company that uses National Weather Service data, said it appeared evacuations and other proactive measures could have been undertaken to reduce the risk of fatalities.

“People, businesses, and governments should take action based on Flash Flood Warnings that are issued, regardless of the rainfall amounts that have occurred or are forecast,” Porter said in a statement.
 
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DaisyDay

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In reality it was predicted and warnings were issued. If some extra new agency isn't around any longer, that doesn't mean the agencies that have been around for a long time aren't still operating. I'm guessing whoever was running that remote camp didn't didn’t see the warnings issued at 4:30 AM.

This seems to be yet another tragedy being exploited in hopes of political gain.
Does getting vital services restored count as "political" gain or simple, plain gain?
 
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ozso

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Does getting vital services restored count as "political" gain or simple, plain gain?
What specific vital services need to be restored? What specifically did DOGE cut out that would have made a difference in this situation?
 
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